01 July 2024

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Ubi Sunt Principes Gentium - How the Glory of the World Passes Away

 

"Do not court death by your lawless way of life,
      nor draw destruction to yourself by the work of your hands.
God did not make death,
      nor does he rejoice in the destruction of the living.
For he fashioned all things that they might have life,
      and the creatures of the world are wholesome;
There is not a destructive drug among them
      nor any domain of Hades on earth,
For righteousness is undying.

God formed us to be everlasting,
      he made us in the image of his own nature.
But by the envy of the devil, death has entered the world,
      and they who follow him will experience it."

Wisdom 1:12-15; 2:23-24

"Listen, and I will tell you a mystery."

1 Corinthians 15:51

"They betray righteous people for silver and the poor for a pair of sandals. They have trampled the heads of the poor into the dust of the earth and thrust the lowly out of their places. So now I will crush you to the ground, and you will groan like a cart loaded with grain. Not even the swift will escape; your strong will lose their power, and soldiers will not be able to save even their own lives. On that day even the bravest soldiers will drop their weapons and run. Thus the Lord has spoken."

Amos 2: 7, 13-16

"Where now are those who ruled nations,
      those who had dominion over the animals of the earth
      and made sport of the birds of the heavens?
Where are those who amassed hoards of silver and gold
      in which people place their trust,
      those whose greed knew no limit?
Where are those silversmiths expert in their craft
      of whose work not a trace remains?
They have all vanished, descending into the netherworld,
      and others have risen up to take their place."

Baruch 3:16-19


Stocks floundered around today, managing to hold their ground.

VIX fell.

The Dollar did nothing, but is holding at a fairly high level.

Gold and silver took a little bounce after an early trouncing.

Non-Farm Payrolls on Friday.

US markets will be closed on the 4th of July.

The madness serves none but itself

Have a pleasant evening.




28 June 2024

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Out of the Darkness, Into the Light

 

“Vulnerability is the birthplace of love, belonging, joy, courage, empathy, and creativity.  It is the source of hope, empathy, accountability, and authenticity.  If we want greater clarity in our purpose or deeper and more meaningful spiritual lives, vulnerability is the path.   To live with courage, purpose, and connection—to be the person whom we long to be—we must again be vulnerable.  We must take off the armor, put down the weapons, show up, and let ourselves be seen.  There is no intimacy without vulnerability.

Accountability is very simple, three things: authenticity, action, and amends.

Vulnerability sounds like truth and feels like courage.  Vulnerability is not winning or losing.  It’s having the courage to show up when you can’t control the outcome.   Vulnerability is based on mutuality and requires boundaries and trust.  It’s not oversharing, it’s not purging, it’s not indiscriminate disclosure, and it’s not celebrity-style social media information dumps.  Vulnerability is about sharing our feelings and our experiences with people who have earned the right to hear them."

Brené Brown, The Power of Vulnerability, 2013

"Love does not make you weak, because it is the source of all strength — but it makes you see the nothingness of the illusory strength on which you depended before you knew it."

Léon Bloy

"What is hell? I maintain it is the pain of being unable to love."

Fyodor Dostoevsky, The Brothers Karamazov

"Proclaim the truth and do not be silent in fear.  We have had enough pressure to be silent.   Cry out with a thousand voices.  The world is rotten because of silence.  You know that every evil is founded in the love of self.  Self-love is a fog that takes away the light of reason, which sustains itself by the light of faith.  One is not lost without the other.

Love transforms us into what we love.  Out of darkness is born the light.  Be who God meant you to be, and you will set the world on fire."

Catherine of Siena


And so ends the month, the quarter, and the first half of 2024.

Much of the trading today was driven by this calendar event, and the rebalancing of stock indices.

Gold and silver held steady.

The Dollar chopped sideways.

Next week we will have the June Non-Farm Payrolls report on Friday.

I didn't watch the presidential debate last night, but the outcome was fairly predictable.

I never voted for Biden, as he was in the bloodline of Clinton, and I could never vote for Trump, because he is in thrall to the power of the darkness in this world.

So, it will no doubt be an interesting year.

A couple of countries are evidently on a gradual descent into hell.

Let's hope that people will begin to wake up and see the light. 

And let us never hesitate to look to ourselves, because we are no more immune to the allure of evil than anyone else.

Have a pleasant weekend.


27 June 2024

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Live Tonight from the Shining City on the Hill



NARRATOR: Everything was not fine in 1929 with the American economy. It was showing ominous signs of trouble. Steel production was declining. The construction industry was sluggish. Car sales dropped. Customers were getting harder to find. And because of easy credit, many people were deeply in debt. Large sections of the population were poor and getting poorer.

Just as Wall Street had reflected a steady growth in the economy throughout most of the 20s, it would seem that now the market should reflect the economic slowdown. Instead, it soared to record heights. Stock prices no longer had anything to do with company profits, the economy or anything else. The speculative boom had acquired a momentum of its own.

Wealthy investors would pool their money in a secret agreement to buy a stock, inflate its price and then sell it to an unsuspecting public...

