21 January 2016

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Gold Resists, Silver Holds, Northeast Braces For Snow


Gold was hit early on in a general 'stocks are good, gold is bad' move that fizzled into the late afternoon. Despite all the misinformation to the contrary, gold is still a safe haven asset.

Silver held its ground.

There was intraday commentary on the increasingly 'insubstantial' nature of the NY gold trade, and the relative robust purchasing of physical gold in Asia. You may scroll down to see it.

There are those who continue to deny this, with a varying degree of arguments ranging from cleverly deceptive to nonsensical. Look at the facts and make up your own mind.

There are some potential formations on the charts, especially gold, but I am waiting to see something develop that gives us a higher degree of probability.

Have a pleasant evening.






And meanwhile, the Northeastern US prepares for snow...


SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Hanging On


Stocks were wobbly once again, as the international markets remain jittery, and there are indications out of Europe of problems in the banking sector once again.

The markets are trying to stabilize and find a footing in the US.

Let's see if they can do it.

I doubt very much that the Fed will be raising rates again anytime soon. The first raise was a calculated risk for the reasons that I outlined when I forecast it. To do it again in this environment would be reckless.

Have a pleasant evening.





Another Year of Insubstantial Gold Trading in the New York Market


Looking back, it is evident from the charts below that 2015 was another year of decline for physical gold deliveries in New York.  This is thought to be a benign phenomenon by some.

And one might certainly question how much of that 'stockpile' of gold held in storage is unencumbered, and not subject to multiple hypothecation.

As you know I think that such a decline in the connection to the fundamental flows of a physical commodity creates a potentially dangerous situation, especially in a climate in which most of the major markets have shown themselves to have been systematically rigged by corrupt trading institutions.

The second chart shows how dramatically the physical gold market has moved to the East, leaving both New York and London as influential to price while becoming increasingly insubstantial.

Finally the third chart shows that the New York market still maintains a strong physical delivery function for silver. This is largely thanks to CNT, which is a major supplier of silver to the Mint among other things.

Related:  In China Everyone Can Buy Gold at the Shanghai Gold Exchange - Koos Jansen