14 September 2008

AIG to Sell Assets, Seeks $40 Billion to Avoid Bankruptcy, Bridge Loan from the Fed


Yves Smith of Naked Capitalism tees this one up beautifully:

This is truly unbelievable. Even as little as a week ago, the idea that AIG, the world's biggest insurer, would go begging the Fed for help would have seemed daft. But that's now an element of the meltdown in progress.

And AIG is a major credit default swaps writer, bigger than Bear. If Bear could not be allowed to fail, AIG certainly can't go asunder. But how can the Fed extend a lifeline to a party it doesn't regulate, or even have as a counterparty? The Primary Dealer Credit Facility was a clever move, but was not in place soon enough to save Beasr. This is even more of a stretch, and on an even more pressured timetable.

AIG May Seek Help From Federal Reserve, WSJ Says
By Hugh Son

Sept. 14 (Bloomberg) -- American International Group Inc., the insurer seeking to stave off credit downgrades, may seek help from the Federal Reserve, the Wall Street Journal said.

The insurer has turned down a private-equity investment because it would have meant turning over control of the company, the Journal said on its Web site, citing unnamed people familiar with the situation.

Chief Executive Officer Robert Willumstad, 63, is under pressure to raise capital after three quarterly losses totaling $18.5 billion and a 79 percent stock slide this year. Investors are concerned the New York-based insurer can't raise enough cash to cushion against future writedowns from credit-default swaps, which are contracts AIG sold to protect fixed-income investors.

A ratings cut may have ``a material adverse effect on AIG's liquidity'' and trigger more than $13 billion in collateral calls from debt investors who bought the swaps, the insurer said in an Aug. 6 filing. AIG has already posted $16.5 billion in collateral through July 31. A downgrade could also set off early termination of swaps that may cause $4.6 billion in payments, AIG said.

AIG spokesman Nicholas Ashooh didn't immediately return a phone call seeking comment.


September 15, 2008
Rush Is On to Prevent A.I.G. From Failing
By GRETCHEN MORGENSON and MARY WILLIAMS WALSH
NY Times

The American International Group, the insurance company, is planning a major reorganization and a sale of its aircraft leasing business and other units to stabilize its finances, a person briefed on the company’s strategy said on Sunday.

A.I.G. became one of the focuses at an emergency gathering of Wall Street executives over the weekend, and was trying to arrange a capital infusion in the face of possible credit downgrades.

It was unclear whether A.I.G. would succeed in its capital search, but a person briefed on the discussions said it was seeking more than $40 billion even as it tried to sell assets to shore up its financial footing. Among the businesses likely to be sold is A.I.G.’s aircraft leasing business, the International Lease Finance Corporation. Founded in 1973, the business has nearly 1,000 planes in its fleet.

Investors, afraid that A.I.G. would have to absorb further write-downs in its already damaged mortgage securities and collateralized debt obligations, have driven down the company’s shares in recent days. The stock closed Friday at $12.14 a share, a decline of 46 percent for the week.

Several private equity firms were at A.I.G.’s headquarters in downtown Manhattan on Sunday, and may inject billions of dollars in capital into the firm, a person briefed on the matter said.

A.I.G.’s problems are not new. The company lost $13.2 billion in the first six months of 2008, largely owing to declining values in mortgage-related securities held in its investment portfolio and collateralized debt obligations it owns.

But the company’s outlook grew grimmer last week when Standard & Poor’s warned that it was considering downgrading the company’s debt as a result of further write-downs it might have to take....

Lehman to Declare Bankruptcy with Backstops Insuring "Orderly Liquidation"


Lehman to File for Bankruptcy Protection
September 14, 2008, 5:55 pm
Dealbook

Lehman Brothers will file for bankruptcy protection on Sunday night, according to people briefed on the matter, in the largest failure of an investment bank since the collapse of Drexel Burnham Lambert 18 years ago.

Lehman will seek to place its parent company, Lehman Brothers Holdings, into bankruptcy protection, while its subsidiaries will remain solvent while the firm liquidates its holdings, these people said. A consortium of banks will provide a financial backstop to help provide an orderly winding down of the 158-year-old investment bank. And the Federal Reserve has agreed to accept lower-quality assets in return for loans from the government.

