19 December 2025

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Only Love Creates

 

“No one in the world can change Truth. What we can do and and should do is to seek truth and to serve it when we have found it. The most deadly poison of our times is indifference. Only love creates."

Maximilian Kolbe, Martyr for Love, Auschwitz, August 14, 1941

"Behind the ostensible government sits enthroned an invisible government owing no allegiance and acknowledging no responsibility to the people. To destroy this invisible government, to befoul the unholy alliance between corrupt business and corrupt politics is the first task of the statesmanship of the day.”

Theodore Roosevelt, The Progressive Platform, April 19, 1906

“Propaganda is the executive arm of the invisible government.”

Edward Bernays, The New Propaganda,

"We are slow to master the great truth that even now Christ is, as it were, walking among us, and by His hand, or eye, or voice, bidding us to follow Him. We do not understand that His call is a thing that takes place now. We think it took place in the Apostles' days, but we do not believe in it; we do not look for it in our own case.

God's presence is not discerned at the time when it is upon us, but afterwards, when we look back upon what is gone and over. The world seems to go on as usual. There is nothing of heaven in the face of society, in the news of the day. And yet the ever-blessed Spirit of God is there, ten times more glorious, more powerful than when He trod the earth in our flesh."

John Henry Newman

"We are hard pressed on every side, but not crushed; perplexed, but not in despair; persecuted, but not abandoned; struck down, but not destroyed."

2 Corinthians 4:8-9


We lost power and the internet this afternoon.   A somewhat vigorous line of thunderstorms ripped through the area.

Daisy and I curled up with a book by the fire.   It was certainly no hardship.  We are creatures of leisure.

Silver it must be observed, seems to have no problem putting physical foot to bullion banker behinds these days.

The young man is leaving for China next week, to spend the holidays with his bride who is a well-respected professor at a prestigious university.  Their quest for a spousal green card is failing to gain traction.  This may be for the best, all things considered.  Such are the times.  

But Christmas approaches and the extended family will all be here, with their growing horde of little ones.  They are growing in both size and energy.  Remarkable.

So just the charts for now.

Have a pleasant weekend

18 December 2025

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - No Best Case Scenario

 

"The common refrain is that war is a breeding ground of unintended consequences.  It is greater than that.  War is a super-human force that will make an agent of those who foolishly and recklessly believe in their own agency.  That truth will be revealed again in the coming war in Venezuela.

The last two years, I have been affected by the intersection of the biblical Massacre of the Holy Innocents with the genocide in Gaza.  It is the story of the Holy Family’s flight to Egypt, their lives as refugees and as strangers in a foreign land, and the persecution of refugees and immigrants in our land today that possesses me this Christmas season."

Matthew Hoh, No Best Case Scenario, December 17, 2025

A third approach, the one dominant among economists and policy pundits, is based on the notion that the rulers of Egypt simply don’t know what is needed to make their country prosperous, and have followed incorrect policies and strategies in the past.  If these rulers would only get the right advice from the right advisers, the thinking goes, prosperity would follow.  To these academics and pundits, the fact that Egypt has been ruled by narrow elites feathering their nests at the expense of society seems irrelevant to understanding the country’s economic problems.

Egypt is poor precisely because it has been ruled by a narrow elite that have organized society for their own benefit at the expense of the vast mass of people.  Political power has been narrowly concentrated, and has been used to create great wealth for those who possess it. The losers have been the Egyptian people, as they only too well understand. Whether it is North Korea, Sierra Leone, or Zimbabwe, we’ll show that poor countries are poor for the same reason that Egypt is poor.

Countries such as Great Britain and the United States became rich because their citizens overthrew the elites who controlled power and created a society where political rights were much more broadly distributed, where the government was accountable and responsive to citizens, and where the great mass of people could take advantage of economic opportunities.

Daron Acemoglu and James Robinson, Why Nations Fail, 2012

"People of privilege will always risk their complete destruction rather than surrender any material part of their advantage. Intellectual myopia, often called stupidity, is no doubt a reason. But the privileged also feel that their privileges, however egregious they may seem to others, are a solemn, basic, God-given right,"

John Kenneth Galbraith, The Age of Uncertainty, 1977

"Pride, and a love of self and of power, makes families homeless — and in its rage murders innocents, as it was then and it is now.  The Banks must be restrained, and the financial system reformed, with balance restored to the economy, before there can be any sustained recovery."

Jesse, The Holy Innocents, 28 December 2018


We know what is the best case scenario.  We were given it, in some detail, over 2000 years ago.  But it involves the veneration of the light of the Holy Spirit among us — and goodness has its enemies.

Without meaningful reform, freedom will continue to diminish in the encroachment of fraudulent abuse, the financial system will falter with malinvestment, and the general prosperity of the nation will narrow, until it fails.

As a reminder tomorrow is the stock option expiration for December.

