It is important to remember that this is a 'triple witching' week with options expiring on Friday. In markets such as this in particular it is a week of shenanigans as the bigger house players squeeze the option punters who are essentially speculating with too much leverage. March is a big expiration.
We also have the Fed in a two day FOMC meeting with their announcement tomorrow at 2:15 EDT.
The uptrend has held so far. The first chart shows the hourly action up close, and the second chart shows the same scenario but within the context of the bigger picture.
This feels like a technical rally. And surely there is no recovery in the real economy six months out, which is what is required to justify a sustained market uptrend and a new bull market.
Although Ben Bernanke has made noises about a possible recovery at the end of this year, we would file that with his other economic pronouncements about the credit crisis being confined to subprime and so forth. He is constantly talking his book, which demands a rosy recovery. He won't get it.
There will be no recovery in our nation until there is significant reform enacted to bring our economy back into balance. The financial system, gone off the track with gambling, is draining our energy away from real productive efforts, acting as a hidden by substantial tax on the quality of our growth.
A view of the above chart within the greater context of this rally.
"Some people see God as they see a cow, and love Him as they love a cow — for the milk and cheese, and the profit it brings. This is how it is with people who love God for the sake of worldly possessions or inward comfort. They do not truly love God when they love Him for their own advantage. The eye through which I see God is the same eye through which God sees me; my eye and God's eye are one eye — one seeing, one knowing, one love.”
Meister Eckhart, Predigten und Traktate