17 March 2008

The Visa IPO Gets Priced Tomorrow


The much awaited VISA IPO gets out the door tomorrow according to Bloomberg.

Tradition suggests that the equity markets will be calmed with oily trades on troubled financial waters until the players can get it out the door. There might be a respite for stocks. It might not last. Federal Reserve meets tomorrow. They will be sure to do their part.

When the commentators and wide-eyed financial groupies wax poetic about the Fed's heroic actions in 'saving the markets' today, we might wish to keep in mind that in true Wall Street tradition they might just be angling for another quick customer face-ripping before heading out of the exits.

Bank owners counting on big payday from Visa IPO
Sun Mar 16, 2008 11:41am EDT
By Lilla Zuill

NEW YORK, March 16 (Reuters) - Turmoil has chilled the U.S. market for initial public offerings but it is unlikely to stop Visa Inc's attempt to burn its name into the IPO record books when it comes to market this week.

U.S. stock markets nose-dived on Friday with the S&P 500 index .SPX losing more than 2 percent, dragged down by a sudden cash crunch at Bear Stearns Cos (BSC.N: Quote, Profile, Research) that forced the Federal Reserve to intercede.

Against that backdrop, Visa is steaming ahead to list its shares on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol "V". The listing is expected on Wednesday.

Visa's banking owners -- who stand to reap in the region of $10.2 billion in the offering -- may be pushing for the IPO's launch, analysts said.

"It is all the more critical that this happens now," said Francis Gaskins, president of research firm IPOdesktop.com.

Under Visa's plans, 406 million class A common shares will be sold to the public for between $37 and $42 apiece, raising between $15 billion and $17 billion, or more if demand is there.

It is seen as largest-ever U.S. IPO, and second worldwide to Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd (601398.SS: Quote, Profile, Research), which raised $22 billion in 2006, according to Reuters Data.

Hopes are high for Visa's IPO with it following a more than fourfold jump in shares for smaller rival MasterCard Inc's (MA) 2006 IPO, which raised $2.4 billion.

"(Plans for Visa's deal) started long before anyone heard the words 'subprime crisis' but now all those banks could use a big payday," said David Robertson, publisher of the Nilson Report, a semimonthly credit-card industry trade journal.

The rich payday from Visa's IPO could prove timely for bank owners, with mounting credit losses plaguing many lenders. JP Morgan Chase & Co, which has not been as badly hit by the credit crisis as some Wall Street peers stands to be $1 billion richer from the IPO.

A BLESSING?

The offering could prove a blessing for Bank of America Corp, which could see proceeds of up to $600 million, and up to $260 million for Citigroup, both of which have recorded large write-downs as a result of the subprime mortgage and credit crisis. (Oh yes, we are truly blessed this Holy Week, aren't we? May God be merciful. - Jesse)

Underwriters, led by JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs also could gain hefty fees from the deal, which could help make up for a 55 percent drop in IPO activity versus the same time last year, according to Renaissance Capital's IPOhome.com.

The Visa deal is expected to generate fees of $500 million, or more if well received.

"Unless there is bank failure after bank failure in the next few days I would expect Visa to come," said Scott Sweet, managing director of IPOboutique.com....

16 March 2008

Fed Takes on $30 Billion of Bear's Mortgage Debt to Make the Deal


We'll give you two guesses where the Fed is taking that debt, and on behalf of whom they are taking it.
Hint: Do not ask for whom the bell tolls....


Special Fed lending facility in place; non-recourse facility to manage up to $30B of illiquid assets, largely mortgage-related

Fed Creates the Dealer's Dole, Affirms Croney Socialism


The Fed cuts the Discount Rate by 25 basis points, and creates a new lending facility for the banks to lend to the brokers to be called the Primary Dealer Credit Facility (PCDF) aka the Dealer's Dole or Aid to Dependent Millionaires.


Press Release
Release Date: March 16, 2008

For immediate release

The Federal Reserve on Sunday announced two initiatives designed to bolster market liquidity and promote orderly market functioning. Liquid, well-functioning markets are essential for the promotion of economic growth.

First, the Federal Reserve Board voted unanimously to authorize the Federal Reserve Bank of New York to create a lending facility to improve the ability of primary dealers to provide financing to participants in securitization markets. This facility will be available for business on Monday, March 17. It will be in place for at least six months and may be extended as conditions warrant. Credit extended to primary dealers under this facility may be collateralized by a broad range of investment-grade debt securities. The interest rate charged on such credit will be the same as the primary credit rate, or discount rate, at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

Second, the Federal Reserve Board unanimously approved a request by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York to decrease the primary credit rate from 3-1/2 percent to 3-1/4 percent, effective immediately. This step lowers the spread of the primary credit rate over the Federal Open Market Committee’s target federal funds rate to 1/4 percentage point. The Board also approved an increase in the maximum maturity of primary credit loans to 90 days from 30 days.

The Board also approved the financing arrangement announced by JPMorgan Chase & Co. and The Bear Stearns Companies Inc.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Primary Dealer Credit Facility
Terms and conditions

Frequently asked questions

Primary Dealer Credit Facility: Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Federal Reserve’s Primary Dealer Credit Facility (PDCF)? Why are we introducing the PDCF and what are some of its terms?

The Primary Dealer Credit Facility (PDCF) is an overnight loan facility that will provide funding to primary dealers in exchange for a specified range of eligible collateral and is intended to foster the functioning of financial markets more generally.

Who can participate?

Eligible participants include all the primary dealers. They will participate through their clearing banks.

What are the terms of the loan?

