12 July 2018

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - The Love of Most Will Grow Cold - Crouching Tiger, Stagnant Wages


"Britain has followed the US model closely.  Political decisions within both countries have had highly predictable results, and we are now fated to live with them.  Good times aren’t really all that good for ordinary people any more, only for the people on top – the owners of companies, of real estate, of stocks.  Except in the very tightest labour markets, workers simply don’t have the power to demand their fair share.

If you ask me, this is the thing to panic about: not the possibility that workers might prosper, but that they’re not prospering yet...

Thomas Frank, It's Not Wage Rises That Are The Problem


"Our future could be one in which continued tumult feeds the looting of the financial system, and we talk more and more about exactly how our oligarchs became bandits and how the economy just can’t seem to get into gear.

Recovery will fail unless we break the financial oligarchy that is blocking essential reform. And if we are to prevent a true depression, we’re running out of time."

Simon Johnson, The Quiet Coup, May 2009


"But there is a sort of 'Ok guys, you're mad, but how are you going to stop me' mentality at the top."

Robert Johnson, Audacious Oligarchy


"Isn't it a riddle and awe-inspiring that things can be so beautiful, despite the horror?  I've seen something wondrous peering through my joy in the beautiful,  a sense of its creator.

Only people can be truly ugly, because they have free will to separate themselves from this song of praise.  It often seems they will drown out this hymn with cannon thunder, curses, and blasphemy.

But I have realized they will not succeed.  And so I want to throw myself on the side of the victor.”

Sophie Scholl, Munich, 1942

There won't be any panic or doubts, not by the captains of industry and their terrible toddlers and enablers.  Not, at least, until they and theirs are well into the abyss and beyond.   Winning...

The big cap techs in the Nasdaq 100 were leading the way in a rally higher from the opening.

One can supply any number of reasons for it, after the fact. This one might say that the fears of a trade war have subsided because someone heard something.

Another might say that with CPI coming in weakly, then the Fed won't be raising rates so aggressively.  And didn't Jay Powell of the Fed give a rousingly positive interview?

Or one might as well just say, 'because they can.'   And so they did.

It looks like another blow off top is in the works.

Gold and silver were up slightly as risk money flowed back into them after their recent beat down.   The US Dollar was largely flat.  .

Forget the ever-flattening yield curve, the spokesmodels say. This is an unconventional recovery.

But why worry if you can get yours, and devil take the hindmost?  And because of the increase of wickedness, the love of most will grow cold. 

Except for those who understand the fundamentals of the economic proposition that, in the final analysis,  matters most.  For what does it profit a man?

Need little, want less, love more. For those who abide in love abide in God, and God in them.

Have a pleasant evening.
















11 July 2018

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Nail-Biting Overtime Match Between England and Croatia - Croatia Wins


The US Dollar was stronger today, and therefore the usual currency crosstrade hit was put on the precious metals, which finished lower.

Gold went out on the low for the day, down 1% and silver off 1.5%.   Silver gave up the 16 handle, and gold hung on to support below at 1240.

Stocks also had a ranging day, going down sharply on the initial news that the US was intending to increase the amounts of goods under tariff from China to $200 billion.

However, the wiseguys were able to shake off any concerns, and were able to take stocks back up to nearly unchanged, while the rest of the world was watching a very exciting match between England and Croatia.

I know that I was watching. The markets are getting boring when one is watching algos endlessly battle with a few straggling tourists and die hard punters, trying every scheme in the book to skin each other out of a few cents per share.

So far the football match is still on, and I think I will just let this posting go and watch it in overtime.

Need little, want less, and love more. For those who abide in love abide in God, and God in them.

Have a pleasant evening.

Postscript: The 'Little Davids' of Croatia have won in overtime.





10 July 2018

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Big News From St. Petersburg


The big news today was the stunning win of the young underdog team France (7) over Belgium (3) to advance to the finals in the World Cup.

I would imagine that there is joyous celebrating in the streets and cafe's of France tonight.

Tomorrow we will see the big match between England and Croatia.

As for the markets, they were sluggish and contrived, and not particularly interesting.

Tomorrow we may be getting some inflation information,

There may also be some news from abroad, as Trump has arrived in Brussels for his meeting with Nato allies.   The man-child will be meeting with Prime Minister Theresa May, in the UK. 

And finally, he will be meeting with Russian President Putin in Helsinki on July 16th.

We won't be seeing a stock option expiration until next Friday.  I have included the calendar below.

The United States of Amnesia has already lost interest in the trade war apparently.

The Comex gold warehouses in NY look like a morgue, but less lively and certainly less interesting.  In Hong Kong they seem to be stocking up for another big physical withdrawal.

Need little, want less, love more. For those who abide in love abide in God, and God in them.

Have a pleasant evening.


09 July 2018

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - A Quiet Summer Day


Stocks finished higher as the market shrugged off any concerns about trade wars.

Gold and silver finished slightly higher on a weaker dollar.

We will be getting some inflation data with the PPI and CPI later this week.

The Jersey sweet corn from local farms is available now.  I guess there is some benefit to this hot summer.  The tomatoes still seem to be shipped or from greenhouses though.   I meant to ask them about when real field ripened tomatoes would be ready.

I have not planted a garden this year.  I am fortunate enough to be able to walk around on his knee and get some yardwork done.   Did I mention I love my John Deere lawn tractor?  lol.   I cut back the hedges, and just use the JD with bagger to chop and clean it all up.  No raking for this guy.  Autumn leaves?  Bring it.

If for some reason what I write displeases you all that much, if we cannot agree to disagree, if you cannot bear to hear even reasoned criticism of something because you are so emotionally invested in it, then it is probably better not to read it here and feel all put out.  Can you not bear to know that some people do not agree with you?  Well, there seems to be a lot of that going around.

But it is not reasonable to expect me to change my conscience, pervert my own reason, and dishonor my own commitments just to please you or flatter your choices.  There are many places where you can obtain that kind of validation, and can find even your basest emotions affirmed, and a catharsis achieved.

But after a time you may not be able to bear reading or hearing anything to the contrary.  And that is a story and a sign in itself.  I can remember a time during the early days before the Iraq war that I could not bear to watch anything but Fox News, because I wanted to believe so badly in what we were doing, even though it did not make sense, it did not hold together.

I got caught by surprise.  I had been known for my skepticism, and had made most of my successes by piercing through the veils of lies in business and the markets.  I think I fell for this because we were emotionally vulnerable;  9/11 was not an abstraction for our little town, on a commuter rail line to the City.  My wife was caring for children in case their parents did not show up to take them home from school that afternoon.

And with time it was revealed to be a delusion based on falsehoods.   And I have an obligation not to allow myself to fall into that sort of self-deceiving trap again.  Especially if I wish to continue placing my money in the markets, although that is less of a consideration these days.  Now it is all about commitment to something greater than myself.

I write what I do because I believe it, and have come to it by thinking for myself, not because I want or get anything from you.  I accept nothing from anyone for any of this.   I am discharging a pledge I made long ago out of gratitude, and thankful recognition of His tender mercies. 

And if that is not enough for a person to speak their mind with reason and careful civility, well then, it is a brave new world we are creating indeed.

Have a pleasant evening.