15 June 2023

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Markets Smash and Grab - Die Finanzwirtschaft Über Alles

 

”The barbarian hopes — and that is the very mark of him — that he can have his cake and eat it too.  He will consume what civilisation has slowly produced after generations of selection and effort but he will not be at pains to replace such goods nor indeed has he a comprehension of the virtue that has brought them into being.

We sit by and watch the barbarian.  We tolerate him in the long stretches of peace, we are not afraid.  We are tickled by his irreverence; his comic inversion of our old certitudes; we laugh.  

But as we laugh we are watched by large and awful faces from beyond, and on these faces there are no smiles.”

Hilaire Belloc, The Barbarians

“Pity the nation that raises not its voice, except to praise conquerors and acclaim the bully as hero and aims to rule the world with force and by torture."

Lawrence Ferlinghetti, New Poems, City Lights

"It was possible, no doubt, to imagine a society in which wealth, in the sense of personal possessions and luxuries, should be evenly distributed, while power remained in the hands of a small privileged caste.  But in practice such a society could not remain stable. 

For if leisure and security were enjoyed by all alike, the great mass of human beings who are normally stupified by poverty would become literate and would learn to think for themselves; and when once they had done this, they would sooner or later realise that the privileged minority had no function, and they would sweep it away.  In the long run, a hierarchical society was only possible on a basis of poverty and ignorance."

George Orwell, 1984

"Plunderers of the world, when nothing remains on the lands to which they have laid waste by wanton thievery, they search out across the seas. The wealth of another region excites their greed; and if it is weak, their lust for power as well.  Nothing from the rising to the setting of the sun is enough for them. Among all others only they are compelled to attack the poor as well as the rich. Robbery, rape, and slaughter they falsely call empire; and where they make a desert, they call it peace."

Tacitus, Agricola

 

It looked like the revenge of the interest rate chicken-hawks this morning as stocks and the metals were plunging.

But tomorrow is a quad witch option expiration, so this was just another algo-driven, bankster smash and grab as part of the ongoing transfer of wealth from producers to the financiers.

Gold and silver set a fairly impressive low early on, which most likely had a harrowing effect on those option holders in the miners and metals.

Same with the major stock indices.

But voila, as the day wore on the rinse ran its cycle into a new wash with higher highs in equities, and a recovery in the metals, with a sharp decline in the Dollar, doulour du monde.

Wax on, wax off.

And so we shamble on into the quad option expiration tomorrow.

What will the wiseguys and pampered princes think of next.

Who cares?

Rejoice, for He is risen.

Have a pleasant evening.



14 June 2023

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - The Fed's 'Super-Hawkish' Pause - Quad Witch Expiration on Friday

 

"Imaginary evil is romantic and varied; real evil is gloomy, monotonous, barren, boring.  Imaginary good is boring; real good is always new, marvelous, intoxicating.  Human beings are so made that the ones who do the crushing feel nothing; it is the person crushed who feels what is happening. Unless one has placed oneself on the side of the oppressed, to feel with them, one cannot understand.  

Evil when we are in its power is not felt as evil, but as a necessity, or even a duty.

Simone Weil

"Kolbe looked directly and intently into the eyes of those entering the cell.  Those eyes of his were always strangely penetrating.  The SS men couldn’t stand his glance, and used to yell at him, Schau auf die erde, nicht auf uns!   Kolbe was a psychic trauma, a shock for the SS men who had to bear his look, a look that hungered not for bread, but to liberate them from evil."

Bruno Borgowiec, prisoner at Auschwitz

“The real conflict is the inner conflict.  Beyond armies of occupation and the catacombs of extermination camps, there are two irreconcilable enemies in the depth of every soul: good and evil, sin and love.  And what use are the victories on the battlefield if we are ourselves are defeated in our innermost personal selves?”

Maximilian Kolbe

"For we wrestle not against flesh and blood, but against principalities and powers, against the rulers of the darkness of this world, against spiritual wickedness in high places."

Ephesians 6:12


The spokesmodels were aghast at the 'super-hawkish' manner in which the Fed paused from their crusade to stem supply chain/profit driven inflation today by crushing the real economy as part of The Bubble Part Three.

After the sturm und drang of hawkish angst the markets translated this drama into an intraday wash and rinse.

Gold and silver managed to end the day higher after a thrilling rally and plunge.

VIX fell.

The Dollar dropped again. 

And so Jay Powell had his moment, and then the markets got back to setting up the suckers for the big quad witch option expiration on Friday.

There will be a  rinse for this overbought rally, but not until the time is ripe.

The spice must flow.

Have a pleasant evening.




13 June 2023

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - The Extravagant Fallacy

 

"Those who directed the state in the time of Solon and Cleisthenes did not establish a polity which trained the citizens in such fashion that they looked upon insolence as democracy, lawlessness as liberty, impudence of speech as equality, and licence to do what they pleased as happiness, but rather a polity which detested and punished such men, and by so doing made all the citizens better and wiser."

Isocrates

"With the tools of democracy, democracy was murdered and lawlessness made ‘legal.’  Raw power ruled, and its only real goal was to destroy all other powers besides itself.”

Eric Metaxas, Bonhoeffer

"I know that my retirement will make no difference in its [my newspaper's] cardinal principles, that it will always fight for progress and reform, never tolerate injustice or corruption, always fight demagogues of all parties, never belong to any party, always oppose privileged classes and public plunderers, never lack sympathy with the poor, always remain devoted to the public welfare, never be satisfied with merely printing news, always be drastically independent, never be afraid to attack wrong, whether by predatory plutocracy or predatory poverty."

Joseph Pulitzer

"It’s not that the former Fed boss Greenspan was incompetent that is remarkable. Incompetence is common enough after all, even in important jobs. What’s remarkable is that so many people don’t seem, even now, to get it. Do people just believe high-quality self-justifying blarney? Or is it just that they apparently want to believe that critical jobs in a great country attract great talent by divine right."

Jeremy Grantham, Immoral Hazard, May 22, 2008

"The truth is most of the individual mistakes boil down to just one: a belief that markets are self-adjusting and that the role of government should be minimal. Looking back at that belief during hearings this fall on Capitol Hill, Alan Greenspan said out loud, 'I have found a flaw.'  Congressman Henry Waxman pushed him, responding, 'In other words, you found that your view of the world, your ideology, was not right; it was not working.'  'Absolutely, precisely,' Greenspan said.  The embrace by America—and much of the rest of the world—of this flawed economic philosophy made it inevitable that we would eventually arrive at the place we are today."

Joseph Stiglitz, Capitalist Fools, January 2009


Stocks continued to rally higher into seriously overbought territory ahead of the FOMC decision tomorrow.

Gold, silver, and the Dollar fell.

VIX declined.

It's really all about how the Fed approaches its expected 'pause' tomorrow and the words that are used to shape the expectations around it.

The Fed has, through a series of overreaching policy errors and regulatory missteps, become the market.

The sweeping under the rug of their most recent insider trading scandal and the abuse of confidential information is appalling.

This will not end well.

Quad witch option expiration on Friday.

Have a pleasant evening.