30 May 2012

Freedom in Europe Is Eroding From the Edges, Financed by the Banks


"Greece is not an exception. It is one of the main testing grounds for a new socio-economic model of potentially unlimited application: a depoliticised technocracy in which bankers and other experts are allowed to demolish democracy."

Slavoj Žižek


"Corruption is a tree, whose branches are of an immeasurable length: they spread everywhere; and the dew that drops from thence hath infected some chairs and stools of authority."

Beaumont and Fletcher, The Honest Man's Fortune

This is a fascinating perspective on the financial situation in Europe from Slavoj Žižek which appeared in a recent edition of the London Review of Books. It reads like a modern variation of an age old script with dollars and bankers replacing bullets and shock troops, at least for now.

The role of Goldman Sachs and some of the other banks, with their attendant politicians who are in many cases now their direct representatives in the erosion of freedom in Europe, is fascinating to watch, in the manner of a train wreck in slow motion.

The monied interests are putting forward their own agendas and candidates while maintaining the charade of popular government, goose-stepping to the tune of financial expediency and the 'iron law of oligarchy' that helped to spawn the cult of the Übermensch at the beginning of the twentieth century.

The counter example is Iceland, and at an earlier period Sweden, which took a different course of action with their banks, direct confrontation and resolution of crony capitalism and the debt trap, rather than accomodation and appeasement.

The US and UK are little better off, having established a temporary equilibrium in which the monied interests are consolidating their gains. How else can one explain the lack of investigations and prosecutions of financial frauds, that become increasingly blatant and brazen, while the national economy continues to stagnate under the burden of crony capitalism and the most powerful political agenda is more tax cuts and sinecures for the super rich? And freedom continues to be assaulted and deconstructed in the name of the endless war on terror.

At some point the people will make a stand, and the Banks will make them an offer which they think that they cannot refuse. This is playing out now in Greece, and is coming to a country near you.

London Review of Books
Save us from the saviours
By Slavoj Žižek
25 May 2012

Imagine a scene from a dystopian movie that depicts our society in the near future. Uniformed guards patrol half-empty downtown streets at night, on the prowl for immigrants, criminals and vagrants. Those they find are brutalised. What seems like a fanciful Hollywood image is a reality in today’s Greece. At night, black-shirted vigilantes from the Holocaust-denying neo-fascist Golden Dawn movement – which won 7 per cent of the vote in the last round of elections, and had the support, it’s said, of 50 per cent of the Athenian police – have been patrolling the street and beating up all the immigrants they can find: Afghans, Pakistanis, Algerians. So this is how Europe is defended in the spring of 2012...

The prophets of doom are right, but not in the way they intend. Critics of our current democratic arrangements complain that elections don’t offer a true choice: what we get instead is the choice between a centre-right and a centre-left party whose programmes are almost indistinguishable. On 17 June, there will be a real choice: the establishment (New Democracy and Pasok) on one side, Syriza on the other.

And, as is usually the case when a real choice is on offer, the establishment is in a panic: chaos, poverty and violence will follow, they say, if the wrong choice is made. The mere possibility of a Syriza victory is said to have sent ripples of fear through global markets. Ideological prosopopoeia has its day: markets talk as if they were persons, expressing their ‘worry’ at what will happen if the elections fail to produce a government with a mandate to persist with the EU-IMF programme of fiscal austerity and structural reform.

The citizens of Greece have no time to worry about these prospects: they have enough to worry about in their everyday lives, which are becoming miserable to a degree unseen in Europe for decades...

Here is the paradox that sustains the ‘free vote’ in democratic societies: one is free to choose on condition that one makes the right choice. This is why, when the wrong choice is made (as it was when Ireland rejected the EU constitution), the choice is treated as a mistake, and the establishment immediately demands that the ‘democratic’ process be repeated in order that the mistake may be corrected. When George Papandreou, then Greek prime minister, proposed a referendum on the eurozone bailout deal at the end of last year, the referendum itself was rejected as a false choice.

There are two main stories about the Greek crisis in the media: the German-European story (the Greeks are irresponsible, lazy, free-spending, tax-dodging etc, and have to be brought under control and taught financial discipline) and the Greek story (our national sovereignty is threatened by the neoliberal technocracy imposed by Brussels).

When it became impossible to ignore the plight of the Greek people, a third story emerged: the Greeks are now presented as humanitarian victims in need of help, as if a war or natural catastrophe had hit the country. While all three stories are false, the third is arguably the most disgusting. The Greeks are not passive victims: they are at war with the European economic establishment, and what they need is solidarity in their struggle, because it is our struggle too.

Greece is not an exception. It is one of the main testing grounds for a new socio-economic model of potentially unlimited application: a depoliticised technocracy in which bankers and other experts are allowed to demolish democracy. By saving Greece from its so-called saviours, we also save Europe itself.

Read the entire article here.



29 May 2012

The Death of the Gold Bull May Be Greatly Exaggerated -- Miner / Bullion Ratio at an Extreme Low


There was an opinion making the rounds today from a chief strategist named Suttmeier that the gold bull market was over because the 50 day moving average has fallen below the 200 day moving average for gold, commonly called a 'death cross.'

