17 October 2008

Derivatives Losses Hit French Depositor Bank Caisse d'Epargne


"You are told that your ONLY job is take as much money from your customer's pocket as you can and put it in your pocket. Then they give you all the crappy little accounts and you hit the phones hard and convince them to buy the stuff all the bigger accounts which are "desk" accounts are trying to sell. You move up to "desk" accounts when you prove that you can sell freezers to eskimoes. Aggressive rookies in derivatives beat the bushes globally to find any smaller unloved accounts and they plug them full of exotic derivatives that were designed to have huge yields and no downside - until the markets become very volatile, that is. Before this is over, we will see that just about every financial firm around the globe is loaded with highly questionable derivatives."
Confessions of a Wall Street Bond Trader



Caisse d'Epargne Had EU600 Million Derivatives Loss
By Fabio Benedetti-Valentini
October 17, 2008 08:07 EDT

Oct. 17 (Bloomberg) -- Groupe Caisse d'Epargne, the French customer-owned bank in merger talks with Groupe Banque Populaire, reported a 600 million-euro ($807 million) loss on equity derivatives after stock markets plunged last week.

The loss occurred at the proprietary-trading unit of Caisse Nationale des Caisses d'Epargne, the lender's holding company, the Paris-based bank said today. The team of about half a dozen people exceeded trading limits in terms of size and risk, said an official at Caisse d'Epargne. (Rogue traders again, les joueurs compulsifs - Jesse)

European stocks last week slid 22 percent, driving the Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index to its worst week on record, on concern the deepening credit crisis will push the economy into a recession. The equity derivatives losses don't affect the ``financial solidity'' of Caisse d'Epargne, which has more than 20 billion euros of shareholders' equity, the company said. The stock market plunge may have led to losses at other banks.

``Everyone will have incurred big losses because of market volatility,'' said Bahadour Moussa, a consultant specializing in derivatives recruitment at London-based Pelham International. ``A lot of the banks will have positions they can't unwind or shift and that are losing money, and when the time's up, they'll have to publish losses.'' (Everyone was doing it, Maman - Jesse)

Bank Rescue Plan

Banks in Europe and the U.S. are also grappling with the impact of the global credit crisis. The French government this week announced plans to loan as much as 320 billion euros to banks to unlock lending and to spend as much as 40 billion euros on equity stakes in financial companies, if needed.

Caisse d'Epargne and Banque Populaire started merger talks last week, with the encouragement of the French state, as the financial crisis put pressure on banks to combine. The banks are the main shareholders of Natixis SA, the Paris-based investment bank that piled up about 3.9 billion of writedowns tied to the U.S. subprime mortgage market collapse by June 30.

The loss doesn't affect the merger plan between the holding companies of Caisse d'Epargne and Banque Populaire, the official said. A deputy of Julien Carmona, Caisse d'Epargne's head of finance and risk management, has been suspended because of the loss and the bank is pursuing ``sanctions'' against the members of the proprietary-trading desk, he said.

Lagarde Calls for Inquiry

French Finance Minister Christine Lagarde, in a statement, said the losses don't threaten the financial strength of Caisse d'Epargne. She asked the French banking commission to carry out an inquiry into the trades, and to ensure that French banks are complying with market controls.

The announcement comes about nine months after Societe Generale SA, France's second-largest bank by market value, reported a 4.9 billion-euro trading loss because of unauthorized bets by Jerome Kerviel. (Le Rogue Trader prototype - Jesse)

Caisse d'Epargne and Banque Populaire formed Paris-based Natixis in 2006 by merging their investment-banking and asset- management businesses. They own about 34.5 percent each in Natixis and agreed on Sept. 29 that they may raise their holdings by as much as 2 percent each.

Natixis said in July that it plans a ``strong reduction'' of its proprietary-trading business as it cuts 850 jobs and trims costs by 400 million euros in 2009 to restore profitability. French banks had at least 18 billion euros of writedowns and provisions so far stemming from the collapse of U.S. mortgages. (Bonjour, mon nom est Guillaume, et je suis un 'derivatives trader' - Jesse)

Caisse d'Epargne, formed by 21 member banks, is France's third-largest consumer banking network by branches, with 4,770 agencies. Caisse d'Epargne had 358 billion euros of savings and deposits at the end of 2007.

