26 August 2009

'New Deal for Wall Street' Programs Subsidizing Subprime Lenders


Welfare for Wall Street is just another phase of the 'trickle down' approach that seems to be so popular with the financerati.

If "Cash for Clunkers" had involved subsidized loans for cars administered by the banks it would have been touted as the greatest thing since sliced bread by the coporate media and mainstream infomercials, instead of being slammed on a daily basis as a troubled, pointless giveaway program.

So now we have a new "Cash for Criminals" program from the finance friendly folks at the tarnished Treasury and finagling Fed as outlined in the story below, this time for those overpriced housing loans sold to underpaid, over-indebted consumers.

The housing market needs to clear, the losses need to be realized, and the debt must be written down or taken into default by the banks.

The banks do not wish to foreclose because this will force them to start marking down the toxic assets they still hold on their books.

The Obama Administration is doing a fairly good imitation of Japan Inc.


Washington Post
Subprime Lenders Getting U.S. Subsidies, Report Says
By Renae Merle
Wednesday, August 26, 2009

Many of the lenders eligible to receive billions of dollars from the government's massive foreclosure prevention program helped fuel the housing crisis by issuing risky subprime loans, according to a report to be issued Wednesday by the Center for Public Integrity.

Under the $75 billion program, called Making Home Affordable, lenders are eligible for taxpayer subsidies to lower the mortgage payments of distressed borrowers. Of the top 25 participants in the program, at least 21 specialized in servicing or originating subprime loans, according to the center, a nonprofit investigative reporting group funded largely by charitable foundations.

Much "of this money is going directly to the same financial institutions that helped create the sub-prime mortgage mess in the first place," Bill Buzenberg, executive director of the center, said in a statement.

For example, J.P. Morgan Chase, Wells Fargo and Countrywide, which has been bought by Bank of America, are eligible to receive billions of dollars under the program, according to the report.

The report comes as the Obama administration is prodding lenders to do more to help borrowers. Less than 10 percent of delinquent borrowers eligible for assistance through Make Home Affordable have received help, according to Treasury Department estimates released this month. The administration is aiming to more than double the number of borrowers helped under the program to 500,000 by Nov. 1.

"Mortgage lenders and servicers have been reluctant to participate in foreclosure prevention programs despite their role in creating the subprime debacle. Intense pressure from Congress and the White House hasn't worked, either," the report said. "The stick has not been effective, so the Obama administration is offering a carrot -- billions of dollars in incentive payments to lenders and loan servicers to encourage them to participate..."


Capital Flight: A Plunge in Foreign Capital Inflows Preceded the Break in US Financial Markets


The peak of foreign capital inflows into the US was clearly seen in the second quarter of 2007, just before the crisis in the US that has rocked its banking system and driven it deeply into recession.

Are the two events connected? Had the US become a Ponzi scheme that began to collapse when new investment began to wane, and the growth of returns could not be maintained?

Watch the dollar and the Treasury and Agency Debt auctions for any further signs of capital flight, which is when those net inflows of foreign capital turn negative. And if for some reason the unlikely happens and it gains momentum, the dollar and bonds and stocks can all go lower in unison, and there is no place to hide except perhaps in some foreign currencies and precious metals.

The sad truth is that US collateralized debt packages and their derivatives have become toxic in the minds of the rest of the world, and there is little being done to change that, except an orderly winding down of the bubble, with the remaining assets being divided largely by insiders, and not price discovery and capital allocation mechanisms centered by the 'invisible hand of the markets.'



Unfortunately the Net Inflow Data is quarterly, and subject to revisions. But we have to note that the spectacularly rally off the bottom in the SP 500, not fully depicted above, is not being matched by a return of foreign capital inflows.

If that inflow does not return, if the median wage of Americans does not increase, if the financial system is not reformed, if the economy is not brought back into balance between the service and manufacturing sectors, exports and imports, then there can be no sustained recovery in the real, productive economy.

The rally in the US markets is based on an extreme series of New Deal for Wall Street programs from the Fed and the Treasury, monetization, and the devaluation of the dollar.

25 August 2009

The Man Who Exposed Madoff Cites Government Complicity in Fraud


This is only the tip of the iceberg, but even it may never be seen.

We ask now why the economists and regulators and media said little or nothing while the frauds and bubbles were developing, then.

But what are they saying now, about the new frauds, and injustices, and the blatant manipulation of the markets wherein some traders turn in financial results that are improbable to produce without inside information and breaking the rules?

A few heroes speak out, but most of the intellectual leadership cower in the shadows, asking 'Where is the outrage?' And the media baits the crowd with this or that distraction, and inflames them to think whichever way it pleases.

