Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Winding Into the Apex, Slowly

SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - A Lazy Wind into the Weekend

Comex Silver Inventory Watch - Heading Into May-July Delivery Period

The long term decline in deliverable supply at this price level could become quite interesting.

The only ways to obtain more deliverable inventory to meet a bulge in demand is to game the rules on the ability to take physical delivery or let the price rise by buying on the open market.    

The push by the CFTC for position limits may tighten the ability to take delivery from 1,500 to 1,000 contracts, but hedgers will be exempt from position limits on the short side.  And the big silver short JPM claims to be a hedger.

I keep hearing stories of negotiated prices above the public quotes to buy off large delivery claims.  I would be interested to know if anyone has proof of this.  We know there are large agreements being conducted around the publicly quoted prices all the time. The FX pit traders walked out in protest over a recent occurrence.  It does not take an economist to understand what this does to price discovery and market efficiency.

The estimates I have seen of how much silver is real and how much is conflicting paper claims (leverage of unallocated claims) is up to 100:1.   Some of those claims are reported to be covered by 'inventory in the ground' which is not readily available for delivery.

One can only wonder how well confidence in the Comex would receive another 'stolen assets' scandal like the confiscation of gold and silver that happened to customers of MF Global.

The central banks have long ago dispersed their caches of silver to the market, so they are not available to supply ready inventory at leased rates.   One might look to SLV and wonder who audits its custodial integrity of unencumbered physical bars and how often.  

As I recall the sponsor of the ETF is Blackrock, but the custodian and keeper of the vault holding the physical silver backing the ETF is JP Morgan.  As you may recall, JPM is holding a massive short position on the silver futures, as best we can determine. 

JPM claims they are a hedge on behalf of other parties.   If they are using the SLV inventory as collateral in any way, then someone needs to be paid a visit by the SEC and CFTC because the owners of the shares have a superior claim to the metal.   That smells like 'hypothecation' in the manner of MF Global.  But I suspect that rather than blaming Edith O'Brien one might blame Bear Stearns.

I am not saying this is 'illegal' but it certainly warrants disclosure if it is occurring.  And if the CFTC knows this and is sitting on the information in their four year old and still unreleased silver manipulation report, then Gary Gensler needs to appear before the Congress and answer some very tough questions about conflicts of interest and withholding of key market information.

Of course the prudential time to ask those questions and obtain the answers is now, and not after the carnage of a commercial failure devastates investors, global industry, and market confidence.

Will anyone listen to this?   Did anyone listen to Harry Markopolos before Madoff's fund blew up?

These days it seems like the US financial markets are a train wreck happening in slow motion.  Or almost like watching a B horror movie.  You hear the music and you know what's coming, but there is no way to warn the campers.

'Our rivals are scared shitless of us.'   Blythe Masters

How Jason P. Morgan sees itself in the markets  lol

Goldman Sachs Employee Facing Insider Trading Probe

And the fails just keep on coming.

They will toss the small fry while the big wheel keeps on turning.

Reuters
Goldman Sachs facing a new insider trading probe
By Emily Flitter

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Federal prosecutors in California are investigating a Goldman Sachs employee for insider trading, according to prosecutors and defense lawyers who attended a hearing in U.S. federal court in New York on Thursday.

The employee is suspected of giving inside information on two public companies to former Galleon Group co-founder Raj Rajaratnam, who was convicted last year in one of the largest insider trading cases in Wall Street history.

The investigation of the Goldman employee was divulged during a hearing involving the insider trading case against former Goldman board member Rajat Gupta.

Gary Naftalis, the lawyer for Gupta, commenting on the newly disclosed investigation, said that Assistant US Attorney Reed Brodsky asked him not divulge details of the matter.

"Per Mr. Brodsky's request, I am not going to name his name," Naftalis said.

In a hearing a month ago, Naftalis revealed that another Goldman Sachs employee had been caught on a wiretap leaking secrets about Intel Corp and Apple Inc.

"That's obviously an area we have been pursuing in terms of our preparation for our defense at trial in terms of his connection to all this," Naftalis said at Thursday's hearing.

A spokesman for the U.S. Attorney's Office for the Central District of California declined to comment.

The attorneys at the Thursday court hearing said the employee in the California investigation still works at Goldman.

A spokesman for Goldman Sachs declined to comment.