“Some economists, when thinking about long memory, are concerned that it undercuts the Efficient Market Hypothesis that prices fully reflect all relevant information; that the random walk is the best metaphor to describe such markets; and that you cannot beat such an unpredictable market. Well, the Efficient Market Hypothesis is no more than that, a hypothesis. Many a grand theory has died under the onslaught of real data.” Benoît B. Mandelbrot
The market action was technically volatile and ugly, with a strong downside bias. The Russell 2000 Chart shows a definite divergence to the upside and the best hope for the bullish case.
Today with the simultaneous declines in the major US stock indices, the Treasury long bonds, and the US dollar we had the first indication that capital flight might be occurring. We'll have to see that continue next week to start regarding it as a trend.