But Lehman’s filing is unlikely to resemble those of other companies that seek bankruptcy protection. Because of the harsher treatment that federal bankruptcy law applies to financial-services firm, Lehman cannot hope to reorganize and survive as a going concern. It will instead liquidate its holdings.

It was not clear whether the government would appoint a trustee to supervise Lehman’s liquidation, or how big the financial backstop would be.

Lehman’s broker-deal subsidiaries would not be a part of the bankruptcy filing. Those entities must file under Chapter 7 rules, which are the procedures for liquidation, under the assumption that it is the best way to protect customers. The Securities Investor Protection Corporation would handle the liquidation of such brokerages, and bankruptcy lawyers say that customers are likely to receive their holdings back.

Moreover, changes to the bankruptcy code mean that counterparties to Lehman’s credit-default swaps can seize their collateral at any time, posing an enormous potential risk to the entire financial markets. Investment banks, hedge funds and other financial players labored throughout Sunday to offset their exposure to Lehman, moving their contracts to other firms.

Lehman has retained the law firm Weil, Gotshal & Manges to prepare its bankruptcy filing. The firm’s restructuring head, Harvey Miller, also worked on Drexel’s bankruptcy back in 1990.

Eric Dash, Ben White and Michael J. de la Merced


Circuit Breakers, Curbs, and Down Limits


Circuit Breakers and Other Market Volatility Procedures

The major stock and commodities exchanges have instituted procedures to limit mass or panic selling in times of serious market declines and volatility. These mechanisms are known as Circuit Breakers, the Collar Rule, and Price Limits. Circuit Breakers establish whether trading will be halted temporarily or stopped entirely. The Collar Rule and Price Limits affect the way trading in the securities and futures markets takes place.


Circuit Breakers

The securities and futures markets have circuit breakers that provide for brief, coordinated, cross-market trading halts during a severe market decline as measured by a single day decrease in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA).




Trading Collars

If the DJIA moves up or down two percent (2%) from the previous closing value, program trading orders to buy or sell the Standard & Poor’s 500 stocks as part of index arbitrage were restricted in response to the Crash of 1987.

On November 2, 2007, the NYSE scrapped this rule. The reason given for the rule's elimination was its ineffectiveness in curbing market volatility.


Price Limits

The futures exchanges set the price limits that aim to lessen sharp price swings in contracts, such as stock index futures. A price limit does not stop trading in the futures, but prohibits trading at prices below the pre-set limit during a price decline.

Intra-day price limits are removed at pre-set times during the trading session, such as ten minutes after the thresholds are reached or at 3:30 p.m. (all times are Eastern), whichever is earlier.

Daily price limits remain in effect for the entire trading session. Specific price limits are set by the exchanges for each stock index futures contract. There are no daily price limits for U.S. stock index options, equity options, or stocks.




Sources: Securities and Exchange Commission, Chicago Mercantile Exchange and NYSE/Euronext

BAC Dumps Lehman, Said to Be Courting Merrill


Are these guys meeting at the NY Fed or Plato's Retreat?

Odd man out can be the towel boy.


Bank of America Said to Walk Away From Lehman Talks
By Margaret Popper and Yalman Onaran

Sept. 14 (Bloomberg) -- Bank of America Corp. abandoned talks to buy Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., according to a person with knowledge of the matter, less than three hours after Barclays Plc said it wouldn't buy the faltering investment bank.


Bank of America, Merrill Lynch In Merger Talks
By MATTHEW KARNITSCHNIG, SUSANNE CRAIG and DENNIS K. BERMAN
September 14, 2008 4:08 p.m.

Bank of America and Merrill Lynch & Co. Inc. are in merger discussions, according to people familiar with the matter.

The talks come amid a Wall Street scramble to sort out a potential liquidation of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.

Bank of America had considered buying Lehman, but when those talks failed to result in a deal, BofA turned its attention to Merrill, which is considered a better fit for the bank.

Much remains uncertain and conditions were fluid.