12 March 2014

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - In Search of The Yellow King


"The very banality and innocence of the first act only allowed the blow to fall afterwards with more awful effect.”

Robert W. Chambers, The King In Yellow


"History is made up of the bad actions of extraordinary men and woman. All the most noted destroyers and deceivers of our species, all the founders of arbitrary governments and false religions, have been extraordinary people; and nine tenths of the calamities that have befallen the human race had no other origin than the union of high intelligence with low desires."

Thomas Babington Macaulay

Gold 'popped' today, and took out the overhead resistance, running up to 1370 before pulling back a bit.  Now that it stuck a close, the gold bulls will have to find some level of defensible support, so we can see where the necklines really are. 

Silver really has not caught a spark yet, and when we see that we will know that gold and silver are both starting to get the bears on the run.   Those who willfully ignore the unfolding currency war are probably undervaluing their risks.

So let's see what happens, and what the days ahead may reveal.  I think there is a sickness in the valuations of things, and the ways in which money is being distributed, and wealth is quietly stolen.  There are some ugly creatures running through the underbrush and the darkness, as men make beasts of themselves to avoid the pain of being human.

Time does not always make things clear, and the truth can be hidden for long periods of time.  But there are clues, and facts enough,  for those with enquiring minds, who do not avert their eyes from the facts, fearing their implications.    Things may have seemed difficult before, but the real revelations seem as though they are yet to come.

Have a pleasant evening.







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SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Ship of Fools


Not much in the way of news, unless you want to count the crisis in the Ukraine.

It is easy to be puzzled by the news of the world. The US president met with his fellow from the Ukraine today, the new prime ministers. You would think that the US is upholding a democratically elected government against the proposed referendum in the Crimea, and not a government put into power by a violent coup d'état, the kind which if it had occurred in the US would have been met by significant force. This is not to say that the government in the Ukraine had been a good one. It is just that the means by which it was displaced make some of the things which we are hearing seem a bit-- hollow.

Oh well, things are so cloudy these days.  The mainstream media is throwing a lot of chum into troubled waters.

The rest of the economic news is a bit thin. Not much on the plate for the US this week, except perhaps a little towards the week's end. Next week we get to hear from the FOMC, and most likely from their new leader Janet Yellen. The hearings for confirmation of Stanley Fisher at Fed vice-chair approach.

The news from China seems troubled, with all sorts of bubble talk, and dire forecasts of a collapse. Bill Ackerman has finally persuaded someone in the government to investigate Herbalife.  Huzzah!

But corporate earnings are done for now, and the recovery slogs on, with Morgan Stanley declaring that semi-stagnation and misery are the new normal, so you may as well get used to it.  Things could be a lot worse.   Think about the next Presidential election and what choices might be offered.   That is a likely appetite suppressant.

I see where it can now be a crime to attend a peaceful protest in Victoria, Australia. 

At some point, I think the ruling class  for the English speaking peoples might need to get a bigger boat.

Have a pleasant evening.






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11 March 2014

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Coiling, Coiling, Coiling


Gold and silver are in the sideways chop that I suggested that they would find just underneath the big overhead resistance here.

I am not going to waste time giving out the particulars of the various measuring objectives if we break out now. We can wait to see if we do get a breakout and what character it might assume.

I have included a close up of the current formation on the gold chart, which is part of three inverse head and shoulders formations, with the largest being part of a double bottom. If the neckline is broken and then survives a retest it is considered 'working' and the minimum objective is the distance from the head to neck.

In this case the necks could start falling like dominoes, although they are not considered valid necklines until they 'work.'   We are in a tough slog now, but the battle royale will be fought around 1420.

The objective of the biggest, the double bottom, is $300 from $1490.  Interestingly enough, $1790 takes gold back to where it originally failed, at the top of the current chart's big 'cup.'

Silver on the weekly is also in a big double bottom formation that targets $30+ if it works, that is, it breaks the neckline and survives any retest.

There was the usual small volume in and out of the Comex but nothing of great importance. Comex is falling back into the scenery.

Have a pleasant evening.






SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Seems Almost Like the Summer Doldrums


As Jesse Livermore once said, 'Never short a dull market.'

And this market is dullsville. If something sets it rolling downhill, it could go some way before it hits anything solid.

But, the Fed seems to have their backs.