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28 January 2025

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Resist the Command To Do Evil

 

"History teaches us that the capacity of things to get worse is limitless."

Chalmers Johnson, Nemesis: The Last Days of the American Republic, 2007

"Gold is absolute objectivity. It is blind, like justice.   It has no politics and ideology, no likes or dislikes, no friends or enemies.  All it recognizes is its possessor, whom it serves faithfully as long as he has it.  Indeed there can be no criterion, no other standard than gold.  Yes, gold which never changes, which can be shaped into ingots, bars, coins, which has no nationality and which is eternally and universally accepted as the unalterable fiduciary value par excellence."

Charles de Gaulle

"Sacrifice and offering you did not want,
     but my ears you have opened.
Burnt sacrifice and sin offerings you did not require,
     so I said, 'Here I am, I have come,
I desire to do your will, my God;
    for your law is written on my heart.'”

Psalm 40:7-8

"Those who can make you believe absurdities, can make you commit atrocities. If you do not use the intelligence with which God endowed your mind to resist believing impossibilities, you will not be able to use the sense of injustice which God has planted in your heart to resist a command to do evil "

François-Marie Arouet Voltaire, Question sur les miracles, 1765


Although we do not look for it, and few expect it, the time for choosing is always upon us.

And judgement follows.  

But distractions are abundant, and the rewards of lawlessness seem sweet. 

Who will dare judge us?   Have we not become the princes of all that we can see?

Today was a typical option expiration for the metals on the Comex.  The test of the longs occurred yesterday, and after this morning it was taking profits and short-covering.

However, there will be an FOMC decision and press conference tomorrow, and the markets will be listening to what Joltin' Jay has to say, especially in regard to the new President's dictum for lower rates.

VIX fell.

The Dollar chopped.

More physical gold was drained out of the Hong Kong vaults, although they seem to be keeping up with it.

I used to pay more attention to the activity in the New York vaults, but they changed their reporting mechanisms somewhat radically a few years ago, in response to the observations that there was fairly little physical gold on hand.

Now it is almost impossible to determine what it is that they are holding that is genuine or merely paper.

Mission accomplished. 

So let's see what happens tomorrow.

In the meantime, gold prices hit a record high in China.

At some point the call will come, and NY and London will be weighed, and found wanting.

Just as it happened in 1971.

Have a pleasant evening.

27 January 2025

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Phantoms of Lawlessness

 

"We have been silent witnesses of evil deeds; we have been drenched by many storms; we have learnt the arts of equivocation and pretence; experience has made us suspicious of others and kept us from being truthful and open; intolerable conflicts have worn us down and even made us cynical.

If we look more closely, we see that any violent display of power, whether political or religious, produces an outburst of folly in a large part of mankind; indeed, this seems actually to be a psychological and sociological law: the power of some needs the folly of others. It is not that certain human capacities, intellectual capacities for instance, become stunted of destroyed, but rather that the upsurge of power makes such an overwhelming impression that men are deprived of their independent judgment, and give up trying to assess the new state of affairs for themselves."

Dietrich Bonhoeffer, Letters and Papers from Prison, 1943-1945

“I get tired of the darkness all around me. The darkness itself seems to borrow, from the sinners who live in it, the gift of their speech. I hear its mocking accents: 'It's all a dream, this talk of a heavenly country of a God who made it all, who is to be yours  in eternity. All right, go on longing for death!  But death will make nonsense of your hopes; it will only mean a night darker than ever, the night of mere non-existence!'

This world is a ship, not your home.  What mysteries will be revealed to us later. How often have I thought that I perhaps owe all the graces showered upon me to the earnest prayers of a little soul whom I shall know only in Heaven.

It is God's will that in this world by means of prayer heavenly treasures should be imparted by souls one to another, so that when they reach their home with the Father they may love one another with a love born of gratitude, with an affection far, far exceeding the most ideal family affection upon earth.

There we shall meet with no indifferent looks, because all the saints will be indebted to each other.  No envious glances will be seen; the happiness of every one of the saved will be the happiness of all. With the Martyrs we shall be like to the Martyrs; with the Doctors we shall be as the Doctors; with the Virgins, as the Virgins; and just as the members of a family are proud of one another, so shall we be of our family, without the least jealousy.

Who knows even if the joy we shall experience in beholding the glory of the great Saints, and knowing that by a secret disposition of Providence we have contributed to it, who knows if this joy will not be as intense and sweeter perhaps, than the happiness they will themselves possess.

And do you not think that on their side the great Saints, seeing what they owe to quite little souls, will love them with an incomparable love? Delightful and surprising will be the friendships found there - I am sure of it. The favored companion of an Apostle or a great Doctor of the Church, will perhaps be a young shepherd lad; and a simple little child may be the intimate friend of a Patriarch. Oh! how I long to dwell in that Kingdom of Love.

