07 August 2024

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Dying of Their Hypocrisy

 

"They will be unloving and unforgiving; they will slander others and have no self-control. They will be cruel and hate what is good. They will betray their friends, be reckless, be puffed up with pride, and love pleasure rather than God. They will act religious, but they will refuse the grace that could make them righteous."

2 Timothy 3:3-5

"The same pride which makes a man treat those of less powerful standing arrogantly, makes him cringe servilely to those above him. It is the very nature of this vice, which is neither based on personal merit nor on virtue, but on riches, posts, influence, and useless knowledge, to render a man a snob to those who are below him as to faown upon those who are above."

Jean de La Bruyère, Les Caractères, 1688

"All the nations which appear in history are necessarily a mixture, for us inextricable, of City of Good and City of Evil.  But what theology, history and common sense have also taught me is that the civilizations which allow the gap to widen between the ideal to which they claim and the realizations which they propose of it, these civilizations are dying of their hypocrisy.“

Henri-Irénée Marrou, France ma patrie,Le Monde, 5 avril 1956

“Hypocrisy in anything whatever may deceive the cleverest and most penetrating man, but the least wide-awake of children recognizes it, and is revolted by it, however ingeniously it may be disguised.”

Leo Nikolaevich Tolstoy, Anna Karenina, 1873

Children may not be deceived so easily, because they see what is there, through innocent eyes.

They have not yet learned to blind themselves, and to twist themselves into beasts.

It is hard to appraise the depths to which our high and mighty will descend, and contort themselves like madcaps for money. 

Such august personages of state, telling clumsy lies, and creatures of high office, bouncing up and down like 'useful idiots', in a heart-rending opera buffa of decline.

These are our times, and our generation, whose hypocrisy knows no bounds.

Stocks popped and flopped once again today.

At some point they are just going to collapse and hide from embarrassment.

Gold and silver were under a bit of pressure.

The Dollar rose slightly.

There won't be much economic data until we see the PPI and CPI inflation data next week.

Have a pleasant evening.

 


06 August 2024

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Unfaithful Creatures, Sliding Peacefully Into the Abyss

 

"What causes wars, and what causes fighting among you?  Is it not your passions that are at war in yourselves?   You desire and do not have; so you kill. And you covet and cannot obtain; so you attack and wage war.  You do not have, because you do not ask.   You ask and do not receive, because you ask without righteousness, to feed your passions.  Unfaithful creatures.  Do you not know that intimacy with the world is adversity with God?  Therefore whoever wishes to be a servant of the world makes himself an enemy of God."

James 4:1-4

"They live out their days in prosperity, and slide peacefully down into hell."

Job 21:13

"Some people are false apostles, deceitful workers, masquerading as apostles of Christ.  And no wonder, for Satan himself masquerades as an angel of light.   It is not surprising, then, if his servants also masquerade as servants of righteousness. Their ends will be what their actions deserve."

2 Corinthians 11:13-15

“Simon, Simon, behold, Satan demanded to sift all of you like wheat.  But I have prayed that your own faith may not fail.  And once you have returned to faith, you must strengthen your brothers.”

Luke 22:31-32

"Take a stand for that which is right, and the world may misunderstand you and criticize you, but you never go alone.  And the world will look at you and they won't understand you, for your fiery furnace will be around you, but you'll go on anyhow.

But if not, I will not bow, and God grant that we will never bow before the gods of evil."

Martin Luther King, But If Not, Ebenezer Baptist Church, November, 1967

 

Stocks tried to extend the rebound from late yesterday afternoon.

And for a time they succeeded qiute well, taking back most if not all of the losses from the prior big slide.

But alas, it did not last, and the major indices slid back down to where they opened this morning.

VIX has come down a bit from its lofty peak.

The Dollar gained back some ground.

Gold and silver took some selling.

On the artist X, formerly known as twitter, I suggested on Sunday evening that stocks would find a low, a place where they could gain a footing, and rally back latter in the day on Monday.

And they did.

Further, if one had an itch to re-establish some short positions, they ought to wait for the full recovery of the loss, and then dip back in at the appropriate time and level, slowly. 

If you look at the SP 500 futures chart, the key levels have been marked out quite clearly.

This will likely be an attractive but difficult market to trade, full of volatility and big moves with seemingly little fundamental causes behind them.

And at some point I expect the bottom to drop out in response to a terrible exogenous event as a result of the neo-cons' adventurous foreign policy errors.

Best for most investors to sit this one out and take some precautions.

