Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - The Wages of Sin

 

"Price discovery is not a sexy function of markets, but it is critical to the efficient allocation of scarce capital and resources, and to the preservation of the long term wealth of investors and the economy as a whole.  If price discovery is compromised by manipulation, then we will all be gradually impoverished and the economy will be imbalanced and unstable."

London Banker, Lies, Damn Lies, and Libor, 10 July 2012

"What is most offensive is not their lying — one can always forgive lying — lying can be a delightful thing, for it leads to truth.  What is offensive is that they lie, and they worship their own lying."

Fyodor Dostoevsky, Crime and Punishment, 1866

"They often come across as arrogant, shameless braggarts — self-assured, opinionated, domineering, and cocky.  They love to have power and control over others, and seem unable to believe that other people have valid opinions different from theirs.  What makes psychopaths different from all others is the remarkable ease with which they lie, the pervasiveness of their deception, and the callousness with which they carry it out.  The majority of people and workplaces are easy prey, because we still want to believe that people are inherently good. We don't really want to believe that such people exist. Wherever you find money, prestige and power you will find them. We are far more likely to lose our life savings to an oily-tongued swindler than our lives to a steely-eyed killer."

Robert D. Hare, Without Conscience, November 1993

"Evil when we are in its power is not felt as evil, but as a necessity, or even a duty."

Simone Weil, La pesanteur et la grâce, 1947

"Crafty and penetrating as he is, yet his thousand eyes and his many instruments avail him nothing against the majestic serene silence, the holy imperturbable calm which reigns through the providences of God.  He makes a guess here, or does a bold act there, but all in the dark.  If even devils, sagacious as they are, spirits by nature and experienced in evil, cannot detect His hand while He works, how can we hope to see it except by that way which the devils cannot take, by loving faith."

John Henry Newman, Christ Manifested in Remembrance, 7 May 1837

"When Judas, his betrayer, saw that Jesus had been condemned to death, he was seized with regret, and returned the thirty pieces of silver to the ruling priests and the elders, saying, ‘I have sinned. I have betrayed innocent blood.’  But they said, ‘What is that to us? That’s your responsibility.’  So he threw the money into the temple, and went and hanged himself."

Matthew 27:3-5

"We have been silent witnesses of evil deeds: we have been drenched by many storms; we have learnt the arts of equivocation and pretence; experience has made us suspicious of others and kept us from being truthful and open; intolerable conflicts have worn us down and even made us cynical.  Are we still of any use?  What we shall need is not geniuses, or cynics, or misanthropes, or clever tacticians, but plain, honest, straightforward men."

Dietrich Bonhoeffer, After Ten Years, New Year's Day 1943


The stock futures had a serious plunge down to their lows at about 3:50 PM today, but then recovered to come back to their gradual lift off the lows.  After the bell the futures fell back down again sharply. 

Certainly interesting and worth noting.

Silver was just hammered today, ahead of the option expiration for the silver May contract option expiration on the Comex on the 27th.  I posted this chart regularly for the last few days.

 VIX did its usual bipolar boogie woogie.

The Dollar has been chopping sideways in a trading range for quite some time.  

As you may recall I have highlighted the antiquated composition of the DXY index many, many times in the past going back to my old site in 2003.   It is heavily weighted to the world after the Bretton Woods agreement, with the appropriate alterations for the introduction of the euro.  

Although there are better, more up to date trade weighted indices, this is the one that Wall Street trades.

We are heading into what may turn out to be a significant weekend.   Israel wants to resume their military operations against Iran/Lebanon quite badly.   

Trump sees himself falling into a snare that is likely to cost his party quite a bit, given the lack of any benefit to the US for this.

Let's see what the competing forces of evil and lesser evil come up with for us.  For now righteousness is a shining light in the dark, guiding the faithful, but not yet come into its ascendancy in the world.

Have a pleasant evening. 

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Dark Triad: A Deep Well of Sickness

 

"If at the start this cancerous growth in the nation was not particularly noticeable, it was only because there were still enough forces at work that operated for the good, so that it was kept under control.  As it grew larger, however, and finally in an ultimate spurt of growth attained ruling power, the tumor broke open, as it were, and infected the whole body."

The White Rose, Second Leaflet, Munich 1942

"Coined by psychologists Delroy Paulhus and Kevin Williams in 2002, the term 'Dark Triad' describes three distinct but overlapping traits: narcissism, Machiavellianism, psychopathy.  Each carries its own texture — grandiosity, manipulation, coldness — but they share a common core: callousness and exploitation. Think of it as a psychological Venn diagram. 

• Narcissism craves admiration. 
• Machiavellianism craves control. 
• Psychopathy craves thrill and dominance.

