18 November 2014

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Close But No Cigar


Gold took an early run at breaking out, but then was held at the overhead resistance and 'psychologically important' 1200 level.  We'll have to see if gold can rise above resistance and break fee, and change this downtrend of lower highs and lower lows.

Someone asked me to comment on the notion that price manipulation is not possible in large markets like the precious metals.  I cannot believe that this canard is being taken seriously again at this late date.
 
I hope you realize that when someone says that given supply and demand there can be no price manipulation in the metals markets they are citing the 'efficient market theory' as the basis for their disbelief.
 
That is not to say that this proves that there is manipulation. There are plenty of other indications of that. But it does not mean that there can not be market manipulation.  Prices are set at the margins, and given leverage and favorable regulatory climates prices and demand/supply can become seriously disconnected.

Markets can get out of sorts with value for a long time, and years in some cases of bubbles, if enough energy and effort is put into it.  And especially in times of lax regulation and lack of transparency, there can be widespread price manipulation for a number of reasons.
 
Do we really have memories that are this selective and short term? 
 
Have a pleasant evening.

 
 

SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts


Janet and her Merry Pranksters are hitting some high notes.

The best explanation I have for this rally is the continuing weakness in the yen, strengthening the dollar, and therefore US dollar paper assets.

It was interesting today that the precious metals moved UP with stocks. This suggests the possibility that the stock market rally is in a late stage for this move right here and now.
 
Almost time for another wash and rinse.

Have a pleasant evening.

 
 
 

NAV Premiums of Certain Precious Metal Trusts and Funds - Ukraine Admits Its Gold Is Gone


Cash level in the Sprott Silver Trust has dropped below the $2 million mark. This is historically low.

The Trust needs to do a secondary offering to get those cash levels up.

The discount on the Spicer Trusts and Funds continue to be around ten percent.

The Gold/Silver ratio is still elevated at about 73.6.
 
The Ukraine has apparently disclosed that its gold is 'gone.'
 
I first noted that it was being taken on a flight for safekeeping here.   If your gold is being held for safekeeping in New York or London you may as well wait for a picture postcard, because that is the only way you will be seeing it anytime soon.
 
The Western central banks do not care about gold anymore, in a pig's eye.