SP 500 Futures
@ 11 PM EDT
Existing home sales tomorrow at 4.6 Million consensus. Refis are progressing so quickly the NY Fed is growing concerned about its shrinking MBS portfolios that it took over from the banks. As refis are done the mortgages leave the pool.
US GDP second estimate for Q2 on Thursday 27 August. Consensus is for 1.4% versus the first estimate of 2.4% and a chain deflator of 1.8%. If the deflator deviates lower from this figure then it might to 'enhance' a bad GDP figure. Watch inventories as well.
Gold Daily Chart
It is options expiration this week (26 August) at the Comex for the precious metals.
Gold Weekly Chart
Silver Weekly Chart
“Some economists, when thinking about long memory, are concerned that it undercuts the Efficient Market Hypothesis that prices fully reflect all relevant information; that the random walk is the best metaphor to describe such markets; and that you cannot beat such an unpredictable market. Well, the Efficient Market Hypothesis is no more than that, a hypothesis. Many a grand theory has died under the onslaught of real data.” Benoît B. Mandelbrot