The commitments of traders has not turned negative on the Dollar for the funds, but has decreased sufficiently to indicate the Eurodollar short squeeze has been relieved, at least for now. The TED Spread will indicate any reversal.
We will have to see how this plays out, but we are now bearish on the dollar again for at least the short term, and remain bearish in the long term still despite the strong counter trend rally. Our intermediate term objective of 66 remains unfilled.
While the Obama Administration cannot take a 'weak dollar' policy it is the only practical way to correct the imbalances brought about by the last 20 years of systemic manipulation. It is either that, or the selective default on sovereign debt, most likely through conflict, a hot or cold war.
Ironically enough, we think all of this is unnecessary and without good purpose, excepting the pathological greed for power of the elite in all the nations involved.
“A nation can survive its fools, and even the ambitious. But it cannot survive treason from within. For the traitor appears not a traitor; he wears their face and their arguments, he appeals to the baseness that lies deep in the hearts of all men. He rots the soul of a nation, he works secretly and unknown in the night to undermine the pillars of the city, he infects the body politic so that it can no longer resist. A murderer is less to fear. The traitor is the plague.” Marcus Tullius Cicero
