Gold Daily Chart: Cup and Handle Formation on Track

Gold set its low for the handle with an intraday spike down to 1166 compliments of the heavy handed bear raids ahead of option expiry, but put in the daily close at an almost perfect 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.

Since then gold has been rallying, breaking through the key 1200 level right after the expiration where so many call options had been concentrated.


h/t lemetropolecafe.com

It has already reached what might prove to be the upper bound of resistance for the handle, although I would expect it to be a rough go higher from here until a breakout is achieved.

The target of 1400 to 1450 looks good. As the breakout gains shape hopefully a minimum measuring objective can be calibrated more precisely.

Once gold starts moving I would not be surprised to see a breakaway gap that does not get filled, but leaves many punters on the sidelines waiting for a pullback.



The usual caution is that if there is a market crash and a liquidation panic, gold will be sold along with almost everything else, at least temporarily, but then should rebound strongly as the central banks act to bolster confidence and liquidity by devaluing their currencies even more aggressively tha they have already been doing.

Classic Cup and Handle Chart Formation



See also Gold Is In a Classic Cup and Handle Formation Targeting 1,450: May 19th

Obama Skips Presidential Visit to Arlington National Cemetery on Memorial Day

Obama to Skip Arlington Ceremonies on Memorial Day: Washington Post

At first I was just puzzled. Not only for Obama's disregard for one of the great American traditions, but even more, that I cared so much about it. I have visited Arlington cemetery several times, and each time the experience was moving. I especially like to visit the Tomb of the Unknown Soldier, and the humble grave of Robert Kennedy, and the more famous of his brother Jack.

But the more I thought about it, it seems like a shocking breach of protocol for a war-time President, the Commander-in-Chief, to skip such a high profile responsibility while brave men bleed for him overseas in his wars. For at this point in his term of office, they are undeniably his wars.

I think it speaks volumes about Obama's tin ear for the common American's sensibilities, another data point for his profile, and how he views things and his relationship to them.

I am sure there are many, many people who would like to be able to have family vacations this weekend as well, who will not be able to, because they have lost their homes, their jobs, their loved ones, and their lives, in the service of a small and increasingly out of touch clique of powerful elitists and oligarchs.

"As flies to wanton boys are we to the gods..."

King Lear Act 4, scene 1, 32–37

Postscript: After thinking about this further, I realized why it bothered me so much. My godson is visiting us, taking a little vacation after his high school graduation, and getting into shape, waiting for his 18th birthday in July so he can return home to Florida and enlist in the US Marine Corps. His obvious desire to serve his country, his knowledge of the Corps, and his devotion to his preparations is touching. With so many good people to choose from, why can't America seem to obtain better leaders?

It Doesn't Take a Whistleblower...

The most recent smackdown in Gold and Silver for the purpose of manipulating the price of metals for the COMEX option expiration was about as blatant and arrogant as I have seen. There was a big fat concentration of Calls at the 1200 strike price, and the temptation to make their expire worthless was an open invitation to the pigmen.

You do not need a whistleblower to spot these abuses. The banks and hedge funds are practically taking out billboards in their market price manipulation these days, and daring anyone to do something about it. Why are they so fearless under a 'reform administration?'

The gaming of the markets using derivatives and massed selling and buying, melt ups and flash crashes, is less a 'conspiracy theory' these days, and more like an IQ test.

And it's a damn shame. Especially when the enablers and the Wall Street demimonde ignore it and pretend it is not happening, or make up lame rationales attributing it to something else.

This sort of semi-official corruption grows like a cancer, until it subsumes all markets. And it has severe consequences in the real economy.

Shortly After the Comex Close Gold Is Allowed to Trade Above 1200

Gold traded all day below 1200, at times rising to within fifty cents of the key strike price of 1200 where a large concentration of call options were clustered.

Well, since the call options at 1200 have expired worthless, why bother using the energy to continue to suppress the price?

Blatant and arrogant price fixing is done with the cooperation of the regulators at the CFTC who are willing to turn a blind eye to repeated price manipulation by insiders in the US futures markets in precious metals, stock indices, and several key commodities including oil and foodstuffs.

Here is some commentary from the April expiration in silver. Release the Kraken.