Time is but a shadow, a dream; already God sees us in glory and takes joy in our eternal blessings. How this thought helps my soul! I understand then why He lets us suffer... Life is passing, Eternity draws closer: soon shall we live the very life of God. After having drunk deeply at the fountain of bitterness, our thirst will be quenched forever at the very source of all sweetness."

Thérèse de Lisieux


The AI bubble in tech stocks was burst over the weekend, as some of hidden mystique of the US Big Tech AI juggernaut was apparently revealed to be at least in part a new era financialization scheme.

Nvidia led the way lower, dragging the associated stock indices down with it.

This massive selling prompted some of the talking heads to come to the defense of the sector, often with some fairly hilarious results.   

But it also prompted some liquidation selling, which played into the usual slam on gold and silver preceding the Comex futures options expiration tomorrow.

If one has eyes to see and ears to hear, the truth can be found without a great deal of effort.  But it poses a risk, that one cannot comfortably drift along with the prevailing narrative of the Western oligarchs.

FOMC coming up on Wednesday.

If the metals weather the usual shenanigans of the kleptocracy it looks to be in good shape on the charts.

Remember what is important.  And it is not the bluster of the usual suspects in politics and the media.

The world does not love you.  Its servants do not care about you or yours.

The power of some needs the folly of others.
They are passing like shadows, constructs of illusions and lies, lacking all substance, soon to be gone and forgotten.

Do not foolishly give your hearts and souls to them.

Have a pleasant evening.


15 January 2025

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Even If Someone Who Has Risen From the Dead

 

"You belong to your father, the devil, and you want to serve your father’s desires.   He was a murderer from the beginning, not holding to the truth, for there is no truth in him.  When he lies, he speaks his native language, for he is a liar and the father of lies."

John 8:43-44

"It is not possible to found a lasting power upon injustice, lies, and treachery.  These may, perhaps, succeed at first, and limp along on hope for awhile with a flourishing appearance.  But time betrays their weakness, and they eventually fall into ruin of their own designs."

Demosthenes, Bartleby, 1917

"What is offensive is that they lie, and worship their own lying."

Fyodor Dostoevsky, Crime and Punishmen, December 1866

"'No man can serve two masters. He will either hate the one and love the other, or be devoted to one and despise the other. You cannot serve both God and mammon.' The Pharisees, who were money loving and covetous, heard all these things and sneered at him. And Jesus said, 'You justify yourselves in the sight of others, but God knows your hearts.'"

Luke 16:13-14

“Then the rich man said, ‘I beg you, Father Abraham, send Lazarus to my father’s house. For I have five brothers for him to warn, so that they also will not come to this place of desolation and torment.’ But Abraham said, ‘They have Moses and the Prophets. Let them listen to them.’

But the rich man again said, ‘No, Father Abraham, but if someone from the dead comes back and speaks to them, they will repent.’ And Abraham said, ‘If they do not listen to Moses and the Prophets, neither will they listen if someone tells them who has risen from the dead!’”

Luke 16:27-31

"Cromwell:  Sir Richard is appointed Attorney General for Wales.
Thomas More:  For Wales. Why Richard, it profits a man nothing to give his soul for the whole world— but for Wales?"

Robert Bolt, A Man For All Seasons


As you may have heard the CPI number for US consumer inflation came in dovish this morning.

Stocks rallied like is was 1999.   Or 1929.

JP Morgan led the banking sector higher with record trading profits.

What a surprise.

Bitcoin took back 100,000.

There will be a stock option expiration on Friday.

VIX fell down smashing into its moving averages.

Gold and silver rallied.

The Dollar came back to unchanged from its early morning losses.

More gold leaked out of the Comex Hong Kong warehouses.

Biden is going to give his farewell speech tonight. 

Donny is going to be inaugurated in the near future.

Declarations of a cease fire in Gaza cheered the spokesmodels.

They were just bubbly this afternoon.

The outgoing crew, Blinken, Biden, and Sullivan, have been giving their farewell interviews and speeches this week.  No doubt prepping for their next lives in the private and academic sector.

Professional deceivers and delusionists, one and all. 

Are you not entertained?

Have a pleasant evening.




14 January 2025

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - And That's the Name of That Tune

 

“There are times when wisdom cannot be found in the chambers of parliament or the halls of academia but at the unpretentious setting of the kitchen table.”

E.A. Bucchianeri

Just charts tonight.

A large amount of physical gold left the Comex registered Hong Kong vaults, taking down the total ounces to a new low. China tends to be a physical market. That sucking sound is gold bullion flowing from West to East, not to return at these prices. 

There will be an option expiration on Friday.

Have a pleasant evening.