Derivatives are financial instruments derived from stocks, bonds, loans, currencies and commodities, or linked to specific events like changes in the weather or interest rates.


16 October 2008

Neither a Borrower nor a Lender Be: Banks Getting their Daily Fix from the Fed


Oh yes. This will surely work.

Keeping the insolvent Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs on life support, and paralyzing an entire economy and its banking system to cover their embarrassment.

Reuters
Banks borrow record $437.5 billion per day from Fed
Thu Oct 16, 2008 5:14pm EDT

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Financial institutions ran to their lender of last resort for record amounts of cash in the latest week, under extreme pressure from the worst global financial crisis in a generation, Federal Reserve data showed on Thursday.

Banks and dealers' overall direct borrowings from the Fed averaged a record $437.53 billion per day in the week ended October 15, topping the previous week's $420.16 billion per day.

Some analysts are concerned that banks' dependence on Fed lending might become long term and difficult to change.

"The banking system is going to become addicted to this very cheap money. Unwinding it will be very difficult," said Howard Simons, strategist with Bianco Research in Chicago.

"We have effectively allowed the central banks to disintermediate the banking system. Why would I want to borrow from you if I could do it with the central bank, because they can always print it up and say 'here'...and they are in the business now of making sure I stay in business," Simons said.

Primary credit discount window borrowings averaged a record $99.66 billion per day in the latest week, up from $75.0 billion per day the previous week.

Primary dealer and other broker dealer borrowings were $133.87 billion as of October 15, versus $122.94 billion on October 8.

"Other credit extensions", mostly reflecting loans to insurer AIG, were $82.86 billion as of October 15, versus $70.30 billion as of October 8.

The Fed's lending to banks to enable them to purchase asset-backed commercial paper from money market mutual funds was $122.76 billion as of October 15, versus $139.48 billion on October 8.

Proceeds from the U.S. Treasury's sales of Treasury bills in the Fed's supplementary financing account, which are helping to fund the Fed's support of financial institutions, were $499.13 billion as of October 15, versus $459.25 billion as of October 8.

Spreads Between the Central Commodity Markets and Market Prices Continue to Widen


One of the hallmarks of the centrally-planned economy is a discrepancy between prices on paper, and prices in the marketplace. The examples of this are all too familiar to students of the economy of the former Soviet Union.

For whatever reasons, the US is beginning to go down that path, and perhaps shockingly so. We think a great deal of this is a temporary market dislocation overall as funds unwind positions under duress.

However, in the case of silver, the huge short positions by three banks suggest this is central planning and price fixing, not price discovery tied to market demand.


Silver: Gap Between Paper and Physical Prices Widening Daily



The logical question is "why don't these large dealers simply purchase contracts on the COMEX and stand for delivery?"

One factor is the incremental cost of fabricating the large bars from COMEX into forms more palatable to the retail market, ie. 100 oz, 10 oz bar and 1 oz rounds.

Another could be the anecdotal stories of COMEX reluctance to settle in delivery, and pressuring traders to accept 'cash.'

A potentially explosive situation worth keeping an eye on, for sure.

We wonder in what other markets this condition might repeat. Gold looks likely. Oil? Housing?

Where does statism end once it becomes comfortable with setting market prices, as in the Wage and Price Controls of the 1970's which so many have forgotten about today.

Are the large commodity producing nations allowing the bank cartel to set the prices at which they can sell their goods? Strange, and shame on them if they do.

Its a Brave New World, with many vestiges of the all too familiar.

Charts in the Babson Style for the Morning of 16 October


The LAST hour of trading is proving to be the most important of the day.

The hedge funds are in a massive unwinding of positions.

The Paulson plan does nothing in the short term to help the economy or the markets.

It is more like an outsized 'perk' than an economic 'plan' with a narrow and somewhat selective list of recipients.

"Those entrapped by the herd instinct are drowned in the deluges of history. But there are always the few who observe, reason, and take precautions, and thus escape the flood." Antony C. Sutton