05 July 2023

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Oaths of Shepherds

 

"We all declare for liberty; but in using the same word we do not all mean the same thing.  With some the word liberty may mean for each man to do as he pleases with himself, and the product of his labor; while with others the same word may mean for some men to do as they please with other men, and the product of other men's labor.

The shepherd drives the wolf from the sheep's throat, for which the sheep thanks the shepherd as his liberator, while the wolf denounces him for the same act as the destroyer of liberty. Plainly the sheep and the wolf are not agreed upon a definition of the word liberty; and precisely the same difference prevails today among us human creatures."

Abraham Lincoln, Baltimore Maryland, April 18, 1864


"What is a proper disposition towards life?  It is to accept God as a loving father, who is full of tenderness and forgiveness for us, despite our willful blunders and hardened hearts. He yearns for us, as a father and mother yearn for the return of their most beloved child.

It is to accept that we are not lost, we are not abandoned. We are wandering like a wayward child, full of our own headstrong delusions. And our father waits expectantly, calling out for us through the darkness. He sends the spirit out to find us, a light to find our way home to him out of the gloom of the night."

Jesse, Acceptance and Forgiveness, 2 January 2018

 

Stocks were trading weakly for the start of the second half.

The Dollar finished slightly higher.

Gold and silver were under pressure after an early rally attempt.

There will be a Non-Farm Payrolls report on Friday.

To take a solemn oath to uphold justice, and protect the innocent under the law, and then to break that oath, especially for personal preference or gain of money or power, is a terrible offense against the spirit. 

It spawns a legion of lies and self-deceptions.

Unresolved and unrepentant, it is a sickness unto death, a form of slow spiritual suicide.

And in our exceptional land it is gradually becoming a pandemic of malfeasance and misery.

Have a pleasant evening.



03 July 2023

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Liberty Dies At the Hands of a Savage Few

 

"Some of us have chosen America as the land of our adoption; the rest have come from those who did the same.  For this reason we have some right to consider ourselves a picked group, a group of those who had the courage to break from the past and brave the dangers and the loneliness of a strange land.

What was the object that nerved us, or those who went before us, to this choice?  We sought liberty; freedom from oppression, freedom from want, freedom to be ourselves.  This we then sought; this we now believe that we are by way of winning.

Liberty lies in the hearts of men and women; when it dies there, no constitution, no law, no court can even do much to help it.   And what is this liberty which must lie in the hearts of men and women?  It is not the ruthless, the unbridled will; it is not freedom to do as one likes.  That is the denial of liberty, and leads straight to its overthrow. 

A society in which men recognize no check upon their freedom soon becomes a society where freedom is the possession of only a savage few, as we have learned to our sorrow."

Judge Learned Hand, 21 May 1944


“The world says: 'You have needs— satisfy them. You have as much right to it as the rich and the mighty. Do not hesitate to satisfy your needs; indeed, expand your needs and demand more.' This is the worldly doctrine of today. And they believe that this is freedom. The result for the rich is isolation and suicide, and for the poor, envy and murder.”

Fyodor Dostoyevsky, The Brothers Karamazov


"Freedom is not the ability to do whatever we wish when we wish however we wish, to serve our passions as ends unto themselves, to be rude and demeaning to those who we think are weaker at the moment.   This self indulgence is the act of small and mean spirited souls when they yearn to show that they have a little power.

True freedom is to know what is good, what is the right thing to do, and to have the will to do it, even when it goes against our selfish inclinations. It is to free ourselves from fear and all those things that hold us down, which prevent us from finding and fulfilling our part in the great renewal of creation and the triumph of life over death, of being over nothingness.

The most powerful in the eyes are the world are often the most enslaved, victims of basest passions, servants to the most undeserving and meanest of ambitions, lashing out in their insatiable misery.  With obeisance they serve and nurture the willfulness that delivers them first up to slavery to themselves, and then to darker powers, and finally into the jaws of self destruction.

Jesse, A Light on the Road to Damascus, December 2010

 

Truth dies from the neglect of many, and thereafter liberty, at the hands of a savage few.

The adults have taken a long holiday weekend, and left the markets on this holiday shortened day in the hands of the most junior, who are under strict instructions to do as little as possible.

And so we see a flatness across the markets.

Have a pleasant holiday here in the US.

And for the rest of the world, please try to carry on without us.

See you on Wednesday.


30 June 2023

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Painting the Tape - Non-Farm Payrolls Next Friday

 

"It is hard to imagine a more inherently ineffective system of capital and resource allocation than crony capitalism.  It is like playing a game in which the rules are rigged to deliver most of the money in the system to a relative minority of insiders, thereby bankrupting all their customers.

Greed compels the materially obsessed to obtain the greatest piles of chips, but in the long term renders their chips to be almost worthless because they are unable to stop their fraud and plundering, even when it is in their best interests.  

They are not governed by rationality or conscience or even common sense.  For periods of time oligarchies are able to survive in an uneasy equilibrium enforced by power, but ultimately these wickedly wealthy wither and die on their great piles of gains."

Jesse, Crony Capitalism: The Fed's Frankenstein, 17 December 2010

"Proclaim the truth and do not be silent in fear. We have had enough pressure to be silent. Cry out with a thousand voices. The world is rotten because of silence. You know that every evil is founded in the love of self. Self-love is a fog that takes away the light of reason, which sustains itself by the light of faith. One is not lost without the other.

Love transforms us into what we love.  Out of darkness is born the light.   Be who God meant you to be, and you will set the world on fire."

Catherine of Siena

“Woe to you, scribes and Pharisees, hypocrites, because you shut off the kingdom of heaven from people; for you do not enter in yourselves, nor do you allow those who are entering to go in.  Woe to you, scribes and Pharisees, hypocrites, because you devour widows’ houses, and for a pretense you make long prayers; therefore you will receive greater condemnation.

Woe to you, scribes and Pharisees, hypocrites! For you tithe mint and dill and cumin, but neglect the weightier provisions of the Law: justice and mercy and faithfulness.  You blind guides, who strain out a gnat but swallow a camel!

Woe to you, scribes and Pharisees, hypocrites! For you clean the outside of the cup and of the dish, but inside they are full of robbery and self-indulgence. You blind Pharisee, first clean the inside of the cup and of the dish, so that the outside of it may become clean also.

Woe to you, scribes and Pharisees, hypocrites! For you are like whitewashed tombs which on the outside appear beautiful, but inside they are full of dead men’s bones and all uncleanness. In this way, you also outwardly appear righteous to men, but inwardly you are full of hypocrisy and lawlessness. You serpents, you brood of vipers.  How will you escape the sentence of hell?

Matthew 23:13-33

Stocks managed to go out with a bang, ending the 2nd quarter and the first half of the year.

The spokesmodels were shaking their pom-poms, beckoning the public to get on board the rally train. 

The Fat Lady may not yet be singing, but she is most likely warming up.

The VIX continues to show complacency in the face of interest rate and recession risks.

Gold and silver bounced on Dollar weakness.

Tuesday will be the 4th of July holiday and the markets will be closed.   

Monday the 3rd will be a light half day, with most of the adults already gone on holiday.

As you may recall the story of the latter part of the 1930s was a conservative Supreme Court overturning public programs of the New Deal on constitutional grounds.

Plus ça change, plus c'est la même chose.

Have a pleasant weekend.