I suspect the big drama about Trump's speech last night, based on 'leaks' from supposedly informed government representatives, was pretty much a setup for a wash and rinse.

Stocks popped a bit and then faded into the close a bit.

The economic news on inflation this morning was positive.  Most people positively did not believe them because their discounting of inflated items was there to see.

Gold and silver popped up to new highs overnight, with silver topped $67 for the first time.

But as is customary, the wiseguys sold them in the London-NY trade.

They'll keep playing this scenario until there pools collapses of exhaustion.

VIX fell of course.

The Dollar chopped around in the mid 98 area.

What happened to German soldiers who refused to follow the order to murder innocent civilians and unarmed prisoners?   Sometimes the law prevailed. 

Need little, want less, love more.  For those who abide in love abide in God, and God in them.

Have a pleasant evening. 

17 December 2025

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - What Is Truth? The Consequence of Corruption

 

“What happened to Kennedy is what nearly happened to me. His story is the same as mine. It looks like a cowboy story, but it’s only an OAS story.  The security forces were in cahoots with the extremists.  All of them together will observe the law of silence.  They will close ranks.  They’ll do everything to stifle any scandal.  They don’t want to know.  They won’t allow themselves to find out.”

Charles de Gaulle, President of France, to Alain Peyrefitte, 1963

“What is unrecognized about JFK's presidency, which then makes his assas­sination a false mystery, is that he was locked in a struggle with his national security state.  That state had higher values than obedience to the orders of a president who wanted peace.  It’s unbelievable—or we’re supposed to think it is—that a president was murdered by our own government agencies because he was seeking a more stable peace than relying on nuclear weapons.  It’s unspeakable.  For the sake of a nation that must always be preparing for war, that story must not be told. If it were, we might learn that peace is possible without making war.

When we become more deeply human, as Merton understood the process, the wellspring of our compassion moves us to confront the Unspeakable.  There is nothing so threatening to systemic evil as those willing to stand against it regardless of the consequences."

James W. Douglass, JFK and the Unspeakable: Why He Died and Why It Matters, 2008

"It is so important to understand that one of the primary means of immobilizing the American people politically today is to hold them in a state of confusion in which anything can be believed but nothing can be known, nothing of significance that is.

And the American people are more than willing to be held in this state because to know the truth - as opposed to only believe the truth - is to face an awful terror and to be no longer able to evade responsibility."

E. Martin Schotz, History Will Not Absolve Us, 1996


There will be a stock option expiration for December on Friday.

President Trump has announced that he will be making an announcement to the nation this evening at 9 PM EST.

Speculation on what this will be about is all over the board, but much of it centers on the Administration's provocative confrontation with Venezuela.

It's difficult to forecast what will happen, because we are dealing with a group of people who live in an alternative reality of lies and purposeful imaginings designed to manipulate public opinion, and the outsized looting of the nation by wealthy, willful sociopaths.  

Whatever happens, let us not overlook or excuse the terrible responsibility that is being laid upon those who watch all this unfolding and ask, 'What is truth?', and then cynically turn away from it.  

May they never rest. 

Gold and silver are moving higher in a flight to safety, with silver showing a particularly powerful bullishness driven it seems by a short squeeze on physical supply.  

All the things we have been saying about this ongoing fraudulent manipulation of silver, and gold, seems to be harder to dismiss now.  Not that the usual suspects will not try.  Fraud discovered has no resort but audacity.

VIX ticked higher.

The Dollar is hanging on the 98 handle, helped by the peculiarly outdated composition of the DXY index. 

Remember, in this time of adverse weather and troubled conditions, to feed and care for the birds and animals of His creation, and the innocent souls among us, the little ones, the least of these. 

"The blessed John the Evangelist lived in Ephesus until extreme old age.  His disciples could barely carry him to church and he could not muster the voice to speak many words.  During individual gatherings he usually said nothing but, 'Little children, love one another.'  The disciples and brothers in attendance, annoyed because they always heard the same words, finally said, 'Teacher, why do you always say this?'  He replied with a line worthy of John: 'Because it is the Lord's commandment, and if it alone is kept, it is sufficient.'"

Jerome, Commentary on Galatians, 4th century

And this includes caring for the state of your own soul, with faith and prayer and acts of kindness, because that is what this is all about.

Have a pleasant evening.

16 December 2025

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Souls Lost In a Field of False Flags

 

"Through its monopoly over the media, the ruling oligarchy can repeatedly blame all its failures on others, and divert attention to external threats – either real or imaginary.  When you live under such an oligarchy, there is always some crisis or other that takes priority over boring stuff such as healthcare and pollution.  By manufacturing a never-ending stream of crises, a corrupt oligarchy can prolong its rule indefinitely.”