At first glance, the narcissist dazzles.  They radiate confidence, charm, and certainty.  They know how to light up a room, and how to make you feel lit by their glow.  But beneath the sheen lies fragility.  The narcissist is addicted to admiration-craving it like oxygen.  Without it, their grandiosity cracks.  Criticism cuts deeper than a blade.  Rejection feels like annihilation.  What marks narcissism in the Dark Triad isn't just self-love, it's exploitation.  Others become mirrors, reflecting back validation.  Relationships become stages for their performance. In modern culture, narcissism thrives because it's rewarded. Influencers curate endless self-image. CEOs spin their charisma into power. Politicians build cults of personality. The narcissist doesn't just survive in today's world-they're celebrated for the very traits that corrode intimacy and truth.

Where the narcissist craves the spotlight, the Machiavellian prefers the shadows.  Cold, calculating, and relentlessly strategic, the highly Machiavellian treat life as a chessboard.  People are pawns.  Relationships are leverage.  Morality is optional.  High-Machs aren't impulsive like psychopaths. They're patient. They bide their time, cultivate influence, and strike when it counts.  This makes them dangerous not for their explosions, but for their persistence. In workplaces, they thrive in office politics.  In relationships, they use charm and deception as tools.  In leadership, they cloak self-interest as pragmatism.  Where narcissists want applause and psychopaths want chaos, Machiavellians want control.  And they'll wait as long as it takes to get it.

If narcissism dazzles and Machiavellianism plots, psychopathy devours. Psychopaths are marked by callousness, impulsivity, and thrill-seeking. They feel little fear, little remorse, and little empathy. To them, people are not companions or colleagues-they are tools, obstacles, or prey. Unlike narcissists, they don't hunger for admiration. Unlike Machiavellians, they don't always wait patiently for the long game. Psychopaths live for the immediate rush-risk, dominance, the thrill of breaking rules.

The dark psychology of psychopathy lies in its emotional poverty.  Charm without care.  Action without regret.  Desire without restraint.  It's not always violent crime.  Sometimes it's the executive who cuts thousands of jobs with a smile.  Sometimes it's the partner who betrays without a flicker of guilt.  Sometimes it's the leader who gambles with millions of lives, chasing only their own win.  The predator doesn't always snarl.  Sometimes it shakes your hand."

Mark Hussey, The Dark Triad, The Brink, 29 August 2025

"The mood may be summed up thus: a shocking crime was committed on the unscrupulous initiative of few individuals, with the blessing of more, and amid the passive acquiescence of all."

Tacitus, The Murder of Galba, Annals

Stocks did their usual pop on Monday, as those who hedged their positions over this weekend of war were squeezed by the wiseguys.  

Machine-gunning lifeboats is one of their favorite plays. 

There will be an option expiration at the end of this week.

There will be an FOMC rate decision on Wednesday afternoon.

I am have little doubt that Bessent is lobbying hard for a rate cut, at Donnie's behest.

The Dollar slipped off the 100 handle.

Bitcoin is hold in the low 70's.  

This market is pumped by the bubble fluffers in the Treasury and NY Fed, and their Banker friends who will hitch an easy ride on any wash and rinse, especially if it is backed by the Administration. 

It is set up for what could prove to be a fairly impressive correction.

The 'war' is not going well at all.  My major concern is that someone is going to do something monumentally foolish and cross the mother of all red lines.

We are caught in a deep well of sickness, made by the servants and enablers of the Dark Triad.

What is surprising is how slowly people are coming to recognize this dilemma we are in. 

Have a pleasant evening. 

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Of Black Swans and Cooked Goose

 

“Never, never, never believe any war will be smooth and easy, or that any one who embarks on that strange voyage can measure the tides and hurricanes he will encounter.  The Statesman who yields to war fever must realise that once the signal is given, he is no longer the master of policy but the slave of unforeseeable and uncontrollable events. 

Antiquated War Offices, weak, incompetent or arrogant Commanders, untrustworthy allies, hostile neutrals, malignant Fortune, ugly surprises, awful miscalculations — all take their seat at the Council Board on the morrow of a declaration of war.  Always remember, however sure you are that you can easily win, that there would not be a war if the other man did not think he also had a chance. ”

Winston Churchill, My Early Life 1930, p. 229

"The Commonwealth of Rome grew great by the misery of the rest of mankind.  The Romans, like others as soon as they grew rich, grew corrupt; and in their corruption sold the lives and freedoms of themselves, and of one another.”

Samuel Johnson, Review of Memoirs of the Court of Augustus, 1756

"Trust in God, but everyone else shows the data.  Check the facts and the underlying assumptions.  The reason should be obvious, but people deal with the complexities of life by using assumptions, which are a kind of shorthand way of breaking reality down into manageable chunks.  Everyone does it. 

