The metals are coiling for a move.
The odds favor an upwards breakout, but there is still the possibility of a drop, most likely if stocks drop as well, most likely in a liquidation driven sell off.
“Some economists, when thinking about long memory, are concerned that it undercuts the Efficient Market Hypothesis that prices fully reflect all relevant information; that the random walk is the best metaphor to describe such markets; and that you cannot beat such an unpredictable market. Well, the Efficient Market Hypothesis is no more than that, a hypothesis. Many a grand theory has died under the onslaught of real data.” Benoît B. Mandelbrot