21 September 2009

Obama to Tell the G20 to Fix the US By Changing the World


When you can't run a state, run for President. When you can't run your country, attempt to run the world.

This directive to the G20 is probably going to make the Organizer-in-Chief's recent pathetic sermonette on altruism and self-denial to Wall Street seem effective by comparison.

Unless he is as prime an example of boobus Americanus as he appears to be by his actions, we suspect that this proposal is intended merely to be a blue sky diversion to a broadly unachievable goal from a genuine agenda for reform and action on the table including regulating bankers' pay, which might be an annoying hindrance to Obama's constituents on Wall Street. It has been estimated that the reforms on the table from Europe, for example, might cut the trading revenues at Goldman Sachs by a third.

What Obama does not say, and perhaps does not realize, is that the majority of the problems that exist in the US's imbalanced trade relationships is the position of the US dollar as the world's reserve currency.

Owning the reserve currency is a significant benefit for your government and financial sectors, but it makes your manufacturing and productive economy the target of every mercantilist command economy around the globe that is by definition hungry for dollars.

Reuters
Obama wants G20 to rethink global economy

By Jeff Mason and Dave Graham
Mon Sep 21, 2009 12:29am EDT

WASHINGTON/BERLIN (Reuters) - U.S. President Barack Obama said on Sunday he would push world leaders this week for a reshaping of the global economy in response to the deepest financial crisis in decades.

In Europe, officials kept up pressure for a deal to curb bankers' pay and bonuses at a two-day summit of leaders from the Group of 20 countries, which begins on Thursday.

The summit will be held in the former steelmaking center of Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, marking the third time in less than a year that leaders of countries accounting for about 85 percent of the world economy will have met to coordinate their responses to the crisis.

The United States is proposing a broad new economic framework that it hopes the G20 will adopt, according to a letter by a top White House adviser.

Obama said the U.S. economy was recovering, even if unemployment remained high, and now was the time to rebalance the global economy after decades of U.S. over-consumption. (The recovery is as tenuous as Mr. Obama's prospects for a second term - Jesse)

"We can't go back to the era where the Chinese or the Germans or other countries just are selling everything to us, we're taking out a bunch of credit card debt or home equity loans, but we're not selling anything to them," Obama said in an interview with CNN television. (How about a system where Wall Street thinks it can defraud the world, and take usurious rents on every financial transaction in every market? - Jesse)

For years before the financial crisis erupted in 2007, economists had warned of the dangers of imbalances in the global economy -- namely huge trade surpluses and currency reserves built up by exporters like China, and similarly big deficits in the United States and other economies. (Greenspan dismissed every growing problem with an unswerving prevarication, and the corportocracy provided air support. - Jesse)

With U.S. consumers now holding back on spending after house prices plunged and as unemployment climbs, Washington wants other countries to become engines of growth. (Most of the world would like to cure its problems by net exporting to other countries in unbalanced trade relationships. The Asian preoccupation with mercantilism is in some ways the natural outcome of the US dollar reserve hegemony. There is a bit of a standoff here. - Jesse)

"That's part of what the G20 meeting in Pittsburgh is going to be about, making sure that there's a more balanced economy," Obama told CNN.

China has long been the target of calls from the West to get its massive population to spend more. It may be reluctant to offer a significant change in economic policy when Chinese President Hu Jintao meets Obama this week. (The only way they can spend more is if they get higher real wages, a neat trick when your national policy is based on exploiting the exploitation of your laboring class - Jesse)

The U.S. proposal, sketched out in a letter by Obama's top G20 adviser, Michael Froman, calls for a new "framework" to reflect the balancing process that the White House wants.

"The Framework would be a pledge on the part of G-20 leaders to individually and collectively pursue a set of policies which would lead to stronger, better-balanced growth," said the letter, which was obtained by Reuters. (Kumbaya, my lord, kumbaya... Jesse)

Without naming specific countries, the proposal indicates the United States should save more and cut its budget deficit, China should rely less on exports and Europe should make structural changes -- possibly in areas such as labor law -- to make itself more attractive to investment.

To head off reluctance from China, Froman's letter also supported Beijing's call for developing countries to have more say at the International Monetary Fund. (Say = talk, but it does not imply that anyone will listen and take any action. The US owns the IMF. - Jesse)

The IMF would be at the center of a peer review process that would assess member nations' policies and how they affect economic growth...(Most statists are by nature Ponzi politicians who really cannot run anything complex, and have to keep expanding their power and span of control or collapse and be exposed as frauds. Its been a perennial source of mischief throughout history. - Jesse)

19 September 2009

Shanghai Exhange to List Foreign Shares in the Yuan


This article highlights the growing move internationally away from the dollar dominance in finance.

But it does also illustrate the 'closed capital account" which restricts the exchange of domestic and foreign currency even today in China.

No country should be allowed full WTO status with a managed and closed currency. There is no way to conduct 'fair trade' in such a regime. And certainly the actions by both Clinton and Bush to advance China as a trading partner while pegging the dollar at a steep devaluation remains a scandal of major proportion.

What would the world say if the US decided to move to a two tier currency system, devaluing the iternational dollar by 40% and then pegging it to a basket of currencies including the Euro, AUS$, Pound and Yen?

Caijing
Shares at Shanghai's International Board to be Denominated in Renminbi

By Fan Junli
09-18 19:59

(Caijing) Shares on Shanghai's too-be-launched international board will be denominated in renminbi rather than U.S. dollars, sources close to regulators told Caijing.

But critics say the decision could doom the board to the same fate of Japan's yen-deonomiated international board, which closed in 2004.

China has been preparing for months to launch an international board on the Shanghai Stock Exchange. Fan Xinghai, director-general of Shanghai' Financial Services Office, said September 14 that one or two foreign companies will be listed on the board in early 2010.

One of the key difficulties in preparing the board has been the question of whether the shares listed there should be denominated in renminbi or U.S. dollar, a source said.

U.S. dollar denominated listings would pose several problems. Overseas' companies' listings would be subject to the approval of more than one government department if their shares were denominated in U.S. dollars. Also, China's closed capital account, which restricts the exchange of local and foreign currency, would pose an obstacle to U.S. dollar listings, the source said.

"Now a consensus has been reached that it is not necessary to denominate foreign companies' shares listed on the domestic market in U.S. dollars," the source said.

His comments were confirmed by a several other sources close to regulators.

Critics argue that denominating shares in renminbi will make it difficult for international investors to trade on the international board.

"We may risk repeating the failure of Japan's international board," one securities industry source said.

Japan's international board, where shares were denominated in yen, had 131 listed overseas companies in 1991. But Japanese investors' enthusiasm towards shares on the international board withered and foreign companies began to delist their shares. Only 32 companies remained listed on Tokyo's international board by 2003 and the board eventually closed in 2004.

Nevertheless, supporters of the renminbi denomination arrangement for Shanghai's international board said the failure of Tokyo's international board could not be attributed to yen denomination. They claim it was caused by the slump in the Japanese economy, the yen's appreciation and the high cost of trading cost on the board.

18 September 2009

The Dollar Carry Trade


A video from Warren Pollock regarding carry trades