Try not to get out in front of this, and keep a very open mind that the comparison may diverge at some point thanks to the massive Fed and Treasury intervention.
Its better to miss the first part of a move than it is to come in early for several false starts and exhaust yourself and your resources for the time when the real move comes. "Bragging rights" are for amateurs. If you make a 'call' you carry it like a cross. Trading in bear markets is all about agility.
"A new, invisible and at times virtual, tyranny is established, one which unilaterally and irremediably imposes its own laws and rules. Moreover, indebtedness and credit distance countries from their real economy and citizens from their real buying power. Added to this, as if it were needed, is widespread corruption and selfish fiscal evasion which have taken on worldwide dimensions. The will to power and of possession has become limitless." Francis I, 16 May 2013