But it is useful, and prudent, to check those assumptions you make, and that other people are making, to see if they are still valid, especially if they involve things that are important (cf. Long Term Capital Management).  Is there a bus coming down the road you are crossing?  Are you financially solvent?  Have you allowed for lower probability but potentially corrosive and existential risks? (Taleb's famous Black Swan).  Those sorts of things."

Jesse, Investment Performance for 2007,  December 21, 2007

"All governments [and organizations] suffer a recurring problem: power attracts pathological personalities.  It is not that power corrupts, but that it is magnetic to the corruptible."

Frank Herbert, Chapterhouse Dune, March 1985

"Psychopaths don’t feel they have psychological or emotional problems, and they see no reason to change their behavior to conform with societal standards they do not agree with.  Psychopaths see the rules and expectations of society as inconvenient and unreasonable impediments to their own behavioral expression.  They make their own rules, both as children and as adults. 

Many of the antisocial acts of psychopaths lead to criminal charges and convictions.  But not all psychopaths end up in jail.  Many of the things they do escape detection or prosecution, or are on 'the shady side of the law.'  For them, antisocial behavior may consist of phony stock [and crypto] promotions, questionable business practices, spouse or child abuse, and so forth.  Many others do things that, though not necessarily illegal, are nevertheless unethical, immoral, or harmful to others: philandering or cheating on a spouse to name a few."

Robert Hare, How to Spot Predators Before They Attack, December 5, 2017

"They know of no solutions to the paradoxes of the Middle East and Europe, the Far East and Africa except the landing of Marines. Being baffled, and also being very tired of being baffled, they have come to believe that there is no way out—except war—which would remove all the bewildering paradoxes of their tedious and now misguided attempts to construct peace. In place of these paradoxes they prefer the bright, clear problems of war—as they used to be. For they still believe that 'winning' means something, although they never tell us what.

Some men want war for sordid, others for idealistic, reasons; some for personal gain, others for impersonal principle. But most of those who consciously want war and accept it, and so help to create its 'inevitability,' want it in order to shift the locus [epicenter] of their problems."

C. Wright Mills, The Causes of World War III, 1958 pp. 86-89


Stocks slumped and then rallied hard into the close.

This was the usual Monday short squeeze where they jam up the specs who took short positions in the market as a safeguard over the weekend.

Gold and silver were slammed, but they both bounced, with silver showing an impressive rise for a decent gain.

I wonder if Bessent and his oligarch buddies are running low on ammo like Hegseth is.

VIX came in hot with slumping stocks this morning, and then collapsed back down into the afternoon.

The Dollar popped at the open of NY trading, and then fell sharply into the close.

The market here is largely smoke and mirrors.  Be careful.

Bitcoin managed to hold a decent bounce.  Good for them.  Enjoy it while it lasts.

A little economic data on jobs from ADP will be coming out tomorrow morning. 

Wednesday is the more important release when we get some inflation data.  Alas, it's already a bit dated because it will not take into account the inflationary effects of the Iran war.

I keep playing scenarios on the outcome of this global adventurism, and they always seem to come out from very bad to disastrous.

As I have said, the US decision to participate in Netanyahu's war will be viewed in retrospect with the Germany invasion of Russia in Operation Barbarossa.

The way things are going if we are able to have unimpeded midterm elections, not by any means a sure thing, then the GOP will probably lose their Congressional majority and the Democrats will be able to make some headway in reining in this imperial presidency.

Even better, if the Democrats can displace Schumer and Jefferies from their leadership we might see some more meaningful reform.  But that does not seem likely at the moment. 

Have a pleasant evening. 

 

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - All Who Labor For God In a Dark Time

 

"All governments suffer a recurring problem: power attracts pathological personalities. It is not that power corrupts but that it is magnetic to the corruptible. Such people have a tendency to become drunk on violence, a condition to which they are quickly addicted."

Frank Herbert, Chapterhouse Dune, 1985

"His instruments are poor and despised; the world hardly knows their names, or not at all. They are busied about what the world thinks petty actions, and no one minds them. They are apparently set on no great works; nothing is seen to come of what they do.

Let this be the settled view of all who would promote Christ's cause upon earth. If we are true to ourselves, nothing can really thwart us. Our warfare is not with carnal weapons, but with heavenly. The world does not understand what our real power is, and where it lies. And until we put ourselves into its hands of our own act, it can do nothing against us.  Let all who would labour for God in a dark time beware of any thing which ruffles, excites, and in any way withdraws them from the love of God and Christ, and simple obedience to Him.

Such is the rule of our warfare. We advance by yielding; we rise by falling; we conquer by suffering; we persuade by silence; we become rich by bountifulness ; we inherit the earth through meekness; we gain comfort through mourning; we earn glory by penitence and prayer. Heaven and earth shall sooner fall than this rule be reversed; it is the law of Christ's kingdom, and nothing can reverse it but sin."