Mr. ROBERT SOBEL (Historian): I would say that practically all the financial journals were on the take. This includes reporters for The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times, The Herald-Tribune, you name it. So if you were a pool operator, you'd call your friend at The Times and say, "Look, Charlie, there's an envelope waiting for you here and we think that perhaps you should write something nice about RCA." And Charlie would write something nice about RCA.  A publicity man called A. Newton Plummer had cancelled checks from practically every major journalist in New York City.

Mr. NESBITT: Then, they would begin to -- what was called "painting the tape" and they would make the stock look exciting. They would trade among themselves and you'd see these big prints on RCA and people will say, "Oh, it looks as though that stock is being accumulated."

Mr. SOBEL: Now, if they are behind it, you want to join them, so you go out and you buy stock also. Now, what's happening is the stock goes from 10 to 15 to 20 and now, it's at 20 and you start buying, other people start buying at 30, 40. The original group, the pool, they've stopped buying. They're selling you the stock. It's now 50 and they're out of it. And what happens, of course, is the stock collapses." [and on a large enough scale, the stock market, and the regional or national economy].

PBS Frontline: The Great Crash of 1929

"The bribes are disclosed at a 1932 Congressional hearing on the stock market crash. The Wall Street Journal was not immune to indiscretions by its reporters and editors. Scharff notes that many of its reporters and editors played the market in the 1920s, buying stocks of many of the companies they wrote about:

What drew most young men to the Journal was an open secret having nothing whatever to do with the fabled fun of the news business or the romance of the rolling presses. Newspapermen and radio newscasters were privy to inside information that could practically guarantee profits in the stock market. In addition, they were paid – sometimes handsomely – to work in conjunction with speculative rings and stock syndicates.

An investigation later discovered that business journalists for at least eight papers promoted stocks in their writing in return for bribes. The most embarrassing were at the Wall Street Journal, where reporters who wrote “Broad Street Gossip” and “Abreast of the Market” took payoffs for stock tips in the 1920s. The revelations about the Journal reporters came out during hearings by the Senate Banking and Currency Committee in 1932, more than three years later, when Congressman Fiorello LaGuardia produced cancelled checks written to the Journal reporters from publicist A. Newton Plummer. The stories based on the bribes had gone as far back as 1923.

Rosenberg states that the Journal had no specific rules against its business journalists playing the market. But it did have a written regulation that its staff should “bend over backwards to avoid any action, no matter how well intentioned, that could provide grounds for even suspicion.” The regulation, however, was written in such vague language to be interpreted in various ways. After the scandal broke, the paper instructed its staffers to avoid writing that would affect a stock’s price and to avoid using inside information before it became available to the public."

University of North Carolina, History of Business Journalism


Well thank goodness this sort of white collar corruption isn't a problem in the mainstream media anymore. Presumably.

The financial press were being crowded out by the Congress.  Remember the huge scandals about widespread trading on inside information by members of Congress and their spouses and children?

But luckily the Congress fixed all that with the bipartisan Stop Trading on Congressional Knowledge Act of 2012.   Here's an update.
"Following revelations that several senators engaged in heavy stock trading following a confidential briefing on the COVID-19 pandemic in January 2020, the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) launched probes, but the DOJ probe has since ended and no civil or criminal charges have been filed...

California Democrat Dianne Feinstein and her husband sold $1.5 million to $6 million in shares of a California biotech company in transactions split between Jan. 31 and Feb. 18 in 2020. Meanwhile, Oklahoma Republican James Inhofe sold up to $400,000 in stock on Jan. 27, 2020. The Justice Department ended probes into the trading by Inhofe, Feinstein, Loeffler and their spouses in May 2020."

Investopedia, Stock Act

Well, maybe not so much. 

At least the Fed is above reproach right?

"Dallas Fed President, Robert Kaplan, wasn’t just trading like an aggressive hedge fund kingpin in 2020, he’s been doing the same thing for five years at the Dallas Fed while simultaneously having access to non-public, market moving information from the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate setting FOMC meetings and other confidential communications."

Martens, Trading Like a Hedge Fund Kingpin for Five Years while President of the Dallas Fed, September 2021

Luckily the Fed conducted an internal investigation and announced that there was nothing to see here, so move along.  No evidence provided and no charges or even wrist slaps noted.

There are dozens of opportunities for people in positions of trust to abuse their offices and engage in personal profiteering.  The trillions spent in largely unaccounted ways on Defense is just one example.  It's a good thing everything is above board and by the books.  

We are so fortunate. 

So let's move on.  Tonight we can watch two crusty retreads, Stinky and Sniffy, mumble slurs at each other while filling their Depends.  Two spokesmodels from a widely ignored news network will be slinging their usual leftover hash.  Watch for the quotable fireworks, the insubstantial distractions, the pizzazz!

It's an innovative debate. Neither man is their party's nominee, because they have not bothered to hold their conventions yet.  There will be no audience, and no popular third party contenders to make things interesting by going off script.  

We deserve better than this.   

Well you get what they pay for, these days.

Stocks were wobbly ahead of the big show tonight. 

VIX fell of course.

The Dollar is still riding high.

Gold rebounded sharply after its recent smackdown in observance of the futures option expiration on the Comex.

What a surprise.

Silver lagged but also rebounded.   It's a little more sensitive to non-monetary factors.

PCE inflation data coming out tomorrow.

PCE is the Fed's favorite inflation indicator.

And the band played on.

Have a pleasant evening.