Interestingly enough he calls for a trading range, and not a further significant decline in gold, but rather a 5% trading range 'for years.'

During the financial crisis in 2008 gold corrected and consolidated for about one year. In each of the prior three 'death crosses' on the chart the period was about three to six months.

Below is a longer term gold chart that shows that the 50 day moving average has fallen below the 200 day moving average at least four previous times since 2003.

Each time this happened it has marked a consolidation and correction that resulted in gold moving another leg higher and sometimes sharply higher after a prolonged correction. This is climbing the classic 'wall of worry.'

Perhaps it will be different this time. But not based on anything I have seen in technical analysis such as this. 

The fundamental drivers of the gold bull market not only remain intact, but seem to be even more compelling based on the fact that central banks have turned net buyers for the first time in over twenty years, as well as recent events in the currency wars regarding the value and security of sovereign debt, which is exactly what the substance of a fiat currency is:  sovereign debt of zero duration.

Thanks to my friend Nick Laird of Sharelynx.com who has one of the best and most diverse collections of online charts around.

If Europe should collapse and bullion enter a protracted trading range, one might consider buying mining shares of high quality that pay dividends, as they are now quite cheap as shown by the XAU - bullion ratio in the second chart.

As a reminder, in times of crisis I tend to find a safer haven in bullion than in miners, and in gold rather than silver. So let's see what happens in the Greek elections this month, and in the next Fed meeting shortly afterwards.

I tend along with others to think that the central banks must print money to secure the current banking system.  That is the raison d'être of a fiat currency system: to be versatilely expansive in repairing the holes made from the inevitable speculative excess caused by crony credit expansion by the Bank for its friends. But in the short term these markets are hardly tied to fundmentals or efficient allocation of capital.

As a reminder we might see a few more antics tied to the June futures contract this week.

May 29
QO - June 2012 COMEX miNY Gold - Last Trade Date
QO - June 2012 COMEX miNY Gold - Settlement Date
GC - May 2012 Gold - Last Trade Date
GC - May 2012 Gold - Settlement Date

May 31
GC - May 2012 Gold - Last Delivery Date
GC - June 2012 Gold - First Notice Date

June 1
GC - June 2012 Gold - First Delivery Date


Greek 'Aid' Is Really Enhanced Vendor Financing and Foreign Bank Bailouts



“They don’t want to kill us [the Greek people] but keep us down on our knees so we can keep paying them indefinitely.”

Eva Kyriadou

The similarity to the Icelandic situation is striking.  Greece must deal with the problem of decoupling from the Euro, but other than that the scenario seems fairly straightforward.

Greece needs to assert their independence, and have the will to make it 'stick.'

In the manner of 'mailing in their keys' on an underwater home and the burden of an outsized dodgy loan, the Greek people should consider mailing their eurozone membership back to the ECB and their friends in the Banks and Wall Street hedge funds c/o Berlin, and suggest that the conquest of their country might have to proceed by more conventional and overt means if they want to take the country's sovereign assets and income.

An investigation of all the debt deals would be a first rate idea, with plenty of public disclosure of the corruption and cronysim that was involved between public officials and the banks.
NYT
Athens No Longer Sees Most of Its Bailout Aid
By LIZ ALDERMAN and JACK EWING
May 29, 2012

PARIS — As Greek membership in the euro currency union hangs in the balance, it continues to receive billions of euros in emergency assistance from the so-called troika of lenders overseeing its bailout.

But almost none of the money is going to the Greek government to pay for vital public services. Instead, it is flowing directly back into the troika’s pockets.

And so, the €130 billion, or $162.2 billion, European bailout that was supposed to buy time for Greece is mainly only servicing the interest on the country’s debt — while the Greek economy continues to plummet.

If that seems to make little sense economically, it has a certain logic in the politics of euro-finance. After all, the money dispensed by the troika — the European Central Bank, the International Monetary Fund and the European Union’s member governments — comes from European taxpayers, many of whom are increasingly wary of the political disarray that has beset Athens and clouded the future of the euro zone.

As they pay themselves, though, the troika is also withholding other funds earmarked for keeping the Greek government in operation...

Read the rest here.

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Gold Chart Shows About 10,000 Contracts Dumped in Quiet Market


I felt this bear raid coming on the tape, from the action I was seeing. I cannot express it better than that.

So I had sold my silver bullion trading position and trimmed back gold, adding a hedge in the first hour of trade.

The hit came around mid-day after the European close as you can see on the 5 minute June futures chart.

One does not drop 11,000 contracts in a ten minute period in what might be called a reasonable trade.

The Dr. Evil Strategy and Some Targets

Will the CFTC investigate, asking the seller why perchance they did this? No, and that in itself speaks volumes.

But the solution is not to try and trade these scandalously under-regulated markets, but instead to hold long term investment positions, preferably as far away from Wall Street as is possible.

I had suggested last week that calls that the 'bottom was in' might be premature. It is in the established playbook to hit the futures hard at least once after an options expiration which we had last week.

The shorts are trapped, especially in silver, and they have powerful friends in the government and the media. There are some very worried people out there. Big things may be coming.

Swiss National Bank Considers Capital Controls