21 June 2018

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Slow Motion Run on Physical Gold For Delivery Continues - Dow PBR

"The new London Gold Pool slow motion run on physical gold since 2013 (see latest Russian CB gold buying today) remains in full effect, w/latest COMEX registered inventories hitting lowest levels in 3 yrs, & COMEX owners/oz hitting 185x, highest since late 2015."

Luke Gromen

It's good to see that I am not the only one who seems to be noticing this and publicly commenting on it.  The big physical gold demand has been coming out of what Nick Laird calls 'the New Silk Road' which includes China and India.

Gold and silver were unchanged on the day, as the US Dollar DX Index slipped below the 95 handle in the afternoon.

The drawdown in Physical Gold eligible for immediate delivery has continued its decline. There was a large addition in Hong Kong that was immediate taken off, and then some again.

I am not quite sure what this sharp decline in this particular physical gold category means.  It could be some big players protecting their own stash of physical during a scheduled price takedown on paper.  Or it could be the long awaited reckoning the the thinness in the gold float.

The last time we tracked a shortage in the 'gold float' the gold pool was able to fill the void with gold taken from a South American country that had gotten into a jam. Let's see what they pull out of a hat, or points south, this time around.

I noticed today that Nick's gold chart accounts are 'suspended.'  I am looking into this.  He hosts some of the best data and charts on every aspect of the precious metals around.

Stocks continued their decline to areas that would be considered short term support.

With the replacing of GE by Walgreens Drugstores in the Dow Jones Industrials, one might take a look at its composition and question how 'industrial' it might be. Or as Frank Booth in the movie Blue Velvet might have put it:  "Industrials!   F**k that s**t!  Pharma, Banking, Retail!!"

Markets were concerned by the earnings warning from Daimler, as an indication of trouble in the global markets and the effects of a trade war.

There will be a precious metals option expiry on the Comex next Tuesday the 26th. The silver contract is much more active for July, but gold is in an interesting situation now and may see more antics designed to shock people out of their paper claims, which appear to be a bit over the top again.

Have a pleasant evening.

20 June 2018

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Surprising Decline By Half In Physical Gold For Immediate Delivery in NY

"What is good? All that enhances the feeling of power, the will to power, and the power itself in man.  What is bad? All that proceeds from weakness.  What is happiness?  The feeling that power is increasing--that resistance has been overcome.  Not contentment, but more power; not peace at any price, but war; not virtue, but competence.

The first principle of our humanism is that the weak and the failures shall perish. And they ought to be helped to perish. What is more harmful than any vice? Active pity for all failure and weakness— christianity."

Friedrich Nietzsche, The Antichrist

"For we wrestle not against flesh and blood, but against principalities and powers, against the rulers of the darkness of this world, against spiritual wickedness in high places."

Ephesians 6:12

“A true opium of the people is a belief in nothingness after death— the huge solace of thinking that for our betrayals, greed, cowardice, and murders that we are not going to be judged.”

Czesław Miłosz

Stocks were doing well today as investors continued to pile into the 'relative safety' of the small caps of the Russell 2000.

Big cap tech put its moonshot in place, but fell off into the close.

The Dow continued its string of losses, the longest since March 2017.

This may be late stage blowoff top action. We'll have to keep an eye on where we go with this next.

The market was cheered that Trumpolini signed an order putting some modification into the wholesale separation of immigrant children from their parents. The manner in which he phrased the words around this were interesting. Like Obama he seems able to look at something that he has done, and address it in the non-involved third person.

I think caution in US equities is advisable, and it may be time to take some profits off the table, especially if we get the kind of initial drop and breakdown with a failure to recover that I had been discussing with examples from history yesterday.

I'll let you know if I see a major tsunami warning, but even now caution is advisable.

The Dollar was a little higher with gold and silver off a bit.

I was a little surprised to see the dual drop in gold marked available for delivery on the Comex. Gold in the NY warehouses dropped by half to only 230,000 ounces!

This matches up with a similar drop in the gold in the inventory in Hong Kong. Let's see what happens next there. I will be curious to see what amount of gold shows up in Hong Kong to meet delivery demands there.

