The US will release its Advanced Estimate of GDP for the fourth quarter of 2008 tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM.
The consensus of economists is for -5.4% which is a quarter number, non-annualized to put this into comparison with other countries which annualize their numbers.
A low end print of -6.0% is the whisper with the "Yikes!" number at -7.0%
It is thought by some that the Obama Administration release a conservative advance estimate to help shock the Senate into acting on their stimulus package. Who can tell about such things?
Keep an eye on the Chain Deflator which is estimated to come in at 0.6%.
In addition to GDP, the Chicago PMI and Revised Michigan Sentiment for January will also be released at 9:45 and 9:55 respectively.
“Thus, it should be understood that when pro-US figures use the term, 'rules-based international order,' they are not referring to anything analogous to the rule of law. Quite the opposite, they are using Orwellian language to describe a system in which essentially no rules can be established and/or observed, given that the dominant state has the prerogative to violate and/or rewrite “rules” at its whim.” Aaron Good, American Exception