31 July 2014

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Into the Storm: Sharknado II - Embracing the Con


Today was not unexpected.  Let me repeat.  I was not surprised. 

The markets today were so boring, in the manner of a staged match in professional wrestling, that I actually broke down and watch a DVR'd copy of 'Sharknado II.
 
It was absurd to the point of being clichéd and campy but without genuine laughs, just like the current US Congress.

This was the 'wash and rinse' that was being written all over the charts.

Stocks dropped about 2%, and gold and silver were under continuing pressure for most of the day.

It did not seem like a panicky sell off, based on the Argenine default, although the VIX spiked pretty hard.

 Rather, it looked like the type of very cynical market move that has characterized almost everything we have seen from the equity markets Matrix for some time now.  Now that we have run them up, let's do a quick dump of stocks to once again try to skin the pension and mutual funds, along with mom and pop.

The gold and silver sell off, despite the big drop in stocks, ahead of the Non-Farm Payrolls report tomorrow, was just too much.   Wow, precious metals hit ahead of a Non-Farm Payrolls Report.  What a surprise.

Well, let's see how things progress. This *could* turn into something else, but for now it seems about as manufactured and orchestrated as the crisis in the Ukraine, and the neo-con beating of the war drums with Russia. 
 
The markets are not as invincible as this newest crop of the Masters of the Universe think that they are, even though they have been on quite a market-rigging, justice fixing roll.

Doesn't this whole thing with Russia seem about as weird as the sudden push for war in Iraq that we saw in the Bush Administration?  Its pretty clear what the motives were then in terms of making the most of a phony crisis.  I wonder what they are up to now?

Have a pleasant evening.
 
 









SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Don't Worry Baby


Today was 'laundry day' at the US markets, as the foamy stock peak of the past month took a hard turn in the old 'wash and rinse' cycle, that blew off the froth.

That's what it was.  Pure and simple.  Any talk of 'gloom and doom' and imminent collapse is pretty much rubbish, although the economy is certainly grossly underperforming its potential despite the rosy numbers the bureaucrats like to display.  And we know what the problem is, pure and simple.  The system needs to be reformed, and is caught in a credibility trap.

So what happened today?  The wise guys and chuckle heads have been driving up stock valuations pretty steadily for the past few months as you can see from the charts.  They hit some stiff resistance which they pounded against for the past two or three weeks.

And today with the growing troubles in the Ukraine and Gaza, the default of Argentina, and the extremely dodgy impulse of the US to lead the G7 into another cold war with Russia, the boys just decided to have a day.

Stocks dropped about 2% today.  It seems like a lot because we have not seen such a thing in quite a while.  But the market's underpinnings were made of highly compressible foam, which I had warned about a few times.

The 'tell' was the selling of gold and silver along with stocks today.  This was no flight to safety of cash on geopolitical jitters.

Let's see if we get some follow through off the Non-Farm Payrolls report tomorrow.  But I suspect that if the Alibaba IPO were still scheduled for August 8 this decline would be a one day affair.  As it is they gave up on the 'lucky numbers date' of 8/8, and have pushed it back into September.

I think it is hard to be too cynical about this market, with its hot money, computerized trading games, and pervasive dark pools.

Have a pleasant evening.








NAV Premiums of Certain Precious Metal Trusts and Funds


It is interesting that the precious metals are moving with the equity markets today.

I suspect it is more about the events of the week with regard to monetary policy and economic reports than anything else.

The gold/silver ratio remains historically high around 62.5.



30 July 2014

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - All Along the Watchtower


“We’ve had a lot of bombs being thrown around the world, and this is America throwing a bomb into the global economic system. We don’t know how big the explosion will be — and it’s not just about Argentina.”

Joseph Stiglitz

Gold took a little hit today, and silver held its price.

Very anti-climactic given such an impressive sign of recovery in the real economy!

Nothing much happened on the Comex exhibit at Madame Tussaud's.  The clearing report for all metals (gold, silver, platinum, copper) was simply 'no data' as shown below. 

The tragicomedy that is the Argentine debt default continues on 'to the wire.'

As for the markets, there will be a lot of noise created, the stock and bond touts will all be out there making their pitches, but the bottom line is that the death and misery of the hoi polloi will leave the markets unfeeling, and the Fed isn't going to be doing anything except to continue to taper, but provide easy money for the fortunate few for quite some time.  

The currency war has taken a hotter turn than I might have expected at this stage, with the US out banging the war drums very actively as a distraction. I suppose that one might not be so surprised. The privileged will do almost anything rather than surrender the status quo.

Have a pleasant evening.