And some seasoned traders are hearing the call of the wild.  

Let's see what happens.

Have a pleasant evening.


05 August 2024

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Madness Will Have Its Way

 

“It's impossible that there could be a plague, because everyone knows that they have vanished from the West. We should not act as though half the town were threatened with death, because then it would be.  Yes, everyone knew that, except for the dead."

Albert Camus, The Plague

"The financial asset bubbles since the turn of the 21st century have been enabled by four basic instruments of monetary policy error: Greenspan, Bernanke, Yellen, and Powell.  Whether we will have a third major collapse and crash to follow this latest asset bubble, as a consequence of misguided monetary policy, economic priorities, and bank regulation is not the issue.   The question is, shall we have a system that holds together long enough to have a fourth?"

Jesse, Malice Domestic and Endless Foreign Wars, 31 July 2018

"The banks engage in fraud for two reasons.  First, they profit from swindling the public.  Second, they can get away with it via a simple technique.  They buy off the regulators with promises of enormously lucrative jobs when they leave government service, and they buy off the politicians with huge direct and indirect campaign contributions [and lucrative insider trading - Jesse]."

Laurence Kotlikoff, When Banksters Buy Regulators and Prosecutors, Forbes, October 21, 2014

"Monetary and regulatory policy encourage asset bubbles to proliferate.  Hot money seeks out the conscious mispricing of risk. Capital, in the form of both money and personal talent, increasingly flows into malinvestment and the gaming of markets. The productive economy languishes, left wanting for the lack of creative resources and attention. The bubble rises to unsustainable valuations— and fails, and a nation's capital is consumed."

Jesse, The Men Who Sold the World, 5 August 2019

'What is truth?' Sometimes people ask this question because they wish to do nothing. Generic cynicism makes us feel hip and alternative even as we slip along with our fellow citizens into a morass of indifference. It is your ability to discern facts that makes you an individual, and our collective trust in common knowledge that makes us a society. Authoritarians need obedient civil servants, and concentration camp directors seek businessmen interested in cheap labor.

To abandon facts is to abandon freedom. If nothing is true, then no one can criticize power, because there is no basis upon which to do so. If nothing is true, then all is spectacle. The biggest wallet pays for the most blinding lights. You submit to tyranny when you renounce the difference between what you want to hear and what is actually the case.”

Timothy Snyder, On Tyranny

"Against such foolishness we are defenseless.   Reason falls on deaf ears; facts that contradict one’s prejudgment simply need not be believed – in such moments the foolish person even becomes critical – and when facts are irrefutable they are just pushed aside as inconsequential, as incidental . In all this the foolish person, in contrast to the malicious one, is utterly self satisfied and, being easily irritated, becomes dangerous by going on the attack.  Never again will we try to persuade the foolish person with reason, for it is senseless and dangerous.”

Dietrich Bonhoeffer, Letters and Papers from Prison

“Preventive war is like committing suicide out of fear of death.”

Otto von Bismarck

"There have always been plagues and wars, yet they always take us by surprise.  When war breaks out people say it's stupid and won't last long.  Foolishness has a knack of getting its way, which we would see if not wrapped up in ourselves.  In this our townsfolk were like everybody else— they did not believe in plagues."

Albert Camus, The Plague


Stocks continued to get pummeled globally over the weekend.

The precise trigger for this is less interesting than the conditions which set the markets up for this.

That could be seen coming.  And many did see it, and spoke up about it.

But there is no reasoning with people determined to be rich by extraordinary means.

Stocks managed to take back quite a bit of their losses by the end of the day, as expected.  

Gold held its support level in good fashion.  Silver has fallen off its ladder, but is hanging on.

We have only just begun.  Fear turns to greed, and then back again.

The next trigger for further selling will be the consequences to the provocations in central Europe and the Middle East.  

For whatever reason certain people have chosen to promote armed conflict.  And it looks like they are going to have their way. 

And a lot of innocent people are going to be hurt, badly.  They already are.  But it will get worse.

 And along with this there will be further erosion in a sick and broken financial and political system.

These are not acts of God or nature.  They are the consequences of human decisions driven by pride and greed, by malignant narcissism and psychopathy in high places.

They know what they are doing.  Their madness blinds them to its consequences.  Evil is viewed as a duty, as a necessity, as a commitment to ideology.

Be careful to whom you give your own hearts.  Lies and deceptions are the order of the day.

It is never too late for repentance, and forgiveness, even after one has made the greatest acts of foolishness.

Madness is unleashed.

Have a pleasant evening.