“Some economists, when thinking about long memory, are concerned that it undercuts the Efficient Market Hypothesis that prices fully reflect all relevant information; that the random walk is the best metaphor to describe such markets; and that you cannot beat such an unpredictable market. Well, the Efficient Market Hypothesis is no more than that, a hypothesis. Many a grand theory has died under the onslaught of real data.” Benoît B. Mandelbrot
04 August 2010
SP 500 September Futures Daily chart: It's Long Way to 1,000
Although stocks may break out of the trend and go higher, it is better than even odds that the SP fails below 1135 and drops down in a test of 1,000.