24 December 2010

Joyeux Noël




"Les renards ont des tanières, et les oiseaux du ciel ont des nids: mais le Fils de l'homme n'a pas un lieu où il puisse reposer sa tête."

Foxes have holes, and the birds of the air have nests, but the Son of Man has no place to lay his head.

Except in our hearts.

"The people who walked in darkness have seen a great light; those who dwelt in a land of deep darkness, on them has light shined. " Is 9:2

Veselé Vánoce a šťastný nový rok!

Obama's Failure to Reform: A Bipartisan Crisis And A General Failure of Ethics and Stewardship


I hope everyone has the opportunity to see "Inside Job" in the months ahead.

The issue is not settled. As someone who watches the markets closely every day, often tick by tick, and speaks to market participants around the world, I see an accident waiting to happen in the US financial system. And it is surprising, almost shocking, that it receives so little attention while there is so much focus on the relatively trivial.

We have just witnessed one of the greatest financial frauds in modern history. Where are the indictments? Where is the reform?

It concerns me greatly because it is such a important economy. Such a failure would have unsettling collateral damage on the rest of the world not only because of its size, but through the transmission mechanism of the dollar reserve currency which is pervasive in trade and in most central bank holdings.

Like its cronies on Wall Street, the government in Washington thinks it is Too Big To Fail. It may very well be. But propping it up is probably too great of a task for the rest of the world to bear indefinitely. And so we may have an uneasy year or two ahead.




23 December 2010

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts


There is quite an effort to keep the lid on gold and silver here. I suspect that it is part of the holiday window dressing. Those with large short positions do not want to mark their losses to market for year end at higher valuations.

Let's see how long they can comfortably stand on these markets.

I think we are in the calm ahead of the gathering storm.





The Calm



The Gathering Storm