Jesse's Café Américain

“Some economists, when thinking about long memory, are concerned that it undercuts the Efficient Market Hypothesis that prices fully reflect all relevant information; that the random walk is the best metaphor to describe such markets; and that you cannot beat such an unpredictable market. Well, the Efficient Market Hypothesis is no more than that, a hypothesis. Many a grand theory has died under the onslaught of real data.” Benoît B. Mandelbrot

Showing posts with label US monetary history. Show all posts
Showing posts with label US monetary history. Show all posts
29 September 2018

US Debt and the Restraint of a Gold Standard

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Although FDR ended the use of gold in domestic circulation as currency in 1933, the US dollar remained on the gold standard until 1971.   ...
11 June 2014

Currency War: 140 Years of Monetary History in Ten Minutes

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Like most complex subjects reduced to a ten minute summation, there are plenty of nuances lost here, and one might certainly take issue ...
29 November 2009

The 38 Year Cycle in US Monetary History

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I am not a big believer in comprehensive cycle theory. The weakness of cycles is the same as all systems that seek to impose an external o...
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