Loans will settle on the same business day and will mature the following business day. The rate paid on the loan will be the same as the primary credit rate at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Currently, this rate is equal to the primary credit rate. In addition, primary dealers will be subject to a frequency-based fee after they exceed 30 days of use within the first 120 business days of the program. The frequency-based fee will be based on an escalating scale and communicated to the primary dealers in advance.

What is the rate of the loan?

The rate of the loan is the primary credit rate at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, currently 25 basis points above the target federal funds rate.

What is the frequency-based fee and how is it determined?

The frequency-based fee is a fee schedule that will specify additional fees to be charged to dealers who access the facility on more than 30 business days out of 120 business days of the facility. Access to the facility on the 31st and subsequent days will result in additional fees to be paid by the dealer. The exact frequency-based fee schedule will be determined in consultation with the primary dealers and will be announced within 10 days.

What collateral is eligible for pledging?

Eligible collateral will include all collateral eligible for tri-party repurchase agreements arranged by the Federal Reserve Open Market Trading Desk, as well as all investment-grade corporate securities, municipal securities, mortgage-backed securities, and asset-backed securities for which a price is available.

How will collateral be valued?

The collateral will be valued by the clearing banks based on a range of pricing services.

How do primary dealers initiate the loans?

Primary dealers should contact their clearing bank to request PDCF funds no later than 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time on business days.

How much can primary dealers borrow?

A primary dealer will be allowed to borrow up to the margin-adjusted collateral they can deliver to the Federal Reserve’s account at the clearing banks.

How and when are the loans and collateral settled?

The loans will be made available to a primary dealer’s clearing bank following the acknowledgment by the clearing bank that sufficient collateral has been placed in the New York Fed’s tri-party account at the clearing bank. This will take place around 5:00 p.m. each day.

What is the duration of the loans made under the PDCF?

All loans are made for a duration of one day. New loans can be taken out each day.

How do the primary dealers know that their requested borrowing has been fulfilled?

Each primary dealer should contact their clearing bank directly.

Is this lending with recourse?

Yes, loans to primary dealers made under the PDCF are made with recourse beyond the collateral to the primary dealer entity itself.

What are the differences between this and other recent initiatives?

The Term Auction Facility program offers term funding to depository institutions via a bi-weekly auction, for fixed amounts of credit. The Term Securities Lending Facility will be an auction for a fixed amount of lending of Treasury general collateral in exchange for OMO-eligible and AAA/Aaa rated private-label residential mortgage-backed securities. The Primary Dealer Credit Facility now allows eligible Depository Institutions to borrow at the existing Discount Rate for up to 90 days.

Will the PDCF operations have a reserve impact?

Yes, the credit advanced to the primary dealers under the PDCF will increase the amount of bank reserves.

How will we offset the reserve impact of PDCF loans?

PDCF loans made to primary dealers increase the total supply of reserves in the banking system, in much the same way that Discount Window loans do. To offset this increase, the Federal Reserve Open Market Trading Desk (the “Desk”) will utilize a number of tools, including, but not necessarily limited to, outright sales of Treasury securities, reverse repurchase agreements, redemptions of Treasury securities, and changes in the sizes of conventional RP transactions.

How is this different from discount window lending to depository institutions?

This differs from discount window lending to depository institutions in a number of ways. Currently, the primary credit facility offers overnight as well as term funding for up to 90 calendar days at the primary credit rate secured by discount window collateral to eligible depository institutions. The PDCF, by contrast, is an overnight facility that will be available to primary dealers (rather than depository institutions) for a period of 120 business days. The PDCF is subject to a frequency-of-usage fee, and the loans will be secured by a different basket of securities than those eligible for pledging at the discount window; in particular, only priced securities will be accepted in the PDCF.

What information regarding PDCF loans will be released to the public and how frequently?

Similar to loans made to depository institutions via the Discount Window, information on PDCF borrowing will be made available each Thursday, generally at 4:30 p.m., on Federal Reserve Statistical Release H.4.1 - Factors Affecting Reserve Balances of Depository Institutions and Condition Statement of Federal Reserve Banks. The H.4.1 release will contain the total amount of PDCF credit outstanding as of the close of business on the prior business day and the average daily amounts for each week.

Under what legal authority are PDCF loans made?

PDCF loans are made under Section 13(3) of the Federal Reserve Act.

How long will the PDCF be in operation?

The PDCF will remain in operation as long as is needed to provide funding to primary dealers in exchange for program eligible collateral and to foster the functioning of financial markets.


2008 Monetary Policy Releases

Last update: March 16, 2008

J. P. Morgan Buys Bear Stearns for $2


J.P.Morgan says deal will 'ulitmately' be positive to earnings, in the same sense that the sun will ultimately become a blackened cinder.

They're only paying $238 million for them. Bear's headquarters is probably worth about $1.6 Billion. So you figure out what a mess they are in. Yikes!


J.P. Morgan Chase to buy Bear Stearns for $2 a Share

By Anne Stanley
Last update: 7:16 p.m. EDT March 16, 2008

SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) --
J.P. Morgan Chase has agreed to buy Bear Stearns [s:bsc] for $2 a share in a stock-swap deal, according to a report in the online edition of the Wall Street Journal citing people familiar with the matter.

J.P. Morgan will exchange 0.05473 shares of its common stock per one share of Bear Stearns stock. Both boards have approved the transaction. The Journal reported people familiar with the discussions said all sides were pushing hard to complete an agreement before financial markets in Asia open for Monday trading.

The Journal report quotes Treasury Deptartment spokeswoman Michele Davis as saying, "None of these things is done until they're done. But I think everyone's expectation is sometime in the early evening hopefully" the deal will be done