14 October 2014

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - The Almighty Dollar


Gold and silver tried to rally on the overnight but the US market sat on the precious metals throughout the day.

Stocks managed a dead cat bounce.

The action in the Comex, both in the delivery report and the warehouses was inconsequential. That might be a good label for the Comex going forward: the Inconsequential Index.

Oil is continuing to take it on the chin, with various theories about why it is plunging. Some say it is OPEC 'putting the screws' to the US producers who need the higher marginal prices, especially for shale production.

Others say it is the US and its allies hurting Putin's Russia with de facto sanctions on Russia's oil wealth.

Personally I think it is more of a slack in aggregate demand overall that is becoming a concerning trend to anyone who cares about the real economy, mixed with a squeezing out of speculative money due to the Banks being prohibited from engaging in wholesale speculation.

The precious metals story is now in EurAsia, and those who fails to recognize this really do not know what is going on.

Have a pleasant evening.





SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Alibaba Rang the Bell


There was a dead cat bounce off key support that took the major stock indices back up to prior support.

But that rally faded into the afternoon. The bulls were able to slow the descent and avoid a late day plunge as we had seen yesterday.

Stocks managed to finish slightly higher, holding their key support levels.

So what next. CSX and INTC reported beats on earnings and revenues after the bell. Earning *might* help if they are overwhelmingly good.

We will be getting some macroeconomic news for the week starting tomorrow. The bulls need to bounce them here and hold on to the gains.

Have a pleasant evening.






Comparing One Dimension of the Policy Responses of the ECB and the Federal Reserve


Here is a chart comparing the Balance Sheet Assets of the Fed and the European Central Bank.

It is important to recall that the Fed has been providing extensive funding to non-US, largely European, multinational Banks through their US subsidiaries.

This also does not compare the sovereign debt of the two regions, but rather just one measure of their Central Banks policy responses.  It does not indicate how those assets are being used, by whom, and to what effect.

Nevertheless there seems to be a clear divergence between the two policy responses.



 

Performance of a Number of Global Stock Exchanges Year-To-Date


Except for a few Asian countries, and special situations not pictured perhaps, it looks like a global slump from here.

There are still a select few unbroken housing bubbles out there that may find some adjustment in a future capital crisis.  Canada and Australia come to mind, among others.

Despite the billions of taxpayer funds poured into them, some if not quite a few of the troubled multinational Banks are still in trouble, and a few may be teetering.

Does anyone who is well informed not recognize that the policy errors of the Central Banks and their political cronies have failed to foster a sustainable recovery after five long years of enormous bank subsidies and public misery?

And the fruits of this selfish foolishness may likely be another crisis that is even more decisive?

The Banks must be restrained, and the financial system reformed, with balance restored to the economy, before there can be any sustainable recovery.


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