26 May 2012

Ted Butler Calls Out the CFTC On Silver Market Manipulation


Considering how patient and understated he has been for so long, and so often the voice of reasonableness, this latest piece from Ted Butler is a bit surprising in the directness and strength of his language.

Illegalities
By Ted Butler
May 25, 2012

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has been negligent in failing to terminate the obvious manipulation ongoing in silver. Furthermore, the agency may be complicit in this manipulation. Worse, it has lied to the public and elected officials. This all goes back to the time when Bear Stearns was taken over by JPMorgan in March of 2008.

It is well known that Bear Stearns went under as a result of a sudden loss of liquidity amidst a run by creditors and customers. What is not well known is that those problems were greatly exacerbated by a $2 billion margin call on silver and gold short positions from the end of December 2007 to March 2008. I believe the silver and gold margin calls were at the heart of Bear Stearns’ failure.

We know now (from CFTC correspondence to lawmakers in 2008) that JPMorgan took over Bear Stearns’ giant silver and gold short positions on the COMEX. Up until that time, we did not know that Bear Stearns was the concentrated silver and gold short. Using Commitment of Traders Report (COT) data, Bear Stearns had a COMEX silver short position of no less than 35,000 net contracts and a COMEX gold short position of no less than 60,000 net contracts from the end of December 2007 to their takeover by JPMorgan two and a half months later. From December 31, 2007 to mid-March 2008, the price of silver rose by $6 (from $15 to $21) and the price of gold rose from $850 to over $1000. Based upon the number of contracts held short by Bear Stearns and the price movement at that time, that resulted in margin calls of $2 billion. I would contend that was the real reason for Bear Stearns’ demise.

So where do I get off claiming that the CFTC is complicit in the silver manipulation and lied about it to the public and to lawmakers? This is easy to prove...

Read the rest here.

25 May 2012

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Fed Will Backstop a Run On the Exchange



The situation remains rather volatile and open to an exogenous event.

Gold has not yet broken its downtrend. We do have the option expiration under our belts at least and are entering a heavy delivery season.

I thought it was interesting that the US government has directed the Fed to backstop the Comex and ICE in the case of a liquidity event or a run on the exchange.

In that event be ready to accept a forced settlement in paper, and to possibly forsake any metal held in custody at an exchange depository to a soft confiscation, ie it was not there in the first place and will be lost in a wave of defaults.



SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Tiptoeing Into the Long Holiday Weekend



Concerns about Greece and its potential impact on the global banking system continue to dominate the financial trade.

Some think that there will be some resolution this week because of the US holiday on Monday. That is possible.

If there is a positive resolution the equity markets will rally very hard. On the other hand if Greece withdraws from the euro, and perhaps even the EU altogether, there may be bank runs which the authorities will work very hard to circumvent and ring fence.

Most likely outcome is nothing will happen just yet although one must respect the possibilities for some exogenous event.




Max Keiser Interviews Teri Buhl On JP Morgan's Wells Notice


I found the description of the Wells Notice to be interesting.



Source

Teri Buhl's column discussing this and the implications.