The chart formations are a bit sloppy for the moment.
There are some possibilities, but they require fleshing out.
And until 1370 is taken out, they are just lines on a piece of paper.
The levels of support and overhead resistance are quite clear.
"Where such a shift in power is in favor of the governing elite, Power will achieve its murderous potential. It simply waits for an excuse, an event of some sort, an assassination, a massacre in a neighboring country, an attempted coup, a famine, or a natural disaster, to justify the beginning of murder en masse. Most state sponsored murder occurs under the cover of war, revolution, or guerrilla war, or in their aftermath."
R. J. Rummel