22 September 2012

Audacious Oligarchy: The Double Flash Crash In Gold - Sept 13, 2012


The 'Dr. Evil' strategy in two pictures.

From Nanex Research:
Trading was so furious in Gold, that the CME circuit breakers triggered and halted the futures contract for 5 seconds. First on the downside, then on the upside. This is the same circuit breaker that triggered only once in the eMini during market hours: that time was at the bottom of the flash crash on May 6, 2010.

The first halt in the December 2012 Gold Futures contract (GC.Z12) was at 12:14:44: you can see the gap in volume in the lower panel of Chart 1. One second before the halt, 2,000 contracts traded the price down $10, from $1,730 to $1,720. The CME halt logic triggers a 5 second market pause whenever orders appear that would remove all available liquidity and move the price by a certain amount.

For this event, this basically means that if this order represented a true intent to sell, then we should expect additional selling (from the balance of the order that triggered the halt) when trading resumes.

However, in this case, the additional selling did not materialize, which leads us to believe the large sell order was meant to disturb any market based on the price of gold. And disturb the markets, it did
.

1. December Gold Futures (GC.Z12) ~ 1 second interval trades with depth of book color coded by how much size is at each level.

Note the gap showing the halt after the drop. The depth of book shows orders continue to be added/removed from the book during the halt.




21 September 2012

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Bear Raid in Honor of Quad Witch


Gold and silver were rallying hard to day, reaching new recent highs and threatening overhead resistance when they were hit rather hard and suddenly, on no news and without a commensurate move in stocks.

This looks like quad witching action.

Here are the charts so you can see where we stand. Intraday commentary discusses the daily gold chart formations.

See you Sunday evening.




SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Even the Quad Witch Is Sleepy


Today was the big 'quad witch' of September in the markets, but you would have hardly known it as stocks popped and flopped.

SP is also rebalancing their indices today which is driving some of the volume.

The front month in the stock futures is now December. How time flies.

Have a pleasant week.