Jesse's Café Américain

“Some economists, when thinking about long memory, are concerned that it undercuts the Efficient Market Hypothesis that prices fully reflect all relevant information; that the random walk is the best metaphor to describe such markets; and that you cannot beat such an unpredictable market. Well, the Efficient Market Hypothesis is no more than that, a hypothesis. Many a grand theory has died under the onslaught of real data.” Benoît B. Mandelbrot

Showing posts with label credit bubble. Show all posts
Showing posts with label credit bubble. Show all posts
15 March 2013

Greenspan: No Irrational Exuberance, Stocks 'Undervalued' - The Rake's Progress

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  “I recognise that there is a stock market bubble problem at this point , and I agree with Governor Lindsey that this is a problem that we ...
27 February 2012

Performance of Stocks, Bonds, and Gold In an Inflationary Environment

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Jeremy Grantham's GMO group has produced an interesting study showing the performance of three asset classes against inflation. I th...
03 April 2009

The Credit Bubble Was a Ponzi Scheme Enabled by the US Dollar

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They say a picture is worth a thousand words. Here is a picture of the US credit bubble, with the deleveraging which has just begun. It is/w...

Pictures From a Monetary Bubble

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Credit bubbles are very much like pyramid, or Ponzi, schemes. The middle class is particularly hard hit as they exchange their remaining rea...
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