03 December 2013

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Deliverables from Scotia - Kozlowski Redux


Scotia added 60,000 ounces to the deliverable category yesterday from their vaults. Brinks threw in about 4,635 ounces as well.

This brings the deliverable (registered) bullion inventory back up to 655,556 ounces, a bit more respectable for the December delivery month.

As far as deliverable inventory goes,  Scotia and JPM hold the bulk of it.  As a percentage of total holdings, HSBC is remarkably light on deliverables.   Must be an Asian thing.

For now the Comex is setting price, the tail wagging the dog.  But at some point that will change, and the Comex will become a price follower, and then we may see some real market clearing.  The longer these antics go on, the more violent the market correction coming from a blind side will be.

But until then it is the usual games, and the usual suspects.

Speaking of financial antics and the usual suspects, after the bell it was announced that ex-Tyco CEO Dennis Kozlowski, who famously used fraud to take $134 million from his company, is being granted parole from prison.

He and the CFO Mark Swartz had been sentenced to 8 1/3 to 25 years in prison for grand larceny, conspiracy, falsifying records and violating business law. They were found guilty of giving themselves illegal bonuses and forgiving loans to themselves from 1999 to 2002.

In many ways Kozlowski and Swartz were pioneers for American financial innovations that were not fully realized until the 2007-8 financial crisis.
"Back when I was running Tyco, I was living in a CEO-type bubble. I had a strong sense of entitlement at that time," Kozlowski told the board.
Kozlowski was clearly a trend-setter.

Is it time to go long high-end umbrella stands and wastebaskets, or custom-tailored Italian silk burnt orange prison jumpsuits and Presidential handcuff links? Once an outlier, massive financial fraud now seems to be in season in both NY and London, if not de rigueur.

Have a pleasant evening.






SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Permanent Prosperity, Prêt-à-Porter


Stocks are tottering into the end of year, near to bubble levels.

With the Fed kicking in $85 billion per month as walking around money for the one percent, things have never looked better.

Equity price is way over its skis, and needs some organic earnings and revenue growth to justify even current levels. But that reckoning is for another day.






02 December 2013

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Lions, and Tigers, and Bears, Oh My!


This is a fairly economic information heavy week, which will see both a Non-Farm Payrolls report and the second look at Q3 GDP. The weekly economic calendar for the US is included below.

The metals were pounded fairly steadily all day, in light trade. As I mentioned some weeks ago, we may see the 'December effect' in gold and silver, in which the metals are hit in the first part of the month, only to recover into the year end.

There was little movement in the Comex metals warehouses on Friday as we had one large deposit into storage, and nothing was done with the deliverables.

Bloomberg TV was recommending the purchase of bank stocks as a means of employing your wealth,  instead of gold and silver today, complete with a comparison chart.  And they included European bank stocks in that, as if they were somehow inferior to the wondrous US bank stocks, but were still better than precious metals.

Sometimes it really is that obvious.

Today was the first delivery day for the December contract.

Have a pleasant evening.







"Take care that you do not despise one of these little ones; for, I tell you, in heaven they will continually see the face of my Father."

Matt 18:10


SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Chart - Preparing for the Paint Job


Light volumes, listless trade.

The high flyers were not responding well to the new month.

We can expect this to be a tape painted month in the latter half. We could see some profit taking
and squaring up in the first part.