Facebook - Ghosts of Bubbles Past

"This is how Ron Chernow correctly described what was happening for New York Times’ readers on March 15, 2001:

'Let us be clear about the magnitude of the Nasdaq collapse. The tumble has been so steep and so bloody — close to $4 trillion in market value erased in one year — that it amounts to nearly four times the carnage recorded in the October 1987 crash.'

Chernow characterized the Nasdaq stock market as a 'lunatic control tower that directed most incoming planes to a bustling, congested airport known as the New Economy while another, depressed airport, the Old Economy, stagnated with empty runways.  The market functioned as a vast, erratic mechanism for misallocating capital across America,' Chernow observed.

Let that sink in for a moment.  It wasn’t just that investment bankers on Wall Street were bringing to the public markets companies with the equivalent of a business plan written on the back of a napkin.  It was that all of the major investment banks on Wall Street, out of a motive of pure greed, were engaged in a mass conspiracy to misallocate capital across America – which strikes at the very heart of America’s economy and national interests...

Yesterday we got a little taste of what’s in store this time around courtesy of the Masters of the Universe on Wall Street, the majority of whom have 'buy' ratings on Facebook."

Pam and Russ Martens, Wall Street On Parade

The venerable 'wash and rinse,' a Wall Street favorite, especially in 'new era stocks' and highly leveraged commodity markets.

It's not just for penny stocks in deregulated, devil-take-the-hindmost markets such as these.

And proudly I did not own any Facebook, and considered myself wise, and better than the others who did.

But there was no one left to protect or care about me, when they finally came for the rest, and bailed us in.

Go back to sleep, everything will be all right.

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - A New US-EU Trade Deal Founded on Gas and Beans

"The narcissistic orientation is one in which one experiences as real only that which exists within oneself, while the phenomena in the outside world have no reality in themselves, but are experienced only from the viewpoint of their being useful or dangerous to one.

The opposite pole to narcissism is objectivity; it is the faculty to see other people and things as they are, objectively, and to be able to separate this objective picture from a picture which is formed by one's desires and fears."

Erich Fromm


"Self-love for ever creeps out, like a snake, to sting anything which happens to stumble upon it."

George Gordon Lord Byron


"Narcissists gravitate towards professions where they can control people and elicit adulation. They are more likely to work in politics, finance or medicine than in shoemaking... They are aware of what they are doing to others— but they do not care.”

Sam Vaknin

People, ordinary people, cannot understand, or fully comprehend, the minds of those that flourish on Wall Street.  Enough is never enough for those whose appetites for more are not driven by ordinary needs.

And this is why people must combine to regulate the activities and markets that serve society.  People are not necessarily good or rational.   They are sometimes pathological. 

While the variety in human character is what often creates art and music, philosophy and the more enjoyable and diverting aspects of life, it can also take a dark turn towards some of the most destructive excesses, if it continues unrestrained.

Stocks took off higher in the afternoon on a news report from Dow Jones that the EU's Jean Claude Juncker had struck a trade deal with Trump by making some 'concessions.' On the announcement of a press conference, with thirty minutes to go, stocks went vertical in a major short squeeze and relief rally.

And so we await that big news.

After the bell Facebook missed on the topline, and the stock was down on that news.

Gold and silver were higher on a lower Dollar. It is not necessary for them to trade in inverse correlation with the Dollar, but they sometimes do for periods of time, and they are doing so now.

Postscript:  Trumpolini was pleased to announce that the EU is apparently agreeing to buy more soybeans and liquefied natural gas from the States.   The two entities will continue working towards eliminating tariffs on non-automotive products.  As for autos, well, we shall see.

Need little, want less, love more. For those that abide in love abide in God, and God in them.

Have a pleasant evening.

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Elevated Economic Hazards - Comex Option Expiry Thursday

"No amount of observations of white swans can allow the inference that all swans are white, but the observation of a single black swan is sufficient to refute that conclusion."

David Hume


“It has been more profitable for us to bind together in the wrong direction than to be alone in the right one. Those who have followed the assertive idiot rather than the introspective wise person have passed us some of their genes.  This is apparent from a social pathology:  psychopaths rally followers.”

Nassim Nicholas Taleb, The Black Swan


"Definite signs that business and industry have turned the corner from the temporary period of emergency that followed deflation of the speculative market were seen today by President Hoover. The President said the reports to the Cabinet showed the tide of employment had changed in the right direction." -

News dispatch from Washington, January 21, 1930


“The narcissist devours people, consumes their output, and casts the empty, writhing shells aside.”

Sam Vaknin

Stocks were soaring higher as Alphabet, the stock formerly known as Google, put in some good results, sending the FANGs soaring.

But tech faded and turned around, just managing to finish unchanged.

There will be a Comex gold option expiration on Thursday the 26^th.

We are in the thick of earnings season now, and individual result are sending some stocks soaring or plunging.

The IMF estimates that the US Dollar is overvalued from 8 to 16 percent.

I think gold expressed in dollars is undervalued by from 60 to 100 percent.

Let's how all the reversions to the mean go.

There was intraday commentary regarding the dangers of the derivatives markets to the Too-Big-To-Fail boys here.

It's probably early days, but now might be the time to start taking precautions against a 2008 class event in the financial markets. I would suggest it might arrive anytime between now and July 2020.

These sorts of things depend on the magnitude of any 'trigger event,' which is why it is so difficult to forecast with regard to specific dates.

As time goes on the required force for a market moving event decreases until it takes very little to set that ball in motion.

Need little, want less, love more. For those who abide in love abide in God, and God in them.

Have a pleasant evening.