“Some economists, when thinking about long memory, are concerned that it undercuts the Efficient Market Hypothesis that prices fully reflect all relevant information; that the random walk is the best metaphor to describe such markets; and that you cannot beat such an unpredictable market. Well, the Efficient Market Hypothesis is no more than that, a hypothesis. Many a grand theory has died under the onslaught of real data.” Benoît B. Mandelbrot
08 July 2010
SP 500 September Futures Daily Chart
The SP futures completed a 61.8% retracement from the bottom today. Now we will see if this was a bottom and a short term trend change that can go all the way to the top of the big long term trend channel.