20 March 2013

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts


False confidence based on hubris is resurgent.

Benny pledged to print until whenever and that was enough.


 

SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Hope Isn't the Only Thing That Floats


Benny pledged his troth to printing until whenever today, and this helped the market to run back and try to break out above our pivot point at 1550.

After the bell Oracle missed on sales and profits.



 


19 March 2013

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - New Zealand Goes Cyprus-Style, RBNZ Responds


"Here in New Zealand the Reserve Bank is moving to add an Open Bank Resolution Policy (OBR) to tools it could potentially use in the event of a bank failure.

The implementation of OBR would see all unsecured liabilities that rank equally among themselves, including deposits, having a portion frozen. The Reserve Bank says the OBR policy could save taxpayers' more than NZ$1 billion regardless of whether there is a bank failure or not.

However, Norman points out that if a bank fails under OBR, all depositors will have their savings reduced overnight to help fund the bank’s bail out."

Green Party Hits Out at NZ Government's Cyprus-Style Solution to Bank Failures

And the Reserve Bank of New Zealand responds:
"If their bank fails, depositors have always needed to understand that deposits are not guaranteed. What OBR does is facilitate a rapid and orderly resolution of a bank failure – it does not change the fact that depositors and other creditor funds are at risk...

The New Zealand Government has looked hard at deposit insurance schemes and concluded that they blunt the incentives for investors and banks to properly manage risks, and may even increase the chance of bank failure."

Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Open Bank Resolution, 20 March 2013

One understands that in the event of a bank failure, pain will be apportioned to the shareholders and depositors in New Zealand banks.  And it must certainly be an extraordinarily transparent financial system indeed so that depositors can properly assess risk, on a par with insiders. 

But one might ask, in the event of a failure, what is the penalty for the politicians, the banking management, and their regulators? 

Oh that's right, there are no banking failures permitted in New Zealand. So perhaps it is a moot question.  But it does seem that the people of New Zealand have some concerns and questions about this and, dare it be said, an imperfect confidence in their central bank?

Confidence, gentlemen, is the key. Oui?  

And so we pray for the best, but prepare for the worst.

"Those entrapped by the herd instinct are drowned in the deluges of history. But there are always the few who observe, reason, and take precautions, and thus escape the flood. For these few gold has been the asset of last resort."

Antony C. Sutton




SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Euro Zone Up and Down


The market opened lower on fears of instability from Cyprus and the no vote on the depositor levy plan by their Parliament. It then bounced around based on a series of developments out of and statements out of Europe. It closed with modest losses on expectations that the Eurozone leadership would 'do something.'

I expect the Fed meeting but especially developments in Europe, to drive equity action for the rest of the week.