29 March 2010

Bernanke Confronts the Kondratieff Winter at His Feast of Malinvestment





Here is some cultural diversion for a slow trading day.

Although this is not the best performance, it has subtitles in English which is a plus when trying to draw parallels for an audience unlikely to be fluent in Italian, or familiar with the libretto. This staging does not quite show it as vividly as some others I have seen, but at the end of the scene the ghost of the Commendatore drags Don Giovanni with him into hell. In this opera Leporello, the common man, escapes the fate of his master. In our analogy, I am afraid Don Bernanke may be dragging the common people along with him.

The SP is suspended in a tight range, with the big resistance at 1180 and support at 1155.

This is a holy week for Christians and Jews, and trading is light. The market is waiting for the Jobs Report on Friday, April 2. It would probably have been more appropriate to bring it on on April 1 (April Fool's Day).

I'm looking for a positive headline number of about 76,000, but it could be higher if they knock down the prior months in revision and move the jobs gains forward.

Discussion of market manipulation in the SP futures is becoming more open, with the noting of the propping in the SP futures becoming very pronounced. An exogenous shock could send the US equities markets into an air pocket. But those are tough odds to play.

The World Gold Council has finally acknowledged that China is becoming a big buyer of gold bullion, and this trend is likely to gain momentum. Despite their name, the WGC is the most timid and reserved of industry associations ever seen, often downplaying their own industry to a fault.