So far this is merely a pullback from a consolidation, and a likely distribution top in the making as insiders continue to take profits on their ponzi pump in US equities.
We signalled 'defensive' last week, and that the risk reward in the market was dangerous, and we exited or hedged all longs. Time to Get Defensive
Now we wait to see if this is just a pullback from a consolidation, with a subsequent rally to new highs, or a break in the market slightly ahead of our forecast target. We have been looking for a 3% pullback first, and then a rally to the final high for the year.
The obvious level to watch is the neckline.
Bear in mind that these 100 million dollar men on Wall Street make their pay by taking investors, and the economy, for rides up and down in stocks, commodities, and just about any other market they can push using the leverage of their taxpayer supported funds.
The SP Weekly Chart show that a rally back to 1014 on the cash market represents an approximate 38.2% rally from the bottom. This number is one of the key fibonacci numbers watched by traders. The next stop higher would be 50%.