31 May 2012

Simon Johnson: Jamie Dimon and the Failure of the Nation


No matter how you wish to frame it, the Banks must be restrained, and the financial system reformed, with balance restored to the economy, before there can be any sustained growth and recovery.

Baseline Scenario
Jamie Dimon And The Fall Of Nations

By Simon Johnson
May 31, 2012

“Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity, and Poverty,” by Daron Acemoglu and James Robinson, is a brilliant and sometimes breathtaking survey of country-level governance over history and around the world. Professors Acemoglu and Robinson discern a simple pattern – when elites are held in check, typically by effective legal mechanisms, everyone else in society does much better and sustained economic growth becomes possible. But powerful people – kings, barons, industrialists, bankers – work long and hard to relax the constraints on their actions. And when they succeed, the effects are not just redistribution toward themselves but also an undermining of economic growth and often a tearing at the fabric of society. (I’ve worked with the authors on related issues, but I was not involved in writing the book.)

The historical evidence is overwhelming. Many societies have done well for a while – until powerful people get out of hand. This is an easy pattern to see at a distance and in other cultures. It is typically much harder to recognize when your own society now has an elite less subject to effective constraints and more able to exert power in an abusive fashion. And given the long history of strong institutions in the United States, it appears particularly difficult for some people to acknowledge that we have serious governance issues that need to be addressed...

Read the rest here.

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Brownian Motion


Here is a summary of what the spokesmodels said about precious metals today.

Yada-yada. Yada yada yada.

Non-Farm Payrolls report tomorrow will dominate the short term action perhaps depending on how the number comes in, but the real driver remains the sovereign debt situation with eyes on Greece and Spain in pariticular.

The Greek election mid month may provide some indication of their willingness to accept austerity, or not.



Random and Essentially Meaningless Movement of the Gold Price as Perturbed By High Frequency Bombardment

SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Weak GDP, But Markets Watch Payrolls and Greece



Watch for the Non-Farm payrolls report, and the Greek situation. Their elections are mid-month and could be a significant market driver.



Lauren Lyster Interviews CBO Whistleblower Lan Pham



From the February 2, 2012 Wall Street Journal story on Lan Pham's firing:

"I was repeatedly pressured by the CBO Assistant Director, Deborah Lucas, in charge of the Financial Analysis Division to not write nor discuss issues in the banking sector and mortgage markets that might suggest weakness in these sectors and their consequences on the economy and households."

The CBO's 2010 termination letter to Ms. Pham cites her lack of qualifications, "poorly organized" research, and resistance to taking orders from her superiors as the reasons for her firing.

Lan Pham's March interview with ZeroHedge.

It is a little known fact, but probably no surprise to most, that in addition to not prosecuting any key participants in the financial fraud and crisis, the Obama Administration has instead been particularly tough on whistleblowers who expose government corruption.