There will be an option expiration next week on the Comex, that is not likely to be consequential for gold. August is the month for gold trading action.  It may be of more interest for silver.

Bloomberg had some transmission problems in my area in the last hour, and so I flipped over to CNBC. Now I recall why I had stopped watching that infomercial channel some time ago.

I found a short article titled A 'Zero Tolerance' Immigration Primer that is worth reading for some insight into the current situation.  The vileness and bald-faced hypocrisy of what is going on is probably worse than we think. 

Two of my wonderful goddaughters came over for a visit today. We (they) did a nice job tidying up some things that did not meet with their approval. I have to admit that I lack their touch. Like my son, they are my joy and my consolation.

People are funny.  They just don't get it.  They think that they are in the know, that they are some kind of superior beings, and that they are winning the game.  They don't even understand what the game is really all about.   It can be almost heart-breaking to see what they do to themselves and to others, for less than nothing.  For what does it profit a man...

Need little, want less, love more.  For those who abide in love abide in God, and God in them.

Have a pleasant evening.

19 June 2018

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Scraping By - Every Mother, Every Father

"Every mother, every father
Called to raise up sons or daughters
May your heart be patient
May your mind be clear
May our God be with you
And calm your fears."

Porter's Gate Project, Every Mother Every Father (Assad, Zach, Cunningham)

"In the Incarnation the whole human race recovers the dignity of the image of God.  Thereafter, any attack, even on the least of men, is an attack on Christ, who took on the form of man, and in His own Person restored the image of God in all.

Through our relationship with the Incarnation we recover our true humanity, and at the same time are delivered from that perverse individualism which is the consequence of sin, and recover our familiality with all mankind."

Dietrich Bonhoeffer

O Lord, pierce our hardened hearts, enlighten our willful blindness, and break our chains of pride and self-deception, so that we may choose life for ourselves and for our children.

As usual US stock futures plunged overnight on the threats from Trumpolini to ratchet up the stakes in the developing trade war with China.

And as usual, after the market close in Europe, the stock futures were walked up slowly, in relatively quiet summer-like trading, to close far off the lows towards unchanged.

I suspect that one day soon the markets may slip. And all the king's men won't be able to prop it back up and make it look pretty again.

The signature will be a big drop that sticks, and then an attempt to rally out of it that fails, and then a plunge that begins to bite more deeply. This is essentially what happened in 1987 and over a longer period of time in 1929. It is still a low probability event, but things are going along rather riskily with an almost willful indifference to it.

Gold and silver were also hit in the early NY trading hours after moving higher overnight.

Once those two genies pop out of their bottles, there is going to be quite a chore to bottle them back up again.

Physical inventories of gold ready to be delivered are quite low.

One wonders how unsustainable, or perhaps more correctly unstable, the current situation in the markets may be at these valuations and assumptions.

I watched the World Cup games in the afternoon, and missed Trumpolini's far-ranging rant to the Independent Business Group. Darn.

It does seem like the world is holding its breath, to see what happens next.

Need little, want less, love more. For those who abide in love abide in God, and God in them.

And may the peace of the Lord, which surpasses all understanding, guard our hearts and our minds.

Have a pleasant evening.

18 June 2018

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - We're Not In Kansas Anymore, Toto

Stocks were much lower today in the US markets, but managed to come back to nearly unchanged in very sluggish summer trading.

Gold and silver were marginally lower, and the Dollar was essentially unchanged.

As I noted earlier here, President Trump has directed the Department of Defense to establish a sixth branch of the military to be called the Space Force which is to be 'separate but equal' with the US Air Force. The Air force, which has a long established and fairly broad and well-maintained infrastructure, has an annual budget of about $150 billion per year. Yikes!

Interesting, considering that the US is so underinvested in its space technology and infrastructure that is has been buying rocket engines from Russia to launch its satellites.

Russia indicated that they are watching this announcement of a new militarization of space by the US with interest, and might consider an embargo on selling their rockets to support such an endeavor.

Let them eat Space X.

The illusions are many, and the reckoning may be painful.

Need little, want less, love more. For those who abide in love abide in God, and God in them.

Have a pleasant evening.