“Some economists, when thinking about long memory, are concerned that it undercuts the Efficient Market Hypothesis that prices fully reflect all relevant information; that the random walk is the best metaphor to describe such markets; and that you cannot beat such an unpredictable market. Well, the Efficient Market Hypothesis is no more than that, a hypothesis. Many a grand theory has died under the onslaught of real data.” Benoît B. Mandelbrot
16 January 2013
SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - A Curious Complacency
The VIX chart is included below.
The complacency looks a bit overdone. The wiseguys want stocks to go higher very badly. And they might, until something happens to pop this risk mispricing.