John Henry Newman, Sermons on the Subjects of the Day, June 13, 1841

"Psychopathy is a personality disorder characterized by twenty well-documented traits and characteristics.  The most visible are glib/superficial charm, a grandiose sense of self worth, a strong need for stimulation (that is, psychopaths are easily bored) and impulsivity.  However, there are others, which they successfully hide from view, in particular pathological lying, conning, manipulation, a lack of empathy, remorse and guilt.  Over time, one might begin to see examples of irresponsibility, lack of realistic, long-term goals, and their failure to take responsibility for their own actions."

Paul Babiak, Robert Hare, Snakes In Suits, May 9, 2006 

Stocks rallied back from steep losses, finishing into the green at the close.

Gold and silver advanced again sharply, giving back only a little.

The Dollar fell, prompting more bullishness in the metals.

Bitcoin rallied in the last half hour.  Smells like teen spirit.

Odd timing for all this in the depths of December.

Their arrogant ambitions know no shame, or bounds. 

Please try to remember God's creatures, huddling in the cold. 

“At this Christmas when Christ comes, will He find a warm heart? Mark the season of Advent by loving and serving others with God’s own love and concern."

Have a pleasant evening.

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - The Whims and Desires of the Elite

 

"Let them wait, if their past experience shall induce them to think that any high honour or any exquisite pleasure is to be obtained by a policy like this.  Let them wait, if this strange and fearful infatuation be indeed upon them, that they should not see with their eyes, or hear with their ears, or understand with their heart.  But let us know our interest and our duty better.  Turn where we may, within, around, the voice of great events is proclaiming to us,  'Reform, that you may preserve.'"

Thomas B. Macaulay, Speech Before Parliament, March 2, 1831

"The real problem for others is when narcissistic features, especially a sense of entitlement and a lack of empathy, shade into antisocial and destructive behaviors.  When this happens, the pattern might be described as aggressive or malignant narcissism, which is difficult to distinguish from psychopathy.

Another characteristic of psychopaths is an ability to avoid taking responsibility for things that go wrong; instead, they blame others, circumstances, fate, and so forth.  Psychopaths will lie even to people who already know the truth about what they are saying. Even in the face of contrary evidence, the psychopath can lie so well that listeners doubt themselves first, rather than question the psychopath."

Babiak and Hare, Snakes in Suits, May 2006

"There is a class of individuals who have been around forever and who are found in every race, culture, society and walk of life.  Everybody has met these people, been deceived and manipulated by them, and forced to live with or repair the damage they have wrought.  These often charming-but always deadly-individuals have a clinical name: psychopaths.  Their hallmark is a stunning lack of conscience; their game is self-gratification at the other person’s expense.  All take far more than they give.

The most obvious expressions of psychopathy-but not the only ones-involve the flagrant violation of society’s rules.  Not surprisingly, many psychopaths are criminals, but many others manage to remain out of prison, using their charm and chameleon-like coloration to cut a wide swathe through society, leaving a wake of ruined lives behind them.

Psychopaths appear amazingly unfazed by the possibility, or even by the certainty, of being found out. When caught in a lie or challenged with the truth, they seldom appear perplexed or embarrassed-they simply change their stories or attempt to rework the facts so they appear to be consistent with the lie. The result is a series of contradictory statements and a thoroughly confused listener. And psychopaths seem proud of their ability to lie."

Robert Hare, The Charming Psychopath: How to Spot Social Predators, Psychology Today, 2007

"The more power a government has the more it can act arbitrarily according to the whims and desires of the elite, and the more it will make war on others and murder its foreign and domestic subjects.  Power will achieve its murderous potential.  It simply waits for an excuse, an event of some sort, an assassination, a massacre in a neighboring country, an attempted coup, a famine, or a natural disaster, to justify the beginning of murder en masse."

R. J. Rummel, Death by Government: A History of Mass Murder and Genocide, 1994


Stocks gave back some of their rocket rally from yesterday.

Just a normal pull back so far.

Gold and silver rallied, but gave it back in the afternoon.

There will be a option expiration on the Comex this coming Thursday the 25th.

VIX ticked up a bit.

Bitcoin continued to decline.

There is a new documentary about the tragic US war in Afghanistan called 'Bodyguard of Lies.'  It is coming out on Paramount+.   It looks to be a good one.  

The US spent 300 million dollars per day for 20 years on the failed military exercise against the Taliban, not including the tragic loss and disruption of life.   A few gained wealth and power from it.

"Faustus had advanced beyond the level of a scarlet sinner — he was a conscious follower of the Prince of Darkness."

E.A. Bucchianeri, Faust: My Soul Be Damned for the World, 2008

Have a pleasant evening.