Try not to get out in front of this, and keep a very open mind that the comparison may diverge at some point thanks to the massive Fed and Treasury intervention.
Its better to miss the first part of a move than it is to come in early for several false starts and exhaust yourself and your resources for the time when the real move comes. "Bragging rights" are for amateurs. If you make a 'call' you carry it like a cross. Trading in bear markets is all about agility.
"Seneca had made the bargain that many good men have made when agreeing to aid bad regimes. Their presence strengthens the regime and helps it endure. But their moral influence may also improve the regime's behavior. For many, this has been a bargain worth making, even if it has cost them—as it may have cost Seneca—their immortal soul. The Rome he has been trained to serve, the Rome of Augustus and Germanicus, was gone. In its place stood Neropolis, ruled by a megalomaniac brat.” James Romm