13 January 2025

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - The Cycle of Force and Fraud

 

"One of the most important barometers of the world's financial health could be sending false signals. In a development that has implications for borrowers everywhere, from Russian oil producers to homeowners in Detroit, bankers and traders are expressing concerns that the London inter-bank offered rate, known as Libor, is becoming unreliable. [See below: It was subsequently shown to be fraudulent.]

Libor plays a crucial role in the global financial system.  Calculated every morning in London from information supplied by banks all over the world, it's a measure of the average interest rate at which banks make short-term loans to one another.  Libor provides a key indicator of their health, rising when banks are in trouble. Its influence extends far beyond banking:  The interest rates on trillions of dollars in corporate debt, home mortgages and financial contracts reset according to Libor.

In recent months, the financial crisis sparked by subprime-mortgage problems has jolted banks and sent Libor sharply upward.  The growing suspicions about Libor's veracity suggest that banks' troubles could be worse than they're willing to admit."

Carrick Mollenkamp, Bankers Cast Doubt On Key Rate Amid Crisis, Wall Street Journal, April 16,2008

"I've been hesitant to write about the LIBOR scandal because what I want to say goes so much further.  We now know that Barclays and other major global banks have been manipulating the calculation of LIBOR through the quotation data they provided to the British Bankers Association.  What I suspect is that this is not a flaw but a feature of modern financial markets.  And if it was happening in LIBOR for between 5 and 15 years, then the business model has been profitably replicated to many other quotation-based reference prices.

Price discovery is not a sexy function of markets, but it is critical to the efficient allocation of scarce capital and resources, and to the preservation of the long term wealth of investors and the economy as a whole.  If price discovery is compromised by manipulation, then we will all be gradually impoverished and the economy will be imbalanced and unstable."

London Banker, Lies, Damn Lies, and LIBOR, 10 July 2012

"The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has been negligent in failing to terminate the obvious manipulation ongoing in silver.  Furthermore, the agency may be complicit in this manipulation. Worse, it has lied to the public and elected officials.  This all goes back to the time when Bear Stearns was taken over by JPMorgan in March of 2008.

It is well known that Bear Stearns went under as a result of a sudden loss of liquidity amidst a run by creditors and customers.  What is not well known is that those problems were greatly exacerbated by a $2 billion margin call on silver and gold short positions from the end of December 2007 to March 2008.  I believe the silver and gold margin calls were at the heart of Bear Stearns’ failure.

We know now (from CFTC correspondence to lawmakers in 2008) that JPMorgan took over Bear Stearns’ giant silver and gold short positions on the COMEX.  Up until that time, we did not know that Bear Stearns was the concentrated silver and gold short.  Using Commitment of Traders Report (COT) data, Bear Stearns had a COMEX silver short position of no less than 35,000 net contracts and a COMEX gold short position of no less than 60,000 net contracts from the end of December 2007 to their takeover by JPMorgan two and a half months later. 

From December 31, 2007 to mid-March 2008, the price of silver rose by $6 (from $15 to $21) and the price of gold rose from $850 to over $1000.  Based upon the number of contracts held short by Bear Stearns and the price movement at that time, that resulted in margin calls of $2 billion.  I would contend that was the real reason for Bear Stearns’ demise."

Ted Butler, Illegalities, May 25, 2012

"The key to a general reform has been and still is campaign finance reform and a reduction of lobbying payments and campaign contributions as soft bribes to Congress. As the banks cannot regulate and reform themselves, at least according to John Mack's recent advice to the American people, so the Congress and the federal government seem incapable of reforming and managing themselves. If one does it, takes liberties with the law, then they all want to do it to a greater or lesser degree; and in some ways they must if they are to be competitive, if the administration of justice creates the opportunity for selective exceptions, the weakening of regulation.

And too many are yearning for a strong leader, someone who will tell them what to do.  A great man, who will exercise authority with a directness and little or no discussion.  Someone who will 'put things right.' The primary question seems to be less policy than fashion, whether to wear brown shirts or black, and whether torchlight is too retro."

Jesse, A Partnership Between Wall Street and Government Until the System Collapses, 19 November 2009


And the wash and rinse continues.

I came in prepped for the post Non-Farm Payrolls kickback wash cycle.

Gold and silver were slammed this morning.  

The Dollar gained a little in a mostly sideways chop.

VIX fell.

Stocks fell sharply but managed to take back their losses into the afternoon close.

Keep an eye on the option expirations and the upcoming CPI and PPI numbers.

Wouldn't it have been nice if, instead of throwing away hundredsof billions of dollars in corrupt adventures in proxy wars, theft, and murder en masse overseas, we had spent a portion of that money on hardening the US infrastructure, including the water systems, public transportation, energy independence and the electric grid? 

“The worst crimes were dared by a few, willed by more, and tolerated by all.”

Tacitus

This is why nations, and empires, fail.

Have a pleasant evening.

Related: Corruption as an Element of the Financial Crisis, Le Cafe, February 2009