Jesse's Café Américain

“Some economists, when thinking about long memory, are concerned that it undercuts the Efficient Market Hypothesis that prices fully reflect all relevant information; that the random walk is the best metaphor to describe such markets; and that you cannot beat such an unpredictable market. Well, the Efficient Market Hypothesis is no more than that, a hypothesis. Many a grand theory has died under the onslaught of real data.” Benoît B. Mandelbrot

Showing posts with label bond crash. Show all posts
Showing posts with label bond crash. Show all posts
10 June 2015

Fragility: What Has the Watchers Worried In the US Debt Markets

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As you know I am on the lookout for a 'trigger event' that might spark another financial crisis, given the co...
24 January 2013

The Moral Hazard of the Fed's Current Policy: The Resurgence of Fraudulent Paper

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"As a dog returns to its vomit, so a fool returns to his folly." Proverbs 26:11 A reader who works in commercial real estate f...
12 August 2010

SP 500 and NDX September Futures Daily Charts; Gold Daily Chart; Corporate Bonds

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The stock market was hit by a double whammy with the miss in revenue by bellwether Cisco after the bell last night, and then the dreadful un...
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