01 July 2013

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Non-Farm Payrolls on Friday


Intraday commentary on the precious metals market is here.

As a reminder this is a holiday week in the US as the markets will be closed on Thursday, July 4 for Independence Day.

And a Happy Canada Day for my many friends and acquaintances in that most decent and honorable of countries. 

I remember,  about twenty years ago, landing in Ottawa. As I came up to passport control, I handed over my paper driver's license with no picture.

"Have you no passport? Is this how you come into a foreign country?" the official asked, holding up my piece of paper with an obvious disdain. "Yes sir I do, and I am very sorry for this. But I did not think to bring it, because since my earliest days growing up not all that far from the Niagara border, I have always considered Canada like a second home."

And with an incredulous laugh at my cheek, and a sweeping wave of his hand, he let me through. That would probably not work so well these days, but this is a true story.

For years when we crossed the border at Niagara we only had to state where we were born and were waved through. I had never once thought of Canada as a foreign land. My wife and I have spent many happy days on vacation and on business in Toronto, Niagara, Montreal, Ottawa, and Québec City.   I have been to Vancouver several times, but never on holiday. Alas, those days are no more.

I think we can expect some interesting things in the precious metals this week.

Typically the more senior people on Wall Street will leave on Tuesday evening for their holiday in the Hamptons.

So trading will be light. Interestingly enough a fairly important Jobs Report is due on Friday morning, and they do not seem to be delaying this until next week. Expected is +175,000 jobs.  As you may recall the financiers like to raid the metals on a Non-Farm Payrolls day.

Tomorrow is 'rally day' on the equity exchange so let's see if the bulls can pull themselves together for one last market operation before their begin their festivities.

I do not think most realize the shocking nature of this excessive move downward in gold and silver.

The manipulation in the paper markets is there for all to see. I cannot help but laugh quietly every time I hear the Lord Haw Haws and the spokesmodels on the financial networks talking about how gold and silver have fallen into disfavor, and how low the volume of physical purchasing has been. They desire what they do not have!

One can keep doubling down on a bluff for too long, and eventually they will be called, and their cards must be shown.

Nothing is more clear to me that the paper gold and silver that has been shorted cannot possibly be covered. It has gone entirely too far. And further price declines to free up bullion from the ETFs, as I have pointed out, is very counter-productive because it is now just stimulating more physical buying in size.

We are entering a new phase of the currency wars, and the metals bears and financiers are worried, despite their bluff and bravado. Their arrogance is so typical as they reach the end of their game.

Yes they are still dangerous in the short term, but they must feel the fear creeping up their spines.  One after another their control frauds and schemes are being exposed.  Their perfidy is there for all to see.

They have been weighed, and are found wanting.






SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Non-Farm Payrolls on Friday

As a reminder this is a holiday shortened week in the States, with the 4 July holiday on Thursday.

Volumes will be increasingly light after tomorrow afternoon.

Canada was closed for their own celebration today. Happy Canada Day to all my many friends in that wonderful and decent country.




Surrender at Yorktown: 'The World Turned Upside Down'


“You cannot conquer an idea with an army.”

Thomas Paine


"There is nothing so powerful as an idea whose time has come."

Victor Hugo



For all the disappointing deeds of the last Presidency, and there were too many, was their anything more unworthy than the deliberate vilification of their friends and allies of long standing for daring to tell the truth that they did not wish to hear?

Nous sommes désolés.



NAV Premiums of Certain Precious Metal Trusts and Funds - Weighed, and Found Wanting


Premiums remain thin and oriented towards access to physical metal in the Sprott funds.

We may get yet another 'gut check' if the specs pile on the bounce.   That is how these bluffs run.

But I get the sense that the tide is turning, in many things and matters.

The physical side, the reality of this trade, is starting to assert its power in ways that are hard to resist or ignore.  It may not seem like it because it happens gradually, but it is happening.

These naked short sellers are bully boys and charlatans.  They don't have the goods. They don't have the stuff.  They are in control only while you play their game in their way.  They have been weighed and are found wanting.  They have sown the wind, and will reap the whirlwind.  They have sold what they do not own.  And they are fearful at being called to account on it, as well they should be.

Stand and deliver.