16 June 2014

Robert Johnson: How We Broke the Bank of England


This is a continuation of the Robert Johnson interview which had been posted here.

As you know, Robert Johnson is one of my favorite economic voices. He brings both theory and practical knowledge to bear on our current problems.

And he is a mature and intelligent trader who is able to speak with depth on broader social issues, which is far too often a rarity.

Great money does not ordinarily confer great wisdom and virtue on its possessors, alas, and far too often it does the contrary. This is a principle of human nature which has been recognized from at least the time that our Lord walked the earth, if not much further before that. 'It is easier for a camel to pass through the eye of a needle...'


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13 June 2014

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - FOMC Next Week - Calling Dr. Strangelove


Gold and silver continued their rally off a deeply oversold condition, well within their intermediate downtrends.

There was little action in the Comex warehouses, and a few more contracts were stopped.

Next week is an FOMC meeting.
 
We may then see how the cards will fall in the short term.   For now it seems that that status quo may continue to prevail, given the nature of pricing discovery.
 
 
Sounds like it will be a busy time in the Pax Americana.
 
Have a pleasant weekend.






SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - The Death of Volatility


The US equity markets ended the week on a dull note, barely able to bounce after a lower open to end the week on a correcting note.

The question will be if this is just a consolidation after a widely noted great leap upwards, or will we see a bit more action to the downside before this is over.

The FOMC will be meeting next week, and as is their wont, they may be pouring more of their oily liquidity over the troubled waters of the mispricings of risk.

As the Financial Times most recently notes in this headline, the Central Banks have used their mighty power to eradicate risk.  All gain and no pain, a world without consequences (especially for the benevolent and enlightened rulers of finance).

 As if.

This is the pinnacle of moral hazards, the triumph of the will to print money, and an impermanent plateau of illusory prosperity.

Have a pleasant evening.






Anat Admati: Seeing Through the Bankers' New Clothes - The Bullet or the Bribe


"Looking at the world as a whole, the drift for many decades has been not towards anarchy but towards the reimposition of slavery. We may be heading not for general breakdown but for an epoch as horribly stable as the slave empires of antiquity...few people have yet considered the kind of world-view, the kind of beliefs, and the social structure that would probably prevail in a state which was at once unconquerable and in a permanent state of cold war with its neighbors."

George Orwell

The reign of the Banks was reintroduced on the back of, and is sustained by, a major campaign of corruption of the political processes and the public discourse. The decisive moment was the repeal of Glass-Steagall, and the further withdrawal of the watchers on the wall by both political parties who have gone along to get along.

The difference in the analogy offered in this talk is that the monied interests are not some semi-benign doddering old emperor who has fallen victim to the flattery of courtiers and the schemes of conmen.  They are a monstrous construction of reckless pride and greed who will work their schemes until the exhaustion and collapse of their prey.

One is foolish to expect them to be ruled by self-control and appeals to reason, given the nature of their pathology.  These are the very types that cause people to organize themselves for their protection.  This is the highest responsibility of government: the promotion of justice, and the defense of all people, including the foolish and the weak, for the common good against thieves, conmen, bandit, foreign armies, and domestic predators.
"There are no necessary evils in government. Its evils exist only in its abuses. If it would confine itself to equal protection, and, as Heaven does its rains, shower its favors alike on the high and the low, the rich and the poor, it would be an unqualified blessing."

Andrew Jackson, Veto of the Second Bank of the United States
The Banks and their associated Corporations continue to extract usurious fees, misprice risk, rig markets, and engage in a variety of soft bribery and extortion.  And it will not end well.  I would like to be more optimistic, but it is discouraging to see how easily the financially powerful have co-opted some sincere reform movements into their willing tools, spouting utopian nonsense.  The shepherds have been struck down, by the bullet and the bribe, and the sheep have been scattered.

The Anglo-American financial system is an accident waiting to happen.  And you can be sure that they are expecting, once again, to dip their beaks deeply into the public pockets when they do. 



h/t Bill Moyers



We are surely not the first generation to face this sort of trial, since it is in the very nature of this fallen world, and the burden of every generation to rise to their particular trials and temptations. If anything we may be notable for our weakness, our lack of faithfulness, our foolish pride, a perverted perspective unworthy of our many gifts, and the stubborn hardness of our hearts too often in the name of our just and loving Lord.

"...He prompts you what to say, and then listens to you, and praises you, and encourages you. He bids you mount aloft. He shows you how to become as gods. Then he laughs and jokes with you, and gets intimate with you; he takes your hand, and gets his fingers between yours, and grasps them, and then you are his."

J. H. Newman