Here is an audio interview with Harry Markopolos in which he gives his views on the Federal Reserve as a regulator, financial reform, and the 'recovery.' Harry Markopolos Interview with King World News

Let us start here, and now, to demand the change required. Let us begin by auditing the Fed, and refusing to tolerate the granting of more regulatory power to an institution spawned in a deception in 1913, and at the heart of so many of our financial crises ever since. The Creature from Jekyll Island: A Second Look - G. Edward Griffin (2007)

As of yet, nothing has changed. The silence is deafening.


AFP Interviews Harry Markopolos

...In May of 2000, he submitted an 8-page report to the Boston Regional Office of the Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) listing red flags and mathematical proof of a major fraud but got no reply. He re-submitted his evidence to the Boston and other SEC offices in 2001, 2005, 2007 and 2008, to no avail. By this time, Markopolos was realizing that Madoff had been operating with protection from the inside.

In late 2008, when the stock market crumbled and investors rushed in to redeem their investments, Madoff ran out of cash, turned himself in to authorities, and pleaded guilty in federal court last March 12th.

Markopolos said that all the members of his team feared for their lives during the long investigation and he for more reason than any of the others because of his visibility. He was the one who was submitting all the complaints each year, and he knew that any leak from the SEC could make him a marked man.

He explained that the “offshore feeder funds” were only one step removed from organized crime. “If organized crime knew that Madoff was stealing their money, he would have been killed. Therefore, if Madoff had ever found out that we had a team tracking him through Europe and North America and that he risked getting exposed, it was a good bet that he would have had several billion reasons to want us silenced first. To compartmentalize the damage, I was the only one who went to the SEC.”

No one there knew Markopolos had an assisting team in the field. But Markopolos has proof that the SEC was culpable, too, and says publicly that he has tremendous anger at the agency and sadness for the victims. He says that there were SEC lawyers who were “in bed with Madoff ” and helped destroy lives.

Madoff paid people to look the other way,” says Markopolos and reminds us that there is a federal report scheduled to come out by the end of the year. He emphasizes that unless there is a cover-up, “the SEC will cease to exist...”

Next Head of the European Central Bank a Goldman Sachs Alumnus or Buba's Head Boy?


The German patience with the EU is admirable.

And in the States, the patience with the rule of Wall Street and the hagiographic praise of Chairman Ben is ... remarkable.

One might even be tempted to call him 'maestro,' at least until the next bubble collapses.

Central Banking Publications
Weber Aims High
25 August 2009

So far, the front runner to succeed Jean-Claude Trichet as head of the European Central Bank, when his term ends in 2011, has been Mario Draghi, the shrewd current governor of the Banca d'Italia and Goldman Sachs alumnus (don't all boo at once).

But insiders are keeping a close eye on Axel Weber, president of the Bundesbank. If Draghi were to fall under a bus on the Via Nazionale (easily done, by the way), or if he were to give in to the blandishments of those who are urging him to dive into the treacherous waters of Italian politics, then Weber is positioning himself as the clear fall-back choice.

This would not go down well at the Elysée, where the thought of a German running the ECB makes President Sarkozy see red. Yet why not? Isn't it their turn, at last?

The efforts of French diplomats, allied to their enviable higher education and elite training, have ensured that Frenchmen have sat at the top of many of the great official international institutions for far longer than Germans (or indeed Brits). A Frenchman has occupied the post of IMF managing director for a total of 34 years since the founding of the Fund 65 years ago, while a German has been in the job for only four years. A Frenchman has been president of the European Commission for 14 years, while no German has held the post since Walter Hallstein, who retired in 1967. No German has headed up the EBRD in London, while Frenchmen have run it for 15 years. No German has led the OECD, and so on.

It would be understandable if Germans felt it was time to have their own man at the ECB. After all, it is German public opinion that in the end is critical for the long-term success of the euro. If German taxpayers are called on to bailout backsliding countries unable to discipline their economies (like Italy), they would be much more likely to do so with good grace if their own man or woman was seen to be minding the shop. So anybody committed to the success of the euro should be rooting for a German candidate, n'est-ce pas?

Enter politics. To reach the top job at the ECB, Weber needs to be nominated by the chancellor. Angela Merkel is fully expected to win the general election next month, possibly with a greatly increased personal mandate.

Now, observe a curious fact. For an institution known in the past for lambasting governments' deficit spending, the Bundesbank has been remarkably quiescent recently. Its big guns have fallen silent. Indeed, Weber has praised German economic policy. In a recent interview with Die Zeit online, Weber noted that the GDP recovery in the second quarter owed much to the support measures deployed by the government, the support of the state banking sector and the ECB's monetary easing. Meanwhile, Merkel has roundly criticised other central banks, such as the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, while supporting the Bundesbank. They are both singing from the same hymn sheet.

Meanwhile, Weber has been quietly appointing his own people to several key positions while some Bundesbank board directors of an independent cast of mind appear to be heading for the exit.

The odds are still on Draghi. He is what the Italians call "furbo" – variously translated as smart, cunning or foxy. The French will be cheering him on. But the Italian fox will be on the outlook for a German greyhound coming up on the inside lane.