Yuval Noah Harari, 21 Lessons for the 21st Century, 2018

"I organized the [false flag] incident under orders from Reinhard Heydrich and Heinrich Müller, chief of the Gestapo. On the night of 31 August, a small group of German operatives dressed in Polish uniforms and led by Naujocks seized the Gleiwitz radio station and broadcast a short anti-German message in Polish. The operation was to make the attack and the broadcast look like the work of Polish anti-German saboteurs."

SS-Sturmbannführer Alfred Naujocks, Testimony at the Nuremberg trials, 20 December 1945

"If you know American foreign policy, false flags are the essence of that.  And if you study the CIA as I have for a lifetime, you know that false flags are actually their method of operation.  It launches coups, assassinations, wars. The whole history of the United States after 1947 is bringing down governments."

Jeffrey Sachs, Interview with Piers Morgan, 5 December 2024

"Some men want war for sordid, others for idealistic, reasons; some for personal gain, others for impersonal principle. But most of those who consciously want war and accept it, and so help to create its 'inevitability,' want it in order to shift the locus of their problems."

C. Wright Mills, The Causes of World War III, 1960

"Foreigners and those who disagree with us are not thought of as men and women like ourselves and our fellow-countrymen; they are thought of as representatives and symbols of a class.  In so far as they have any personality at all, it is the personality we mistakenly attribute to their class – a personality that is, by definition, intrinsically evil.

We know that the harming or killing of men and women is wrong, and we are reluctant consciously to do what we know to be wrong.  But when particular men and women are thought of merely as representatives of a class, which has previously been defined as evil and personified in the shape of a devil, then the reluctance to hurt or murder disappears.

Rulers of nations and leaders of parties find morality embarrassing.  That is why they take such pains to depersonalize their opponents.  All propaganda directed against an opposing group has but one aim: to substitute diabolical abstractions for concrete persons.  The propagandist’s purpose is to make one set of people forget that certain other sets of people are human.  By robbing them of their personality, he puts them outside the pale of moral obligation."

Aldous Huxley, Words and Behaviour, 1936


In looking back over the past 30 years or so, I recognize that I have had a serious misconception of how certain things work in this fallen world.  The solution is not to find knowledge and share it. Knowledge does not create morality. 

You cannot foster goodness and moral improvement by showing people the reality of things.  To the contrary, more knowledge can often just help to create more effective devils in those so inclined.

And a corollary of this is that just 'knowing more things' does not necessarily make one a better person.  Some of the better educated people in our Lord's time on earth were the Pharisees and the Romans.  And their hypocrisy is well-documented, to the point of being legendary.

"'It is easier for a camel to pass through the eye of a needle than for one who is rich to enter the kingdom of God.'  When the disciples heard this, they were greatly astonished and said, 'Who then can be saved?' Jesus looked at them and said, 'For human beings this is impossible, but for God all things are possible.'”    Matthew 19:24-26

This is the reason why the efficient markets hypothesis and the trend to self-regulation is hoo-haw.  People are not naturally give to the rational, so providing more and better information about how things work does not cause they to be 'better.'

Another modern myth shot to hell.

Stocks dumped today, but found a footing and came back in the light last hour of trading.

The economic news this morning 'sucked out loud', as the youngsters (those under 40) might say. 

Donnie says he has 'big news' for us tomorrow night at 9 PM EST.  Since I am not clairvoyant, and am not able to see changes to the personal stock portfolios of some of our government luminaries, I have no idea what this is, and how it will affect the markets.

Odds are it will be a big nothing, or a big sounding something that is pure wind. 

Gold and silver wobbled around as did the Dollar.  The silver market is interesting of late.  I think we have been seeing someone with deep pockets sitting on silver with a limit buy that keeps absorbing the paper selling on the Comex and whack-a-mole selling on the London LBMA.

The other day I read that Samsung has a new lithium battery technology that utilizes silver that solves a lot of lithium-ion problems, and its going into mass production next year.  This is correlated to the Electric Vehicle market, and the buildouts of solar farms for AI centers.

Since I expect the AI tech bubble to go the way of the 2001 tech bubble, this might not be as long term reassuring as I might hope. But it will be nice to see the silver racket with a hole blown through it.

A similar situation has existed for some time now with gold, as its bull rally is underpinned by steady and strong physical buying by the non-Western central banks. 

VIX fell again.

Bitcoin bounced back a little, remaining in the recent trading range it has channeled.  It seems a bit dicey, but the major players don't want to kill their golden goose just yet.

Corrections and rallies come and go.  But the risk markets are primed for a 10-20% correction.  I think it will take an 'event' to crash through the support levels patrolled by Secretary Bessent and his boy at the NY Fed and ESF.  

It might not even be a US-centric event.  A crash in the Japan carry trade might get the ball rolling for example.  Or some unfortunate series of event in the Mideast as another.

Need little, want less, love more.  For those who abide in God abide in love, and love in them.

Have a pleasant evening.