“Some economists, when thinking about long memory, are concerned that it undercuts the Efficient Market Hypothesis that prices fully reflect all relevant information; that the random walk is the best metaphor to describe such markets; and that you cannot beat such an unpredictable market. Well, the Efficient Market Hypothesis is no more than that, a hypothesis. Many a grand theory has died under the onslaught of real data.” Benoît B. Mandelbrot
04 March 2013
SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Complacency Returns
Today was a QE bet, risk on, as the market shook off any fears of Europe.
But this is an obsessive-compulsive rally, and the trends go with the winds, which are highly variable.