Presumably this is a different bottom than the one he called in April 2008.
"The worst is behind us." 23 April 2008 - Bill Miller
Bill Miller of Legg Mason Calls a Bottom
Reuters
Legg Mason's Miller: "Bottom's been made" in stocks
By Jennifer Ablan and Herbert Lash
Wed Dec 3, 2008 3:56pm EST
NEW YORK, Dec 3 (Reuters) - Legg Mason's Bill Miller, a celebrated investor but whose stock picking is far off the mark this year, said on Wednesday the "bottom has been made" in U.S. equities.
He recommends that the Federal Reserve buy stocks and junk bonds to avert a deeper financial crisis, adding "the taxpayer would make a killing" as markets rebound. (Yikes! - Jesse)
Speaking at Legg Mason's annual luncheon for media, Miller said that all long-term investors believe that stocks today are cheap, but credit markets must regain health before equity markets can rally.
It "looks as if the bottom has been made" in U.S. stocks, he said.
Miller told Reuters the year has been "terrible, a disaster and awful," yet he held out his past performance in down markets as a reason why he should not be counted out.
"We've performed in most of the financial panics that we've had -- the last one being the three-year bear market ending in 2002 -- we outperformed all the way through that," he said.
"So even though we lost money, we lost a lot less money than the market did," Miller added.
However, Miller acknowledged that his performance has been worse than in past downturns.
"When you're underperforming and losing more money than the market in a down market, then that's a much more problematic situation. We've performed far worse than I would've predicted we would," he said.
For the year, Miller's flagship Value Trust LMVTX.O fund was down 59.7 percent as of Tuesday, compared to a 41 percent decline in the reinvested returns of the S&P 500 index, according to Lipper Inc., a unit of Thomson Reuters.
Performance over the year-to-date, one-, three- and five-year periods for Value Trust put it at the bottom of the barrel among its peers, Lipper data shows.
The severe sell-off has provided ample opportunities. (Yes. Like a plague creates plenty of vacancies in hotels - Jesse)
"This market is very unusual because since the end of the second quarter, it has been a pure scramble for liquidity which accelerated obviously post-Lehman Brothers and people sold without regard to value at all," Miller said.
"So at the end of the end of this quarter, every sector in the market has companies that represent what we think are exceptional value."
