11 March 2009

Mr. Pot Calling Mr. Kettle. Mr. Pot Calling Mr. Kettle.


Steve Schwarzman of the Blackstone group blames the Ratings Agencies for the crisis and the historic 'loss of wealth' throughout the world.

Note to Steve. It was not real wealth.

It was a bubble that was created starting in 1996 when Alan Greenspan changed his policy stance towards the markets after a visit from Mr. Rubin. This was around the time of his famous 'irrational exuberance' speech. We can only wonder what was said at that meeting.

Real wealth has substance. It is created by savings and hard work, and is only destroyed by real world events like natural disasters and wars, and of course theft.

The destruction of the real wealth was in the bubble when the middle class was systematically destroyed. This is just the settling of accounts. What we are seeing now is the paint peeling off the rotten economy which the financiers created for their personal benefit.

The ratings agencies and the regulators and the Fed and the media and the Presidency failed in their duties and responsibilities. They failed because they were corrupted. They were enthralled in a deep capture within a climate of fraud and market manipulation. They succumbed to temptation and became participants. And now they are afraid and ashamed of what they have done.

But they were the pawns, the tools. The primary actors are still in place and are still doing their worst for America. Jamie Dimon is on the financial news networks today speaking to the US Chamber of Commerce, weaving a revisionist view of what happened, blaming everyone but the banks in an amazing display of calculated spin.

Until the Wall Street banks are restrained, until real reform is accomplished, there will be no recovery, and the corruption will continue to taint all who come near it. It is already having its way with the new 'reform' administration.


Blackstone CEO: As much as 45% of global wealth is gone
CFA Institute Financial NewsBrief
03/11/2009

Describing the event as "absolutely unprecedented in our lifetime," Stephen Schwarzman, CEO of Blackstone Group, said the credit meltdown has wiped out between 40% and 45% of the world's wealth.

He said credit-rating agencies are partly to blame for the crisis. "What's pretty clear is that if you were looking for one culprit out of the many, many, many culprits, you have to point your finger at the rating agencies," Schwarzman said. Reuters (10 Mar.)


10 March 2009

Madoff is Pleading Guilty Without a Deal


Reports are that Bernie Madoff is pleading guilty WITHOUT a deal with the prosecution?

Is there a separate deal with a third party?

He gets to live, albeit in prison, if he doesn't testify about who he worked with and where the money came from and went?

Follow the money (if you can).

According to the US government the total of the Claimed Account balances is now $64.8 Billion with $170 Billion in forfeitures.

Bernie beats the estimate of $50 Billion stolen. Rally time.

Oh and according to Bloomberg, the judge has ruled that the only victims who will be allowed to speak on Friday in court will be those who do NOT think Bernie should be sentenced to any jail time.

Do the thousands of other less forgiving victims get to have their say in a free speech zone in the south Bronx?


SP Futures Hourly Chart at 1 PM EDT - An Appearance of False Vitality Amidst Wasting Disease


Breakout or Fakeout?

The trigger for this rally was an internal memo to the Citigroup employees from Vikram Pandit, designed to bolster morale and most likely the stock price when it was widely leaked to the press. Vik gets a freebie on this one since the memo was 'internal.' No accounting for numbers, right? lol.

Citi CEO Pandit Defends Group Strength

Traders are choosing to interpret this as a positive sign that 'the worst is over' and are squeezing the short interest from an oversold condition. Here is a story on Citi from the WSJ. Does this sound like all is smooth sailing?

U.S. Weighs Further Steps for Citi: Regulators Plan for Contingency - WSJ

Anyone who actually believes the financial crisis is over based on this 'leaked internal memo' is a true believer indeed. In what we are not sure.

Let's see how this rally plays out. Here are the support and resistance levels.

Anything is possible here in the Speculation Nation.

By the way, Turbo Timmy Geithner will be on PBS' Charley Rose talk show this evening. He will say that things are getting dramatically worse in the US economy. But they are committed to fix our dire financial problems no matter what they must do. (hint: print).



Singapore: Three Years of 'Vicious Downturn" - Buys Gold, Loon, Renminbi and Yen - Sells Dollar and Pound


The projection that the Government of Singapore Investment Corp (GIC)has calculated for $3.8 Trillion in financial market writedowns over three years is interesting, considering we are only a third of the way there.

Remarkably, the selection for investment safety that Mr. Yeoh Lam Keong puts forward is very close to items served at the private table of Le Café Américain.

Interesting nonetheless, in particular because of their holding in Citigroup and UBS, and any insight they may have gained therein.

Reuters
Singapore's GIC sees more distress in markets

By Kevin Lim and Saeed Azhar
Tue Mar 10, 2009 2:35am EDT

Fancies gold; to avoid dollar, sterling currencies

SINGAPORE, March 10 (Reuters) - An official from the Government of Singapore Investment Corp (GIC) said he expects more weakness in financial markets in the next 12-18 months, and recommended investors hold gold and other safe assets such as government bonds.

GIC, one of the world's largest sovereign funds with an estimated $200 billion-plus in assets, has invested aggressively in troubled global lenders, picking up multi-billion dollar stakes in Citigroup and UBS in late 2007 and early 2008.

There is "systemic capital inadequacy globally", and the world will probably see "three years of a very vicious downcycle," GIC's director of economics and strategy, Yeoh Lam Keong, told the Investment Management Association of Singapore conference on Tuesday

"This is a very destructive process for assets."

Yeoh, who said he was speaking in his personal capacity, showed a slide prepared by GIC that indicated global writedowns in the financial sector could reach $3.8 trillion by 2013 and that only about 30 percent of the losses had been booked so far.

Yeoh suggested investors hold gold, sovereign bonds and currencies such as the Japanese yen, Chinese yuan and Canadian dollar.

He said he liked gold because governments were under pressure to cheapen their currencies to compensate for falling demand, and that some countries such as the United States and Britain would eventually be forced to monetise their debt by printing money.

"I would avoid these currencies like the plague," he said in reference to the dollar and sterling
.